Celje vs Nafta• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#40.6:0.64-0FT01/11 · Celje0.6:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45BTNX5.03PIN26.40PINMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets88Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L51.2

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.44	5.02	6.41	5.0%
Dafabet	1.44	4.70	6.00	7.4%
Betano	1.45	4.45	5.90	8.4%
BetVictor	1.40	4.60	6.00	9.8%
1xBet	1.41	4.45	5.83	10.5%
Betfair	1.40	4.60	5.50	11.3%
William Hill	1.40	4.40	5.80	11.4%
Bet365	1.42	4.33	5.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.40	4.45	5.60	11.8%
SBO	1.39	4.10	5.32	15.1%
Best of all books	1.45	5.02	6.41	4.5%
Average	1.42	4.51	5.79	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CeljeNafta

Last 10#4Table position#61.54Points per game1.299Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 50.60.6Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5050Defence rating5043Form rating5793H2H rating748Goals model5260Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:01 UTC

Celje

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Nafta	4-0	W
28 Oct	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Korotan Prevalje	2-0	W
22 Oct	H	Red Bull Salzburg	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Maribor	0-0	D
15 Oct	H	Omonia Nicosia	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Aluminij	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Mura	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Bravo	1-2	L

Nafta

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

28 Oct	H	Aluminij	0-0	D
23 Oct	A	Triglav	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Mura	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Bravo	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Koper	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Radomlje	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Maribor	2-3	L
21 Aug	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Celje	1-3	L

Head to head

5Celje wins

2draws

0Nafta wins

7 meetings · goals 21:7 · last 7: 5W 2D 0L for Celje

15 Aug 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Nafta1-3Celje
18 May 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Nafta1-6Celje
16 Mar 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Celje3-2Nafta
1 Dec 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Nafta0-0Celje
15 Sep 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Celje3-1Nafta
22 Nov 2023Cup	Cup	Nafta1-1Celje
8 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Celje5-1Nafta

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 1 Nov 20:20 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Celje sit 4th with 20 points from 13 games, while Nafta are 6th with 18 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Koper	13	7	4	2	23:11	+12	25
2	Maribor	14	6	6	2	21:14	+7	24
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	14	6	4	4	16:12	+4	22
4	Celje	13	5	5	3	17:12	+5	20
5	Bravo	13	5	5	3	14:13	+1	20
6	Nafta	14	5	3	6	18:20	-2	18
7	Aluminij	14	4	5	5	21:13	+8	17
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	14	3	4	7	15:25	-10	13
9	Mura	14	2	7	5	14:25	-11	13
10	Radomlje	13	1	5	7	15:29	-14	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.41X20%4.51216%5.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.43 → 1.41 -1.4%X4.51 → 4.49 -0.4%25.74 → 5.77 +0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.51	2.58	5.0%
Betano	1.52	2.45	6.6%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.49	2.39	9.0%
1xBet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.52	2.58	4.5%
Average	1.48	2.48	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.19	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.62	2.15	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Celje 45%Draw 45%Nafta 10%

The statistical model rated Celje at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nafta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.51 | 5.79, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Celje win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Celje are 4th (20 pts, 17-12 goals), Nafta 6th (18 pts, 18-20).

Over their last five matches, Celje averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Nafta averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Celje or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.41	4.51	5.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.60	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
1.87	2.54	5.56

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	2.97	5.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.05	15.7	42.7
HT X	4.40	7.37	12.8
HT 2	18.4	16.6	9.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	19.5	2.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.9
1.5	1.13	5.20
2.5	1.48	2.48
3.5	2.21	1.61
4.5	3.71	1.23
5.5	6.75	1.07
6.5	9.58	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	13.0
1.75	1.12	4.65
2	1.15	4.20
2.25	1.31	2.98
2.75	1.57	2.23
3	1.76	1.96
3.25	1.96	1.75
3.75	2.48	1.47
4	2.97	1.30
4.25	3.28	1.25
4.75	4.40	1.14
5	5.90	1.07
5.25	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.46	1.48
-1.5	2.14	1.65
-1.25	1.92	1.82
-1	1.67	2.09
-0.75	1.51	2.39
-0.5	1.44	2.78

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.20	1.03
-3.25	6.67	1.07
-3	6.30	1.07
-2.75	4.57	1.15
-2.5	3.68	1.22
-2.25	3.39	1.28
-2	3.04	1.33
-0.25	1.29	3.34
0	1.15	4.52
+0.25	1.12	5.10
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+0.75	1.04	7.00
+1	1.01	9.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.44
7.5	1.18	3.86
8.5	1.41	2.61
9.5	1.73	1.99
10.5	2.17	1.61
11.5	2.73	1.37
12.5	3.74	1.19
13.5	5.51	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.18
7	1.05	5.91
7.25	1.11	4.66
7.75	1.19	3.72
8	1.21	3.53
8.25	1.30	3.02
8.75	1.42	2.55
9	1.50	2.42
9.25	1.58	2.20
9.75	1.77	1.94
10	1.90	1.84
10.25	1.98	1.74
10.75	2.24	1.56
11	2.49	1.47
11.25	2.57	1.42
11.75	3.00	1.30
12	3.41	1.23
12.25	3.58	1.21
12.75	4.28	1.14
13	5.11	1.08
13.25	5.31	1.07

Next 1. SNL matches

2 Nov

Bravo – Koper

All 1. SNL fixtures and the table

Latest 1. SNL results

1 Nov	Mura 0-0 Brinje-Grosuplje
31 Oct	Aluminij 5-0 Radomlje
31 Oct	Maribor 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana
29 Oct	Brinje-Grosuplje 0-0 Bravo
28 Oct	Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Celje
28 Oct	Nafta 0-0 Aluminij