Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki• I Liga, Poland

#121.2:1.816:00Today · Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce1.2:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20BTNX3.50DAF23.21PINMargin at best5.2%Books10Markets77Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.22	3.54	3.21	4.4%
Dafabet	2.24	3.45	3.00	7.0%
Betano	2.20	3.35	3.05	8.1%
BetVictor	2.15	3.40	3.00	9.3%
Betfair	2.10	3.40	3.00	10.4%
1xBet	2.11	3.34	3.01	10.6%
William Hill	2.15	3.20	3.00	11.1%
Bet365	2.15	3.30	2.88	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.09	3.34	2.94	11.8%
SBO	2.06	3.07	2.80	16.8%
Best of all books	2.24	3.54	3.21	4.0%
Average	2.15	3.34	2.99	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10#12Table position#61.23Points per game1.624Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5031Defence rating6940Form rating6050H2H rating5032Goals model6843Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Pogoń Siedlce

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

3 Nov	H	Ruch Chorzów	1-1	D
28 Oct	A	Tychy 71	2-4	L
25 Oct	A	Odra Opole	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Stal Rzeszów	3-4	L
15 Oct	H	Puszcza Niepołomice	1-3	L
9 Oct	A	Podbeskidzie	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Arka Gdynia	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chrobry Głogów	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Kluczevia Stargard	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Stal Mielec	2-0	W

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

30 Oct	H	Stal Mielec	0-1	L
25 Oct	A	Ruch Chorzów	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Polonia Warszawa	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Chrobry Głogów	4-0	W
2 Oct	A	Radomiak Radom	2-7	L
19 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Unia Skierniewice	2-3	L
4 Sep	H	Warta Poznań	1-0	W
1 Sep	A	Podhale Nowy Targ	1-3	L
28 Aug	H	Nieciecza	2-2	D

Head to head

4Pogoń Siedlce wins

1draws

3Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki wins

8 meetings · goals 14:11 · last 8: 4W 1D 3L for Pogoń Siedlce

11 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2-2Pogoń Siedlce
19 Apr 2026I Liga	I Liga	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0-2Pogoń Siedlce
4 Oct 2025I Liga	I Liga	Pogoń Siedlce1-2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
17 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Pogoń Siedlce1-3Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
4 Feb 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Pogoń Siedlce3-1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
9 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Pogoń Siedlce2-0Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
5 Apr 2022II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-2Pogoń Siedlce
19 Sep 2021II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Pogoń Siedlce1-2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 8 Nov 13:20 UTC

In the I Liga table, Pogoń Siedlce sit 12th with 16 points from 13 games, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 6th with 21 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	14	7	4	3	23:15	+8	25
2	Ruch Chorzów	13	6	4	3	17:12	+5	22
3	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	1	5	25:21	+4	22
4	ŁKS Łódź	13	6	4	3	16:12	+4	22
5	Nieciecza	14	6	4	4	22:20	+2	22
6	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	19:12	+7	21
7	Polonia Bytom	13	5	6	2	23:20	+3	21
8	Miedz Legnica	14	5	5	4	20:13	+7	20
9	Warta Poznań	14	6	1	7	20:20	0	19
10	Arka Gdynia	14	5	3	6	19:17	+2	18
11	Stal Rzeszów	13	5	3	5	18:24	-6	18
12	Pogoń Siedlce	13	4	4	5	15:16	-1	16
13	Stal Mielec	13	4	4	5	17:27	-10	16
14	Chrobry Głogów	14	3	6	5	15:17	-2	15
15	Podbeskidzie	14	2	9	3	17:20	-3	15
16	Puszcza Niepołomice	14	4	2	8	16:20	-4	14
17	Unia Skierniewice	14	4	2	8	20:26	-6	14
18	Odra Opole	14	3	3	8	11:21	-10	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.13X27%3.36230%3.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.19 → 2.13 -2.7%X3.38 → 3.36 -0.6%22.90 → 3.01 +3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	2.02	4.5%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.82	2.02	4.5%
Average	1.76	1.98	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.18	8.4%
Betano	1.60	2.18	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.14	9.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.61	2.19	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogoń Siedlce 10%Draw 45%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 45%

The statistical model rates Pogoń Siedlce at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.36 | 3.01, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Pogoń Siedlce are 12th (16 pts, 15-16 goals), Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 6th (21 pts, 19-12).

Over their last five matches, Pogoń Siedlce averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.34	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.61	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.71	2.20	3.54

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.52	3.19

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.41	13.3	27.7
HT X	5.42	5.38	7.09
HT 2	23.2	13.3	4.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	12.5	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.6
1.5	1.23	3.80
2.5	1.76	1.98
3.5	2.88	1.36
4.5	5.46	1.12
5.5	10.7	1.04
6.5	20.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.35	2.91
2.25	1.55	2.28
2.75	1.95	1.77
3	2.26	1.56
3.25	2.50	1.43
3.75	3.35	1.25
4	4.45	1.14
4.25	4.80	1.12
4.75	6.50	1.05
5	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.50	1.47
-0.5	2.17	1.65
-0.25	1.87	1.86
0	1.59	2.24
+0.25	1.44	2.60
+0.5	1.37	3.08

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.87	1.03
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.75	5.23	1.12
-1.5	4.00	1.19
-1.25	3.63	1.24
-1	3.24	1.30
+0.75	1.23	3.72
+1	1.11	5.33
+1.25	1.09	5.80
+1.5	1.08	6.23
+1.75	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.07	5.39
8.5	1.21	3.63
9.5	1.44	2.54
10.5	1.70	2.05
11.5	2.07	1.69
12.5	2.62	1.41
13.5	3.87	1.17
14.5	5.65	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.08	5.17
8	1.09	4.94
8.25	1.16	4.04
8.75	1.25	3.31
9	1.27	3.14
9.25	1.36	2.76
9.75	1.50	2.37
10	1.59	2.24
10.25	1.66	2.08
10.75	1.84	1.86
11	2.00	1.75
11.25	2.07	1.67
11.75	2.33	1.52
12	2.55	1.43
12.25	2.68	1.38
12.75	3.12	1.28
13	3.55	1.21
13.25	3.71	1.19
13.75	4.43	1.12
14	5.27	1.08
14.25	5.46	1.07

Next I Liga matches

8 Nov

Stal Mielec – Ruch Chorzów

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

8 Nov	Polonia Bytom 1-0 Lechia Gdansk
7 Nov	Warta Poznań 0-3 Polonia Warszawa
7 Nov	Nieciecza 2-2 Chrobry Głogów
7 Nov	Arka Gdynia 3-1 Podbeskidzie
6 Nov	Odra Opole 3-5 Unia Skierniewice
6 Nov	Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Miedz Legnica