Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#81.8:2.21-2FT11/10 · Nogometni park Brinje, Grosuplje2.4:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.01PINX3.91PIN21.67PINMargin at best5.4%Books10Markets81Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.01	3.91	1.67	5.4%
Dafabet	4.80	3.90	1.65	7.1%
Betano	4.75	3.80	1.65	8.0%
BetVictor	4.75	3.75	1.62	9.4%
Bet365	4.75	3.70	1.62	9.8%
Betfair	4.75	3.80	1.60	9.9%
1xBet	4.70	3.78	1.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	4.60	3.78	1.57	11.9%
William Hill	4.60	3.50	1.62	12.0%
SBO	4.52	3.52	1.56	14.6%
Best of all books	5.01	3.91	1.67	5.4%
Average	4.72	3.74	1.61	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Brinje-GrosupljeMaribor

Last 10#8Table position#11.00Points per game2.096Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 52.42.2Goals against · last 51.243Attack rating5735Defence rating6535Form rating6550H2H rating5040Goals model6039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Brinje-Grosuplje

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

11 Oct	H	Maribor	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Radomlje	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Nafta	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Celje	4-1	W
21 Aug	A	Aluminij	2-4	L
16 Aug	H	Mura	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Bravo	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	Koper	1-1	D
25 Jul	A	Maribor	0-3	L

Maribor

5W 5D 0L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	2-1	W
28 Sep	H	HNK Gorica	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Aluminij	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Radomlje	3-0	W
6 Sep	H	Mura	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Nafta	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Bravo	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Koper	2-0	W
1 Aug	A	Celje	1-1	D

Head to head

0Brinje-Grosuplje wins

1draws

1Maribor wins

2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Brinje-Grosuplje

25 Jul 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Maribor3-0Brinje-Grosuplje
29 Oct 2025Cup	Cup	Brinje-Grosuplje1-1Maribor

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Brinje-Grosuplje sit 8th with 11 points from 11 games, while Maribor are 1st with 23 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	11	6	5	0	21:9	+12	23
2	Koper	11	5	4	2	14:11	+3	19
3	Bravo	11	5	3	3	12:11	+1	18
4	Nafta	11	5	1	5	18:16	+2	16
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	11	4	3	4	13:11	+2	15
6	Celje	10	4	3	3	12:11	+1	15
7	Aluminij	11	3	4	4	16:12	+4	13
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	11	3	2	6	15:20	-5	11
9	Mura	11	2	4	5	13:24	-11	10
10	Radomlje	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.72X24%3.74256%1.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.42 → 4.72 +6.8%X3.61 → 3.72 +3.0%21.66 → 1.62 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	2.06	4.7%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
SBO	1.76	2.02	6.3%
Betano	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
BetVictor	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.78	2.06	4.7%
Average	1.74	2.00	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.73	1.98	8.3%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.74	1.97	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brinje-Grosuplje 10%Draw 45%Maribor 45%

The statistical model rated Brinje-Grosuplje at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Maribor at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.72 | 3.74 | 1.62, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Brinje-Grosuplje are 8th (11 pts, 15-20 goals), Maribor 1st (23 pts, 21-9).

Over their last five matches, Brinje-Grosuplje averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Maribor averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Maribor.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.72	3.74	1.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.13	1.14	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
3.56	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
4.97	2.27	2.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.70	12.9	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.22	3.89
2.5	1.74	2.00
3.5	2.83	1.38
4.5	5.34	1.12
5.5	9.72	1.04
6.5	12.2	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.34	2.90
2.25	1.54	2.30
2.75	1.94	1.78
3	2.24	1.57
3.25	2.53	1.45
3.75	3.43	1.23
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	5.00	1.11
4.75	6.90	1.04
5	8.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.63	1.43
+0.5	2.19	1.64
+0.75	1.94	1.80
+1	1.69	2.08
+1.25	1.51	2.38
+1.5	1.41	2.68

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.60	1.01
-1	8.95	1.02
-0.75	6.18	1.08
-0.5	4.65	1.18
-0.25	4.16	1.19
0	3.63	1.24
+1.75	1.29	3.28
+2	1.15	4.50
+2.25	1.13	4.90
+2.5	1.11	5.35
+2.75	1.06	7.00
+3	1.01	9.35

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.83
6.5	1.17	3.93
7.5	1.40	2.65
8.5	1.71	2.04
9.5	2.13	1.63
10.5	2.79	1.37
11.5	4.12	1.15
12.5	6.33	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.53
6	1.04	6.24
6.25	1.10	4.78
6.75	1.18	3.76
7	1.21	3.55
7.25	1.30	3.01
7.75	1.44	2.52
8	1.53	2.35
8.25	1.61	2.16
8.75	1.81	1.89
9	1.86	1.88
9.25	2.05	1.68
9.75	2.34	1.51
10	2.43	1.50
10.25	2.74	1.37
10.75	3.24	1.26
11	3.76	1.18
11.25	3.94	1.16
11.75	4.81	1.10
12	5.90	1.05
12.25	6.11	1.04