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Mura vs Nafta• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#91.0:2.415:30Tomorrow · Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota1.6:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.13PINX3.58PIN23.16PINMargin at best6.5%Books6Markets74Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 17:36 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.183.573.175.4%
BetVictor2.103.403.109.3%
1xBet2.083.383.0310.7%
William Hill2.103.253.0011.7%
Bet3652.053.253.1011.8%
Marathonbet2.063.382.9611.9%
Best of all books2.183.573.175.4%
Average2.103.373.0610.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MuraNafta
Last 10#9Table position#50.91Points per game1.453Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.62.4Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6237Defence rating6325Form rating7515H2H rating8520Goals model8028Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:51 UTC

Mura

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:22 · per match 1.1 for, 2.2 against

10 OctAOlimpija Ljubljana3-3D
20 SepHCelje0-0D
13 SepHAluminij1-6L
6 SepAMaribor1-1D
29 AugABravo0-2L
22 AugHKoper0-1L
16 AugABrinje-Grosuplje2-1W
10 AugHRadomlje1-3L
1 AugANafta2-5L
25 JulHOlimpija Ljubljana1-0W

Nafta

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

11 OctHBravo1-0W
19 SepAKoper0-2L
11 SepABrinje-Grosuplje2-1W
4 SepHRadomlje3-1W
30 AugHMaribor2-3L
21 AugAOlimpija Ljubljana0-1L
15 AugHCelje1-3L
9 AugAAluminij1-1D
1 AugHMura5-2W
26 JulABravo3-0W

Head to head

2Mura wins
3draws
3Nafta wins

8 meetings · goals 10:13 · last 8: 2W 3D 3L for Mura

1 Aug 20261. SNL1. SNLNafta5-2Mura
3 Dec 2025CupCupMura1-2Nafta
5 Apr 20251. SNL1. SNLNafta4-2Mura
2 Feb 20251. SNL1. SNLMura0-0Nafta
28 Sep 20241. SNL1. SNLNafta0-0Mura
20 Jul 20241. SNL1. SNLMura1-0Nafta
15 Jan 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMura2-2Nafta
24 Jun 2020CupCupNafta0-2Mura

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 16 Oct 19:40 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Mura sit 9th with 10 points from 11 games, while Nafta are 5th with 16 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Maribor1165021:9+1223
2Koper1154214:11+319
3Olimpija Ljubljana1253414:11+318
4Bravo1153312:11+118
5Nafta1151518:16+216
6Celje1043312:11+115
7Aluminij1234516:13+313
8Brinje-Grosuplje1132615:20-511
9Mura1124513:24-1110
10Radomlje1013612:21-96

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.08X27%3.36230%3.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0115 Oct 02:401 2.08X 3.362 3.04
12.07 → 2.08 +0.5%X3.32 → 3.36 +1.2%23.20 → 3.04 -5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.782.045.2%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
BetVictor1.711.989.0%
1xBet1.672.039.1%
Marathonbet1.672.039.1%
Best of all books1.782.055.0%
Average1.722.037.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.572.238.5%
Marathonbet1.572.199.4%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.592.218.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mura 0%Draw 50%Nafta 50%

The statistical model rates Mura at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Nafta at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.36 | 3.04, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Mura are 9th (10 pts, 13-24 goals), Nafta 5th (16 pts, 18-16).

Over their last five matches, Mura averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Nafta averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nafta.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.103.373.06

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.611.25

Draw no bet

12
1.572.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.21

1st half

1X2
2.672.213.61

2nd half

1X2
2.442.563.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2313.729.7
HT X5.405.637.30
HT 224.314.34.85

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7413.42.12

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.3
1.51.213.94
2.51.722.03
3.52.761.38
4.55.111.12
5.59.181.04
6.512.01.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.028.95
1.251.095.40
1.751.223.51
21.283.08
2.251.522.35
2.751.891.81
32.181.59
3.252.461.47
3.753.151.27
44.151.16
4.254.501.13
4.756.101.06
58.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.441.48
-0.52.121.68
-0.251.841.88
01.572.27
+0.251.422.64
+0.51.363.12
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.001.02
-27.201.03
-1.754.971.13
-1.53.871.20
-1.253.541.25
-13.141.31
+0.751.233.76
+11.115.42
+1.251.095.80
+1.51.086.30
+1.751.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.53
7.51.312.94
8.51.662.09
9.52.011.72
10.52.611.40
11.53.591.21
12.55.361.07
18 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.134.30
71.154.07
7.251.233.38
7.751.352.79
81.422.65
8.251.502.35
8.751.692.05
91.791.95
9.251.891.81
9.752.141.62
102.331.54
10.252.461.46
10.752.871.33
113.271.25
11.253.441.23
11.754.141.15
124.961.09
12.255.161.08