Morton vs Stenhousemuir• Championship, Scotland

#91.6:1.415:00Tomorrow · Cappielow Park, Greenock0.2:2.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.68PINX3.35PIN22.58PINMargin at best5.9%Books6Markets60Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.63	3.31	2.65	6.0%
BetVictor	2.63	3.20	2.50	9.3%
William Hill	2.50	3.10	2.60	10.7%
1xBet	2.55	3.20	2.42	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.55	3.20	2.42	11.8%
Bet365	2.55	3.10	2.45	12.3%
Best of all books	2.63	3.31	2.65	6.0%
Average	2.57	3.19	2.51	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MortonStenhousemuir

Last 10#9Table position#40.83Points per game1.779Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 50.21.4Goals against · last 52.089Attack rating1159Defence rating4190Form rating1060H2H rating4033Goals model6764Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Morton

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

3 Nov	H	Kelty Hearts	0-1	L
31 Oct	A	Partick	3-2	W
17 Oct	H	Queen's Park	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Arbroath	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Raith Rovers	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	Inverness CT	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Dunfermline	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Livingston	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Queen's Park	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Ayr Utd	1-1	D

Stenhousemuir

4W 1D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

3 Nov	H	Berwick Rangers	4-1	W
30 Oct	H	Livingston	0-3	L
27 Oct	H	Dunfermline	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Partick	0-3	L
17 Oct	H	Raith Rovers	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Inverness CT	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Ayr Utd	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Arbroath	1-0	W
15 Sep	H	Partick	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Heart Of Midlothian	0-3	L

Head to head

3Morton wins

0draws

2Stenhousemuir wins

5 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 5: 3W 0D 2L for Morton

8 Aug 2026Championship	Championship	Stenhousemuir2-0Morton
17 Jan 2026FA Cup	FA Cup	Stenhousemuir4-0Morton
15 Jul 2025League Cup	League Cup	Morton3-0Stenhousemuir
28 Jun 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Stenhousemuir0-1Morton
21 Jul 2018League Cup	League Cup	Morton2-0Stenhousemuir

Championship tableDivision1updated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Championship table, Morton sit 9th with 10 points from 12 games, while Stenhousemuir are 4th with 23 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Partick	13	7	4	2	17:7	+10	25
2	Raith Rovers	13	7	3	3	20:9	+11	24
3	Dunfermline	13	6	6	1	15:7	+8	24
4	Stenhousemuir	13	7	2	4	13:12	+1	23
5	Livingston	13	6	2	5	18:11	+7	20
6	Inverness CT	13	5	4	4	17:16	+1	19
7	Ayr Utd	12	4	3	5	13:14	-1	15
8	Arbroath	13	3	2	8	7:22	-15	11
9	Morton	12	3	1	8	12:20	-8	10
10	Queen's Park	13	2	1	10	8:22	-14	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.61X28%3.22237%2.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.09	1.74	5.3%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
BetVictor	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.74	5.1%
Average	2.03	1.71	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.76	1.94	8.4%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.77	1.92	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Morton 45%Draw 45%Stenhousemuir 10%

The statistical model rates Morton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Stenhousemuir at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.22 | 2.49, which imply roughly 38.3% for a Morton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Morton are 9th (10 pts, 12-20 goals), Stenhousemuir 4th (23 pts, 13-12).

Over their last five matches, Morton averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Stenhousemuir averaged 0.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Morton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.57	3.19	2.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.41	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
3.27	2.07	3.15

2nd half

1	X	2
3.00	2.34	2.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.24	14.5	29.7
HT X	6.07	4.90	5.90
HT 2	32.0	14.5	3.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.03	8.80	1.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.65
1.5	1.31	3.08
2.5	2.03	1.71
3.5	3.61	1.24
4.5	7.18	1.05
5.5	12.5	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.39	2.70
2	1.51	2.35
2.25	1.77	1.93
2.75	2.30	1.54
3	2.78	1.34
3.25	3.15	1.27
3.75	4.40	1.14
4	6.10	1.06
4.25	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.60	1.46
-0.25	2.23	1.58
0	1.90	1.82
+0.25	1.62	2.15
+0.5	1.48	2.54
+0.75	1.33	3.05

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.30	1.03
-1.5	5.55	1.10
-1.25	5.08	1.12
-1	4.51	1.16
-0.75	3.17	1.31
+1	1.18	4.28
+1.25	1.14	4.65
+1.5	1.12	5.23
+1.75	1.06	6.83
+2	1.02	9.10
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.09	5.00
7.5	1.26	3.20
8.5	1.53	2.30
9.5	1.94	1.82
10.5	2.42	1.48
11.5	3.28	1.25
12.5	4.78	1.10

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.12	4.53
8	1.34	2.85
9	1.68	2.05
10	2.17	1.60
11	2.97	1.31
12	4.40	1.13
13	6.98	1.02

Next Championship matches

6 Nov	Raith Rovers – Dunfermline
7 Nov	Arbroath – Ayr Utd
7 Nov	Inverness CT – Livingston
7 Nov	Queen's Park – Partick

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Arbroath 0-4 Raith Rovers
31 Oct	Partick 2-3 Morton
31 Oct	Dunfermline 5-1 Inverness CT
31 Oct	Ayr Utd 3-2 Queen's Park
30 Oct	Stenhousemuir 0-3 Livingston
27 Oct	Stenhousemuir 0-1 Dunfermline