Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United• J3 League, Japan

#51.2:0.81-1FTToday · Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi1.8:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20DAFX3.35DAF22.19DAFMargin at best6.8%Books10Markets47Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 00:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.20	3.35	2.19	6.8%
Betano	3.15	3.25	2.18	8.4%
Pinnacle	3.17	3.31	2.14	8.5%
1xBet	2.99	3.18	2.18	10.8%
Bet365	3.00	3.30	2.10	11.3%
Betfair	3.00	3.30	2.10	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.91	3.18	2.16	12.1%
William Hill	3.00	3.00	2.15	13.2%
SBO	2.87	2.96	2.06	17.2%
BetVictor	2.80	2.90	2.00	20.2%
Best of all books	3.20	3.35	2.19	6.8%
Average	3.01	3.17	2.13	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Renofa YamaguchiKagoshima United

Last 10#5Table position#11.80Points per game2.079Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.440Attack rating6064Defence rating3656Form rating4460H2H rating4055Goals model4555Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 09:00 UTC

Renofa Yamaguchi

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:7 · per match 1.7 for, 0.7 against

31 Oct	H	Kitakyushu	0-2	L
25 Oct	A	Matsumoto Yamaga	2-0	W
21 Oct	A	Ehime FC	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Kochi United	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	Tochigi SC	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	FC Gifu	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Sagamihara	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Kanazawa	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Thespakusatsu Gunma	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Gainare Tottori	3-0	W

Kagoshima United

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	H	Roasso Kumamoto	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Osaka	1-2	L
21 Oct	H	Kochi United	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Ehime FC	4-2	W
11 Oct	A	Matsumoto Yamaga	0-1	L
7 Oct	A	Cerezo Osaka	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Fukushima United	3-2	W
26 Sep	A	Kitakyushu	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Tochigi SC	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Biwako Shiga	2-1	W

Head to head

5Renofa Yamaguchi wins

1draws

3Kagoshima United wins

9 meetings · goals 10:6 · last 9: 5W 1D 3L for Renofa Yamaguchi

19 Aug 2026Emperor Cup	Emperor Cup	Kagoshima United2-1Renofa Yamaguchi
18 Apr 2026J2/J3 League	J2/J3 League	Renofa Yamaguchi2-1Kagoshima United
22 Feb 2026J2/J3 League	J2/J3 League	Kagoshima United1-0Renofa Yamaguchi
6 Jul 2024J2 League	J2 League	Renofa Yamaguchi1-0Kagoshima United
28 Apr 2024J2 League	J2 League	Kagoshima United0-1Renofa Yamaguchi
20 Oct 2019J2 League	J2 League	Kagoshima United0-0Renofa Yamaguchi
14 Apr 2019J2 League	J2 League	Renofa Yamaguchi1-0Kagoshima United
26 Jul 2014J3 League	J3 League	Kagoshima United0-3Renofa Yamaguchi
10 May 2014J3 League	J3 League	Renofa Yamaguchi1-2Kagoshima United

J3 League tableJ3 Leagueupdated 3 Nov 11:00 UTC

In the J3 League table, Renofa Yamaguchi sit 5th with 27 points from 15 games, while Kagoshima United are 1st with 31 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	15	9	4	2	29:18	+11	31
2	Nara Club	15	9	2	4	28:21	+7	29
3	FC Gifu	15	9	1	5	28:15	+13	28
4	Sagamihara	15	8	4	3	25:15	+10	28
5	Renofa Yamaguchi	15	8	3	4	20:12	+8	27
6	Ehime FC	15	8	2	5	30:25	+5	26
7	Roasso Kumamoto	14	6	6	2	16:8	+8	24
8	Osaka	14	6	5	3	23:14	+9	23
9	FC Ryukyu	15	7	2	6	23:20	+3	23
10	Parceiro Nagano	15	7	2	6	22:20	+2	23
11	Kanazawa	15	6	2	7	27:21	+6	20
12	Kitakyushu	15	5	4	6	21:23	-2	19
13	Tochigi SC	15	4	6	5	14:16	-2	18
14	Matsumoto Yamaga	15	4	5	6	15:17	-2	17
15	Biwako Shiga	15	5	2	8	19:27	-8	17
16	Fukushima United	15	4	3	8	27:32	-5	15
17	Gainare Tottori	15	4	3	8	15:29	-14	15
18	Thespakusatsu Gunma	15	4	1	10	12:29	-17	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	15	3	2	10	16:27	-11	11
20	Kochi United	15	2	3	10	10:31	-21	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.02X28%3.18242%2.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.54 → 3.01 +18.5%X3.24 → 3.17 -2.2%22.43 → 2.13 -12.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.93	1.85	5.9%
SBO	2.03	1.73	7.1%
Betano	1.95	1.78	7.5%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
BetVictor	1.71	1.62	20.2%
Best of all books	2.03	1.85	3.3%
Average	1.90	1.78	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.69	1.96	10.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Renofa Yamaguchi 45%Draw 45%Kagoshima United 10%

The statistical model rated Renofa Yamaguchi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kagoshima United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.02 | 3.18 | 2.12, which imply roughly 33.1% for a Renofa Yamaguchi win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J3 League table: Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th (27 pts, 20-12 goals), Kagoshima United 1st (31 pts, 29-18).

Over their last five matches, Renofa Yamaguchi averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Kagoshima United averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Renofa Yamaguchi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.01	3.17	2.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.33	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.14	1.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
3.47	2.07	2.79

2nd half

1	X	2
3.33	2.39	2.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.82	13.5	25.5
HT X	6.82	5.06	5.42
HT 2	32.3	13.9	3.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.04	10.5	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.80
1.5	1.26	3.18
2.5	1.90	1.78
3.5	3.12	1.26
4.5	5.90	1.07
5.5	12.3	1.02
6.5	11.3	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.13	4.56
1.75	1.32	2.97
2	1.43	2.45
2.25	1.63	2.00
2.75	2.07	1.58
3	2.51	1.41
3.25	2.90	1.33
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.55	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07
4.75	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.67	1.36
-0.25	2.49	1.40
0	2.12	1.60
+0.25	1.81	1.83
+0.5	1.61	2.04
+0.75	1.42	2.44

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-2	9.30	1.02
-1.75	8.82	1.01
-1.5	6.53	1.06
-1.25	6.06	1.06
-1	5.50	1.08
-0.75	3.48	1.24
+1	1.25	3.37
+1.25	1.18	3.92
+1.5	1.16	4.27
+1.75	1.07	5.75
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.03	9.17

Next J3 League matches

4 Nov

Osaka – Roasso Kumamoto

All J3 League fixtures and the table

Latest J3 League results

3 Nov	FC Ryukyu 2-3 FC Gifu
3 Nov	Kanazawa 0-2 Parceiro Nagano
3 Nov	Tochigi SC 0-0 Fukushima United
3 Nov	Kochi United 4-0 Ehime FC
3 Nov	Nara Club 3-0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
3 Nov	Gainare Tottori 0-1 Sagamihara