Arbroath vs Ayr Utd• Championship, Scotland

#80.2:2.415:00Tomorrow · Gayfield Park, Arbroath1.2:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95BTNX3.20B36522.52PINMargin at best4.8%Books6Markets56Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.97	3.13	2.48	5.9%
BetVictor	2.80	3.13	2.38	9.7%
William Hill	2.90	2.90	2.40	10.6%
Bet365	2.75	3.20	2.30	11.1%
1xBet	2.74	3.04	2.36	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.74	3.04	2.36	11.8%
Best of all books	2.97	3.20	2.48	5.2%
Average	2.82	3.07	2.38	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArbroathAyr Utd

Last 10#8Table position#70.85Points per game1.253Form pts · last 5100.2Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 51.214Attack rating8633Defence rating670Form rating10025H2H rating7534Goals model6628Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Arbroath

2W 1D 7L · goals 5:19 · per match 0.5 for, 1.9 against

3 Nov	H	Queen of the South	1-0	W
31 Oct	H	Raith Rovers	0-4	L
24 Oct	A	Livingston	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Inverness CT	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Morton	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Partick	0-3	L
25 Sep	H	Queen's Park	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Stenhousemuir	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Raith Rovers	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Dunfermline	1-1	D

Ayr Utd

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

3 Nov	A	Annan Athletic	2-0	W
31 Oct	H	Queen's Park	3-2	W
16 Oct	H	Partick	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Dunfermline	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Livingston	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Stenhousemuir	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Queen's Park	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Inverness CT	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Partick	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Morton	1-1	D

Head to head

8Arbroath wins

10draws

9Ayr Utd wins

27 meetings · goals 27:38 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Arbroath

1 Aug 2026Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd2-0Arbroath
11 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd1-0Arbroath
3 Mar 2026Championship	Championship	Arbroath1-1Ayr Utd
15 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd1-1Arbroath
1 Aug 2025Championship	Championship	Arbroath1-1Ayr Utd
19 Jul 2025League Cup	League Cup	Ayr Utd4-0Arbroath
13 Apr 2024Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd5-0Arbroath
23 Jan 2024Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd2-0Arbroath
13 Jan 2024Championship	Championship	Arbroath0-0Ayr Utd
2 Sep 2023Championship	Championship	Arbroath2-1Ayr Utd

Championship tableDivision1updated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Championship table, Arbroath sit 8th with 11 points from 13 games, while Ayr Utd are 7th with 15 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Partick	13	7	4	2	17:7	+10	25
2	Raith Rovers	13	7	3	3	20:9	+11	24
3	Dunfermline	13	6	6	1	15:7	+8	24
4	Stenhousemuir	13	7	2	4	13:12	+1	23
5	Livingston	13	6	2	5	18:11	+7	20
6	Inverness CT	13	5	4	4	17:16	+1	19
7	Ayr Utd	12	4	3	5	13:14	-1	15
8	Arbroath	13	3	2	8	7:22	-15	11
9	Morton	12	3	1	8	12:20	-8	10
10	Queen's Park	13	2	1	10	8:22	-14	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.84X30%3.09238%2.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.14	1.70	5.6%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
BetVictor	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.14	1.70	5.6%
Average	2.07	1.68	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.81	1.88	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arbroath 0%Draw 50%Ayr Utd 50%

The statistical model rates Arbroath at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Ayr Utd at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 3.09 | 2.40, which imply roughly 32.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Championship table: Arbroath are 8th (11 pts, 7-22 goals), Ayr Utd 7th (15 pts, 13-14).

Over their last five matches, Arbroath averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Ayr Utd averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ayr Utd.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.82	3.07	2.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.35	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.02	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
3.49	2.05	3.05

2nd half

1	X	2
3.21	2.30	2.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.60	14.5	29.7
HT X	6.37	4.67	5.53
HT 2	32.7	14.5	3.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.14	7.50	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.75
1.5	1.33	2.98
2.5	2.07	1.68
3.5	3.66	1.23
4.5	7.15	1.05
5.5	12.8	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.95
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.19	3.82
1.75	1.42	2.61
2	1.55	2.25
2.25	1.81	1.87
2.75	2.37	1.51
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.21	1.27
3.75	4.46	1.14
4	6.15	1.06
4.25	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.83	1.39
-0.25	2.40	1.50
0	2.03	1.71
+0.25	1.70	2.03
+0.5	1.55	2.38
+0.75	1.37	2.85

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.50	1.03
-1.5	5.80	1.09
-1.25	5.45	1.11
-1	5.10	1.13
-0.75	3.44	1.26
+1	1.21	3.92
+1.25	1.17	4.29
+1.5	1.14	4.72
+1.75	1.08	6.23

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.69
7.5	1.29	3.04
8.5	1.58	2.21
9.5	1.99	1.77
10.5	2.53	1.43
11.5	3.48	1.22
12.5	5.13	1.08

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.14	4.23
8	1.38	2.70
9	1.74	1.97
10	2.27	1.55
11	3.16	1.27
12	4.74	1.10

Next Championship matches

6 Nov	Raith Rovers – Dunfermline
7 Nov	Morton – Stenhousemuir
7 Nov	Inverness CT – Livingston
7 Nov	Queen's Park – Partick

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Arbroath 0-4 Raith Rovers
31 Oct	Partick 2-3 Morton
31 Oct	Dunfermline 5-1 Inverness CT
31 Oct	Ayr Utd 3-2 Queen's Park
30 Oct	Stenhousemuir 0-3 Livingston
27 Oct	Stenhousemuir 0-1 Dunfermline