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Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline• Championship, Scotland

#20.6:1.219:45Today · Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir0.8:0.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.64PINX3.30BFR22.11PINMargin at best5.2%Books10Markets79Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.833.242.065.5%
Betfair3.903.501.906.8%
Dafabet3.803.301.987.1%
Betano3.603.202.009.0%
William Hill3.703.002.059.1%
BetVictor3.503.202.009.8%
1xBet3.523.181.9710.6%
Marathonbet3.443.181.9511.8%
Bet3653.603.251.8512.6%
SBO3.322.971.8817.0%
Best of all books3.903.502.062.8%
Average3.623.201.969.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

StenhousemuirDunfermline
Last 10#2Table position#52.09Points per game1.647Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 50.443Attack rating5725Defence rating7544Form rating560H2H rating10075Goals model2539Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 17:02 UTC

Stenhousemuir

6W 1D 3L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

24 OctAPartick0-3L
17 OctHRaith Rovers1-1D
10 OctAInverness CT0-2L
25 SepAAyr Utd1-0W
19 SepHArbroath1-0W
15 SepHPartick1-0W
11 SepHHeart Of Midlothian0-3L
4 SepALivingston1-0W
29 AugHInverness CT3-1W
22 AugAQueen's Park2-0W

Dunfermline

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

24 OctAQueen's Park1-0W
20 OctHPartick1-1D
17 OctHLivingston0-0D
10 OctAAyr Utd1-1D
3 OctHAberdeen1-4L
19 SepAMorton1-0W
12 SepHQueen's Park2-0W
5 SepAArbroath1-1D
28 AugHRaith Rovers1-0W
22 AugALivingston0-2L

Head to head

0Stenhousemuir wins
0draws
6Dunfermline wins

6 meetings · goals 1:21 · last 6: 0W 0D 6L for Stenhousemuir

18 Jan 2025FA CupFA CupDunfermline3-0Stenhousemuir
24 Jul 2021League CupLeague CupDunfermline4-1Stenhousemuir
5 Mar 2016League OneLeague OneDunfermline5-0Stenhousemuir
6 Feb 2016League OneLeague OneStenhousemuir0-3Dunfermline
19 Dec 2015League OneLeague OneDunfermline1-0Stenhousemuir
19 Sep 2015League OneLeague OneStenhousemuir0-5Dunfermline

Championship tableDivision1updated 26 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Stenhousemuir sit 2nd with 23 points from 11 games, while Dunfermline are 5th with 18 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Partick1274115:4+1125
2Stenhousemuir1172213:8+523
3Raith Rovers1263316:9+721
4Inverness CT1254316:11+519
5Dunfermline114619:6+318
6Livingston1252515:11+417
7Ayr Utd1133510:12-212
8Arbroath123277:18-1111
9Morton112189:18-97
10Queen's Park122196:19-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.43X29%3.19245%2.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Oct 00:0127 Oct 07:301 3.43X 3.192 2.04
12.72 → 3.43 +26.1%X3.14 → 3.19 +1.6%22.43 → 2.04 -16.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.181.685.4%
Betano2.121.706.0%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betfair2.151.676.4%
BetVictor2.091.648.8%
1xBet2.111.629.1%
Marathonbet2.111.629.1%
Best of all books2.181.704.7%
Average2.131.667.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.001.805.6%
William Hill1.911.837.0%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.871.838.1%
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.881.818.4%
Marathonbet1.881.789.4%
Best of all books2.001.834.6%
Average1.911.817.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stenhousemuir 10%Draw 45%Dunfermline 45%

The statistical model rates Stenhousemuir at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dunfermline at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.43 | 3.19 | 2.04, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Stenhousemuir are 2nd (23 pts, 13-8 goals), Dunfermline 5th (18 pts, 9-6).

Over their last five matches, Stenhousemuir averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Dunfermline averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dunfermline and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.623.201.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.731.231.28

Draw no bet

12
2.661.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.911.81

1st half

1X2
4.232.032.61

2nd half

1X2
3.872.322.37

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.0314.826.7
HT X7.804.784.76
HT 240.214.43.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.498.201.69

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.78
1.51.362.93
2.52.131.66
3.53.881.22
4.57.581.06
5.513.61.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.30
11.056.55
1.251.193.76
1.751.462.51
21.602.19
2.251.871.83
2.752.461.47
33.081.28
3.253.431.23
3.754.861.11
46.901.04
4.257.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.253.001.34
02.581.45
+0.252.021.71
+0.51.772.02
+0.751.542.33
+11.343.03
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.758.501.01
-1.58.231.03
-1.257.601.03
-17.001.06
-0.754.581.16
-0.53.621.29
+1.251.273.45
+1.51.223.81
+1.751.134.97
+21.057.27
+2.251.028.00
+2.51.038.17
+3.51.0113.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.58
7.51.253.42
8.51.482.45
9.51.831.88
10.52.321.54
11.53.131.29
12.54.271.14
13.56.471.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.33
71.085.08
7.251.154.08
7.751.253.30
81.283.12
8.251.372.73
8.751.522.33
91.612.20
9.251.702.03
9.751.901.81
102.051.71
10.252.141.62
10.752.451.46
112.621.42
11.252.861.34
11.753.371.24
123.911.17
12.254.091.15
12.754.961.09
136.051.04
13.256.261.04

Next Championship matches

30 OctStenhousemuir – Livingston

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

24 OctLivingston 1-0 Arbroath
24 OctPartick 3-0 Stenhousemuir
24 OctRaith Rovers 0-2 Inverness CT
24 OctQueen's Park 0-1 Dunfermline
20 OctDunfermline 1-1 Partick
17 OctStenhousemuir 1-1 Raith Rovers