Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#71.6:1.20-1FTToday · Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo2.0:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.95PINX3.65PIN21.90PINMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets79Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 13:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.95	3.65	1.90	5.3%
Bet365	3.75	3.50	1.85	9.3%
BetVictor	3.80	3.50	1.83	9.5%
1xBet	3.68	3.44	1.84	10.6%
William Hill	3.70	3.30	1.85	11.4%
Marathonbet	3.60	3.44	1.82	11.8%
Best of all books	3.95	3.65	1.90	5.3%
Average	3.75	3.47	1.85	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AluminijOlimpija Ljubljana

Last 10#7Table position#51.18Points per game1.366Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5650Defence rating5038Form rating627H2H rating9352Goals model4836Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 14:01 UTC

Aluminij

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Celje	0-1	L
2 Oct	H	NK Varazdin	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Maribor	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Mura	6-1	W
5 Sep	H	Bravo	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Celje	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Koper	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	Brinje-Grosuplje	4-2	W
16 Aug	A	Radomlje	3-1	W
9 Aug	H	Nafta	1-1	D

Olimpija Ljubljana

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	H	Mura	3-3	D
1 Oct	H	NK Slaven Belupo	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Bravo	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Koper	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Brinje-Grosuplje	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Radomlje	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Nafta	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Maribor	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Celje	0-1	L
2 Aug	H	Aluminij	1-0	W

Head to head

6Aluminij wins

4draws

17Olimpija Ljubljana wins

27 meetings · goals 27:55 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Aluminij

2 Aug 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana1-0Aluminij
11 Apr 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana2-1Aluminij
5 Feb 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij1-2Olimpija Ljubljana
3 Oct 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana1-1Aluminij
26 Jul 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij0-3Olimpija Ljubljana
20 Apr 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana5-0Aluminij
24 Feb 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij0-4Olimpija Ljubljana
29 Oct 20231. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana0-0Aluminij
19 Aug 20231. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij4-5Olimpija Ljubljana
26 Apr 2023Cup	Cup	Olimpija Ljubljana2-1Aluminij

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 16 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Aluminij sit 7th with 13 points from 11 games, while Olimpija Ljubljana are 5th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	11	6	5	0	21:9	+12	23
2	Koper	11	5	4	2	14:11	+3	19
3	Bravo	11	5	3	3	12:11	+1	18
4	Nafta	11	5	1	5	18:16	+2	16
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	11	4	3	4	13:11	+2	15
6	Celje	10	4	3	3	12:11	+1	15
7	Aluminij	11	3	4	4	16:12	+4	13
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	11	3	2	6	15:20	-5	11
9	Mura	11	2	4	5	13:24	-11	10
10	Radomlje	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.75X26%3.47249%1.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.91 → 3.75 -4.1%X3.45 → 3.47 +0.6%21.82 → 1.85 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.84	2.00	4.3%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.84	2.00	4.3%
Average	1.79	1.94	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.68	2.04	8.5%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.01	9.3%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aluminij 10%Draw 45%Olimpija Ljubljana 45%

The statistical model rated Aluminij at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Olimpija Ljubljana at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.75 | 3.47 | 1.85, which imply roughly 28.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Aluminij are 7th (13 pts, 16-12 goals), Olimpija Ljubljana 5th (15 pts, 13-11).

Over their last five matches, Aluminij averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Olimpija Ljubljana averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Olimpija Ljubljana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.75	3.47	1.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.81	1.23	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
2.79	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
4.23	2.22	2.42

2nd half

1	X	2
3.82	2.51	2.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.17	14.7	23.7
HT X	8.43	5.57	4.87
HT 2	33.3	14.5	2.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.44	10.7	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.40
1.5	1.23	3.68
2.5	1.79	1.94
3.5	2.93	1.35
4.5	5.39	1.11
5.5	10.3	1.05
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.70
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.12	4.76
1.75	1.27	3.15
2	1.37	2.80
2.25	1.58	2.22
2.75	1.98	1.73
3	2.31	1.53
3.25	2.57	1.40
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.90	1.11
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.80	1.38
+0.25	2.18	1.61
+0.5	1.92	1.85
+0.75	1.66	2.09
+1	1.45	2.57
+1.25	1.36	2.92

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.60	1.03
-1.25	7.20	1.03
-1	6.83	1.06
-0.75	4.63	1.15
-0.5	3.81	1.26
-0.25	3.25	1.30
+1.5	1.29	3.29
+1.75	1.19	4.00
+2	1.10	5.68
+2.25	1.08	6.08
+2.5	1.07	6.47

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	5.30
7.5	1.25	3.28
8.5	1.57	2.26
9.5	1.89	1.83
10.5	2.38	1.50
11.5	3.17	1.27
12.5	4.49	1.12
13.5	6.89	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.08	5.06
7	1.10	4.82
7.25	1.17	3.90
7.75	1.27	3.17
8	1.30	2.99
8.25	1.40	2.63
8.75	1.55	2.26
9	1.77	2.01
9.25	1.74	1.98
9.75	1.95	1.76
10	2.13	1.65
10.25	2.21	1.58
10.75	2.54	1.43
11	2.83	1.34
11.25	2.98	1.31
11.75	3.53	1.21
12	4.12	1.15
12.25	4.31	1.13
12.75	5.25	1.08
13	6.46	1.03
13.25	6.67	1.02