Nafta vs Aluminij• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#51.2:0.816:00Tomorrow · Lendava1.6:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40BVCX3.73PIN22.75DAFMargin at best4.8%Books10Markets49Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.33	3.73	2.71	6.6%
Dafabet	2.33	3.60	2.75	7.1%
Betano	2.32	3.50	2.72	8.4%
Betfair	2.30	3.50	2.70	9.1%
BetVictor	2.38	3.40	2.63	9.5%
Bet365	2.35	3.40	2.55	11.2%
William Hill	2.30	3.40	2.60	11.4%
1xBet	2.33	3.36	2.55	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.33	3.36	2.55	11.9%
SBO	2.20	3.12	2.54	16.9%
Best of all books	2.38	3.73	2.75	5.2%
Average	2.32	3.44	2.63	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NaftaAluminij

Last 10#5Table position#71.42Points per game1.088Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5756Defence rating4467Form rating3350H2H rating5037Goals model6350Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Nafta

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

23 Oct	A	Triglav	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Mura	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Bravo	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Koper	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Radomlje	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Maribor	2-3	L
21 Aug	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Celje	1-3	L
9 Aug	A	Aluminij	1-1	D

Aluminij

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

23 Oct	A	Brežice	2-4	L
16 Oct	H	Olimpija Ljubljana	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Celje	0-1	L
2 Oct	H	NK Varazdin	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Maribor	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Mura	6-1	W
5 Sep	H	Bravo	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Celje	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Koper	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	Brinje-Grosuplje	4-2	W

Head to head

1Nafta wins

2draws

1Aluminij wins

4 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Nafta

9 Aug 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij1-1Nafta
17 Mar 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Aluminij1-1Nafta
4 Sep 20222. SNL	2. SNL	Nafta1-3Aluminij
30 Jun 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Aluminij2-3Nafta

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 27 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Nafta sit 5th with 17 points from 12 games, while Aluminij are 7th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	12	6	6	0	21:9	+12	24
2	Koper	12	6	4	2	19:11	+8	22
3	Bravo	12	5	4	3	14:13	+1	19
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	12	5	3	4	14:11	+3	18
5	Nafta	12	5	2	5	18:16	+2	17
6	Celje	11	4	4	3	12:11	+1	16
7	Aluminij	12	3	4	5	16:13	+3	13
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	12	3	2	7	15:25	-10	11
9	Mura	12	2	5	5	13:24	-11	11
10	Radomlje	11	1	4	6	14:23	-9	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.33X26%3.46235%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.37 → 2.33 -1.7%X3.40 → 3.46 +1.8%22.62 → 2.63 +0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.68	2.17	5.6%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.17	4.9%
Average	1.68	2.09	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.57	2.25	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nafta 35%Draw 35%Aluminij 30%

The statistical model rates Nafta at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aluminij at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 3.46 | 2.63, which imply roughly 42.9% for a Nafta win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Nafta are 5th (17 pts, 18-16 goals), Aluminij 7th (13 pts, 16-13).

Over their last five matches, Nafta averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Aluminij averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nafta or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.32	3.44	2.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.51	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.75	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	2.23	3.17

2nd half

1	X	2
2.64	2.55	2.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.73	13.3	24.7
HT X	5.90	5.75	6.44
HT 2	23.5	13.3	4.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	13.3	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.7
1.5	1.20	4.08
2.5	1.68	2.09
3.5	2.67	1.42
4.5	4.74	1.15
5.5	8.52	1.04
6.5	11.3	1.01
7.5	17.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.15
1.75	1.25	3.35
2	1.33	2.89
2.25	1.49	2.40
2.75	1.84	1.86
3	2.12	1.63
3.25	2.39	1.50
3.75	3.15	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.50	1.13
4.75	5.95	1.07
5	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.74	1.40
-0.5	2.30	1.58
-0.25	2.02	1.71
0	1.74	1.98
+0.25	1.55	2.29
+0.5	1.43	2.68

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.01
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.75	5.72	1.10
-1.5	4.38	1.16
-1.25	3.99	1.21
-1	3.56	1.25
+0.75	1.30	3.21
+1	1.17	4.35
+1.25	1.14	4.73
+1.5	1.12	5.13
+1.75	1.07	6.60
+2	1.01	9.80

Next 1. SNL matches

27 Oct	Radomlje – Mura
27 Oct	Koper – Maribor
28 Oct	Olimpija Ljubljana – Celje
29 Oct	Brinje-Grosuplje – Bravo

All 1. SNL fixtures and the table

Latest 1. SNL results

18 Oct	Maribor 0-0 Celje
18 Oct	Koper 5-0 Brinje-Grosuplje
17 Oct	Mura 0-0 Nafta
17 Oct	Bravo 2-2 Radomlje
16 Oct	Aluminij 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana
11 Oct	Brinje-Grosuplje 1-2 Maribor