Warta Poznań vs 
Polonia Warszawa• I Liga, Poland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.03 | 3.44 | 2.36 | 4.4% |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.45 | 2.32 | 7.2% |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 9.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.25 | 2.23 | 10.6% |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 11.4% |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 11.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 3.25 | 2.21 | 11.9% |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.17 | 2.09 | 15.1% |
| Best of all books | 3.03 | 3.45 | 2.36 | 4.4% |
| Average | 2.83 | 3.31 | 2.25 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:11 UTC
Warta Poznań
5W 1D 4L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against
| 31 Oct | A | Podbeskidzie | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Oct | H | ŁKS Łódź | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Unia Skierniewice | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Stal Mielec | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Chrobry Głogów | 3-1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Puszcza Niepołomice | 3-2 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Arka Gdynia | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Miedz Legnica | 1-2 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Chrobry Głogów | 1-0 | W |
Polonia Warszawa
6W 3D 1L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against
| 2 Nov | A | ŁKS Łódź | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Oct | H | Korona Kielce | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Miedz Legnica | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Arka Gdynia | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Jagiellonia | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Chrobry Głogów | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Polonia Bytom | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Stal Rzeszów | 1-2 | L |
| 2 Sep | A | Górnik Polkowice | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Warta Poznań
| 15 Mar 2025I Liga | I Liga | Warta Poznań1-2Polonia Warszawa |
| 23 Aug 2024I Liga | I Liga | Polonia Warszawa2-0Warta Poznań |
I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 8 Nov 15:20 UTC
In the I Liga table, Warta Poznań sit 9th with 19 points from 14 games, while Polonia Warszawa are 1st with 25 points from 14.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Warszawa | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 |
| 2 | Polonia Bytom | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 |
| 3 | Ruch Chorzów | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 | Lechia Gdansk | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 | Nieciecza | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | +7 | 21 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | Warta Poznań | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Arka Gdynia | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:17 | +2 | 18 |
| 11 | Stal Rzeszów | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Pogoń Siedlce | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Stal Mielec | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Chrobry Głogów | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Podbeskidzie | 14 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Odra Opole | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 12 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 2.03 | 4.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| SBO | 1.70 | 2.13 | 5.8% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 2.05 | 6.9% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 2.01 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 2.01 | 8.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.71 | 1.98 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.81 | 2.13 | 2.2% |
| Average | 1.73 | 2.03 | 7.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 2.23 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 2.19 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.58 | 2.23 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Warta Poznań at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Polonia Warszawa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 3.31 | 2.25, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the I Liga table: Warta Poznań are 9th (19 pts, 20-20 goals), Polonia Warszawa 1st (25 pts, 23-15).
Over their last five matches, Warta Poznań averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Polonia Warszawa.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.84 | 3.31 | 2.25 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 1.36 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.10 | 1.68 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.58 | 2.23 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.41 | 2.20 | 2.79 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.14 | 2.53 | 2.52 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.70 | 13.1 | 22.5 |
| HT X | 6.81 | 5.38 | 5.60 |
| HT 2 | 26.8 | 13.0 | 3.59 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 12.9 | 1.82 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 10.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | 3.84 |
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.03 |
| 3.5 | 2.81 | 1.38 |
| 4.5 | 5.16 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 9.48 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 19.8 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.85 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.10 | 5.11 |
| 1.75 | 1.25 | 3.35 |
| 2 | 1.30 | 2.97 |
| 2.25 | 1.52 | 2.34 |
| 2.75 | 1.90 | 1.82 |
| 3 | 2.20 | 1.59 |
| 3.25 | 2.47 | 1.47 |
| 3.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 4.25 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| 5 | 8.00 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.92 | 1.40 |
| -0.25 | 2.45 | 1.49 |
| 0 | 2.10 | 1.66 |
| +0.25 | 1.78 | 1.96 |
| +0.5 | 1.60 | 2.26 |
| +0.75 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
| -1.5 | 5.60 | 1.10 |
| -1.25 | 5.23 | 1.12 |
| -1 | 4.73 | 1.14 |
| -0.75 | 3.48 | 1.27 |
| +1 | 1.27 | 3.42 |
| +1.25 | 1.22 | 3.84 |
| +1.5 | 1.18 | 4.15 |
| +1.75 | 1.11 | 5.38 |
| +2 | 1.03 | 7.40 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.11 | 4.60 |
| 8.5 | 1.29 | 3.07 |
| 9.5 | 1.53 | 2.33 |
| 10.5 | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| 11.5 | 2.37 | 1.50 |
| 12.5 | 3.17 | 1.27 |
| 13.5 | 4.55 | 1.12 |
| 14.5 | 6.88 | 1.02 |
23 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.01 | 7.26 |
| 7.25 | 1.06 | 5.56 |
| 7.75 | 1.13 | 4.38 |
| 8 | 1.14 | 4.18 |
| 8.25 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 8.75 | 1.32 | 2.90 |
| 9 | 1.36 | 2.75 |
| 9.25 | 1.46 | 2.46 |
| 9.75 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| 10 | 1.71 | 2.05 |
| 10.25 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| 10.75 | 2.02 | 1.71 |
| 11 | 2.17 | 1.63 |
| 11.25 | 2.28 | 1.54 |
| 11.75 | 2.61 | 1.40 |
| 12 | 2.91 | 1.32 |
| 12.25 | 3.06 | 1.29 |
| 12.75 | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| 13 | 4.20 | 1.14 |
| 13.25 | 4.38 | 1.13 |
| 13.75 | 5.30 | 1.07 |
| 14 | 6.46 | 1.03 |
| 14.25 | 6.67 | 1.02 |
Next I Liga matches
| 8 Nov | Pogoń Siedlce – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
| 8 Nov | Stal Mielec – Ruch Chorzów |