Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów• I Liga, Poland

#51.4:1.22-2FT07/11 · Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza, Nieciecza0.4:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.89DAFX3.69PIN24.00PINMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets81Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.87	3.72	4.11	4.7%
Dafabet	1.92	3.55	3.75	6.9%
Betano	1.85	3.55	3.85	8.2%
BetVictor	1.83	3.50	3.80	9.5%
Betfair	1.83	3.50	3.70	10.2%
1xBet	1.81	3.48	3.76	10.6%
William Hill	1.85	3.30	3.75	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.48	3.68	11.8%
Bet365	1.80	3.40	3.70	12.0%
SBO	1.85	3.15	3.43	15.0%
Best of all books	1.92	3.72	4.11	3.3%
Average	1.84	3.46	3.75	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NiecieczaChrobry Głogów

Last 10#5Table position#141.57Points per game1.078Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 51.878Attack rating2260Defence rating4080Form rating2093H2H rating749Goals model5174Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:11 UTC

Nieciecza

7W 2D 1L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	A	Miedz Legnica	1-1	D
27 Oct	A	Olimpia Grudziądz	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	Arka Gdynia	1-3	L
19 Oct	H	Puszcza Niepołomice	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Unia Skierniewice	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Cracovia Krakow	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Odra Opole	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Stal Mielec	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Lechia Gdansk	2-1	W
1 Sep	A	Wigry Suwałki	5-1	W

Chrobry Głogów

2W 4D 4L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

3 Nov	H	Arka Gdynia	0-0	D
29 Oct	H	Polonia Bytom	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Stal Mielec	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Polonia Bytom	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	0-4	L
3 Oct	H	Warta Poznań	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Polonia Warszawa	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Pogoń Siedlce	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Miedz Legnica	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	Miedz Legnica	1-0	W

Head to head

9Nieciecza wins

2draws

1Chrobry Głogów wins

12 meetings · goals 27:6 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Nieciecza

7 Dec 2024I Liga	I Liga	Nieciecza3-2Chrobry Głogów
27 Jul 2024I Liga	I Liga	Chrobry Głogów0-4Nieciecza
18 Feb 2024I Liga	I Liga	Nieciecza1-1Chrobry Głogów
5 Aug 2023I Liga	I Liga	Chrobry Głogów0-5Nieciecza
4 Mar 2023I Liga	I Liga	Chrobry Głogów0-2Nieciecza
11 Aug 2022I Liga	I Liga	Nieciecza3-1Chrobry Głogów
19 May 2021I Liga	I Liga	Nieciecza0-0Chrobry Głogów
4 Nov 2020I Liga	I Liga	Chrobry Głogów0-2Nieciecza
23 Nov 2019I Liga	I Liga	Nieciecza4-0Chrobry Głogów
2 Aug 2019I Liga	I Liga	Chrobry Głogów0-1Nieciecza

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 8 Nov 13:20 UTC

In the I Liga table, Nieciecza sit 5th with 22 points from 14 games, while Chrobry Głogów are 14th with 15 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	14	7	4	3	23:15	+8	25
2	Ruch Chorzów	13	6	4	3	17:12	+5	22
3	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	1	5	25:21	+4	22
4	ŁKS Łódź	13	6	4	3	16:12	+4	22
5	Nieciecza	14	6	4	4	22:20	+2	22
6	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	19:12	+7	21
7	Polonia Bytom	13	5	6	2	23:20	+3	21
8	Miedz Legnica	14	5	5	4	20:13	+7	20
9	Warta Poznań	14	6	1	7	20:20	0	19
10	Arka Gdynia	14	5	3	6	19:17	+2	18
11	Stal Rzeszów	13	5	3	5	18:24	-6	18
12	Pogoń Siedlce	13	4	4	5	15:16	-1	16
13	Stal Mielec	13	4	4	5	17:27	-10	16
14	Chrobry Głogów	14	3	6	5	15:17	-2	15
15	Podbeskidzie	14	2	9	3	17:20	-3	15
16	Puszcza Niepołomice	14	4	2	8	16:20	-4	14
17	Unia Skierniewice	14	4	2	8	20:26	-6	14
18	Odra Opole	14	3	3	8	11:21	-10	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.84X26%3.46224%3.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.89 → 1.84 -2.6%X3.45 → 3.46 +0.3%23.54 → 3.71 +4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	2.03	4.2%
SBO	1.79	2.03	5.1%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.78	1.98	6.7%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.82	2.03	4.2%
Average	1.77	1.98	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.66	2.09	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nieciecza 45%Draw 45%Chrobry Głogów 10%

The statistical model rated Nieciecza at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chrobry Głogów at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 3.46 | 3.75, which imply roughly 54.3% for a Nieciecza win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Nieciecza are 5th (22 pts, 22-20 goals), Chrobry Głogów 14th (15 pts, 15-17).

Over their last five matches, Nieciecza averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Chrobry Głogów averaged 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nieciecza or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.46	3.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.85	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.24	4.20

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.55	3.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.83	13.6	32.4
HT X	4.86	5.50	8.57
HT 2	21.4	14.2	6.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	12.3	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.5
1.5	1.23	3.74
2.5	1.77	1.99
3.5	2.86	1.37
4.5	5.25	1.13
5.5	9.68	1.05
6.5	20.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.85
1	1.01	8.60
1.25	1.11	4.96
1.75	1.25	3.29
2	1.34	2.94
2.25	1.55	2.29
2.75	1.96	1.77
3	2.26	1.56
3.25	2.48	1.44
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.33	1.14
4.25	4.65	1.12
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.85	1.37
-1	2.50	1.47
-0.75	2.07	1.69
-0.5	1.84	1.94
-0.25	1.59	2.22
0	1.37	2.86

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.33	1.07
-2.25	5.92	1.09
-2	5.57	1.10
-1.75	3.92	1.20
-1.5	3.20	1.30
+0.25	1.29	3.30
+0.5	1.25	3.92
+0.75	1.14	4.70
+1	1.04	6.80
+1.25	1.03	7.20
+1.5	1.03	7.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.62
8.5	1.28	3.11
9.5	1.54	2.30
10.5	1.90	1.81
11.5	2.41	1.49
12.5	3.17	1.27
13.5	4.53	1.12
14.5	6.83	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.01	7.31
7.25	1.06	5.59
7.75	1.13	4.41
8	1.14	4.20
8.25	1.22	3.51
8.75	1.32	2.92
9	1.36	2.76
9.25	1.46	2.47
9.75	1.62	2.15
10	1.70	2.06
10.25	1.80	1.90
10.75	2.01	1.71
11	2.17	1.63
11.25	2.28	1.54
11.75	2.60	1.41
12	2.90	1.32
12.25	3.04	1.29
12.75	3.59	1.20
13	4.18	1.14
13.25	4.35	1.13
13.75	5.27	1.08
14	6.42	1.03
14.25	6.63	1.03

Next I Liga matches

8 Nov	Pogoń Siedlce – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
8 Nov	Stal Mielec – Ruch Chorzów

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

8 Nov	Polonia Bytom 1-0 Lechia Gdansk
7 Nov	Warta Poznań 0-3 Polonia Warszawa
7 Nov	Arka Gdynia 3-1 Podbeskidzie
6 Nov	Odra Opole 3-5 Unia Skierniewice
6 Nov	Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Miedz Legnica
3 Nov	Chrobry Głogów 0-0 Arka Gdynia