Maribor vs Celje• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#12.2:1.216:0018/10 · Ljudski vrt, Maribor0.8:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25PINX3.66PIN22.87PINMargin at best6.6%Books6Markets76Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 17:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.25	3.66	2.87	6.6%
BetVictor	2.20	3.50	2.80	9.7%
1xBet	2.20	3.45	2.76	10.7%
Bet365	2.15	3.60	2.70	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.18	3.45	2.70	11.9%
William Hill	2.20	3.30	2.75	12.1%
Best of all books	2.25	3.66	2.87	6.6%
Average	2.20	3.49	2.76	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MariborCelje

Last 10#1Table position#62.09Points per game1.509Form pts · last 542.2Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 50.673Attack rating2733Defence rating6761Form rating3915H2H rating8574Goals model2648Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:02 UTC

Maribor

5W 5D 0L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	2-1	W
28 Sep	H	HNK Gorica	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Aluminij	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Radomlje	3-0	W
6 Sep	H	Mura	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Nafta	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Bravo	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Koper	2-0	W
1 Aug	A	Celje	1-1	D

Celje

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:15 · per match 0.7 for, 1.5 against

15 Oct	H	Omonia Nicosia	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Aluminij	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Mura	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Bravo	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Koper	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Aluminij	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	1-4	L
26 Aug	H	Slovan Bratislava	1-2	L
19 Aug	A	Slovan Bratislava	1-1	D

Head to head

11Maribor wins

9draws

14Celje wins

34 meetings · goals 47:46 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Maribor

1 Aug 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Celje1-1Maribor
4 Apr 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Celje1-0Maribor
1 Feb 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Maribor3-3Celje
27 Sep 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Celje3-0Maribor
20 Jul 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Maribor1-2Celje
7 May 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Maribor1-1Celje
2 Apr 2025Cup	Cup	Maribor0-1Celje
8 Feb 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Celje1-2Maribor
6 Oct 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Maribor1-2Celje
18 Sep 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Celje2-1Maribor

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 16 Oct 19:40 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Maribor sit 1st with 23 points from 11 games, while Celje are 6th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	11	6	5	0	21:9	+12	23
2	Koper	11	5	4	2	14:11	+3	19
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	12	5	3	4	14:11	+3	18
4	Bravo	11	5	3	3	12:11	+1	18
5	Nafta	11	5	1	5	18:16	+2	16
6	Celje	10	4	3	3	12:11	+1	15
7	Aluminij	12	3	4	5	16:13	+3	13
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	11	3	2	6	15:20	-5	11
9	Mura	11	2	4	5	13:24	-11	10
10	Radomlje	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.19X26%3.48233%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.66	2.18	6.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.18	5.8%
Average	1.65	2.12	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.32	8.5%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.32	6.8%
Average	1.54	2.29	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maribor 35%Draw 35%Celje 30%

The statistical model rates Maribor at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Celje at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 3.48 | 2.77, which imply roughly 45.7% for a Maribor win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Maribor are 1st (23 pts, 21-9 goals), Celje 6th (15 pts, 12-11).

Over their last five matches, Maribor averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Celje averaged 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Maribor.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.49	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.55	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.29

1st half

1	X	2
2.75	2.27	3.36

2nd half

1	X	2
2.55	2.57	3.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.43	14.3	28.0
HT X	5.77	5.77	6.83
HT 2	25.0	14.3	4.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	15.3	2.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.2
1.5	1.18	4.28
2.5	1.65	2.12
3.5	2.60	1.43
4.5	4.68	1.15
5.5	9.33	1.03
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.00
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.19	3.75
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.45	2.49
2.75	1.80	1.89
3	2.05	1.66
3.25	2.32	1.52
3.75	3.09	1.29
4	4.05	1.17
4.25	4.40	1.14
4.75	6.05	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.57	1.44
-0.5	2.19	1.63
-0.25	1.93	1.79
0	1.66	2.10
+0.25	1.49	2.42
+0.5	1.41	2.80

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.40	1.01
-1.75	5.42	1.11
-1.5	4.13	1.18
-1.25	3.76	1.22
-1	3.35	1.28
+0.75	1.27	3.39
+1	1.14	4.72
+1.25	1.12	5.25
+1.5	1.10	5.72
+1.75	1.03	7.70
+2	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.18
7.5	1.23	3.39
8.5	1.47	2.46
9.5	1.80	1.91
10.5	2.27	1.54
11.5	3.08	1.28
12.5	4.61	1.11
13.5	7.10	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.94
7	1.11	4.70
7.25	1.18	3.82
7.75	1.28	3.11
8	1.32	2.94
8.25	1.41	2.59
8.75	1.57	2.22
9	1.62	2.19
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.97	1.74
10	2.07	1.70
10.25	2.24	1.56
10.75	2.58	1.42
11	2.88	1.33
11.25	3.04	1.29
11.75	3.60	1.20
12	4.23	1.14
12.25	4.42	1.12
12.75	5.40	1.07
13	6.66	1.03
13.25	6.88	1.02