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Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv• First League, Bulgaria

#121.0:1.217:30Today · Lokomotiv Stadium, Sofia1.8:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.99PINX3.50B36522.40PINMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets78Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 04:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.993.352.405.0%
Bet3652.903.502.306.5%
Dafabet2.903.452.316.8%
1xBet2.843.322.357.9%
Betano2.853.352.328.0%
BetVictor2.803.402.308.6%
Marathonbet2.813.322.338.6%
Betfair2.803.302.2510.5%
William Hill2.803.102.3011.5%
SBO2.643.042.1517.3%
Best of all books2.993.502.403.7%
Average2.833.312.308.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Plovdiv
Last 10#12Table position#50.75Points per game1.5811Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6450Defence rating5033Form rating6762H2H rating3834Goals model6644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Lokomotiv Sofia

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

24 OctHBotev Vratsa1-1D
17 OctAVihren2-1W
10 OctHLokomotiv Plovdiv1-1D
3 OctHRadnicki NIS4-1W
20 SepASpartak Varna1-0W
16 SepHCSKA Sofia0-2L
11 SepACherno More Varna2-2D
6 SepHLudogorets1-2L
31 AugADunav Ruse2-2D
17 AugAArda Kardzhali1-3L

Botev Plovdiv

6W 0D 4L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

23 OctACSKA 19480-4L
18 OctAChernomorets 1919 Burgas4-0W
14 OctHBotev Vratsa2-0W
10 OctHSlavia Sofia1-0W
19 SepASeptemvri Sofia3-0W
13 SepHLokomotiv Plovdiv2-0W
4 SepAArda Kardzhali3-2W
30 AugHLevski Sofia1-3L
24 AugABotev Vratsa0-1L
15 AugALudogorets0-2L

Head to head

4Lokomotiv Sofia wins
4draws
7Botev Plovdiv wins

15 meetings · goals 13:28 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Lokomotiv Sofia

21 Jul 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Plovdiv1-1Lokomotiv Sofia
27 Mar 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBotev Plovdiv3-1Lokomotiv Sofia
6 Dec 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia3-2Botev Plovdiv
10 Aug 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Plovdiv0-1Lokomotiv Sofia
18 Apr 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia1-1Botev Plovdiv
15 Dec 2024CupCupLokomotiv Sofia1-5Botev Plovdiv
8 Nov 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Plovdiv2-0Lokomotiv Sofia
21 Apr 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia0-4Botev Plovdiv
26 Oct 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Plovdiv6-0Lokomotiv Sofia
1 Jun 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia1-2Botev Plovdiv

First League tableA PFGupdated 29 Oct 21:30 UTC

In the First League table, Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th with 9 points from 12 games, while Botev Plovdiv are 5th with 19 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030
2Levski Sofia1192024:5+1929
3Ludogorets1182121:9+1226
4CSKA 19481281325:13+1225
5Botev Plovdiv1261517:18-119
6Arda Kardzhali1253416:18-218
7Spartak Varna1234511:17-613
8Slavia Sofia122649:9012
9Dunav Ruse1232715:21-611
10Botev Vratsa1224610:21-1110
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89
12Lokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79
13Cherno More Varna1223713:22-99
14Septemvri Sofia1222810:23-138

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.83X28%3.31240%2.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 00:0030 Oct 05:401 2.83X 3.312 2.30
12.64 → 2.83 +7.2%X3.30 → 3.31 +0.3%22.46 → 2.30 -6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.822.014.7%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Betano1.782.006.2%
1xBet1.712.057.3%
Marathonbet1.712.057.3%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.822.053.7%
Average1.752.026.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
Betano1.622.187.6%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.562.288.0%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.562.248.7%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.592.247.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotiv Sofia 10%Draw 45%Botev Plovdiv 45%

The statistical model rates Lokomotiv Sofia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Botev Plovdiv at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.83 | 3.31 | 2.30, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Lokomotiv Sofia are 12th (9 pts, 13-20 goals), Botev Plovdiv 5th (19 pts, 17-18).

Over their last five matches, Lokomotiv Sofia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Botev Plovdiv averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Botev Plovdiv.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.833.312.30

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.381.28

Draw no bet

12
2.051.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.24

1st half

1X2
3.352.202.85

2nd half

1X2
3.052.532.62

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5713.324.0
HT X6.765.455.85
HT 227.013.23.66

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0512.91.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0411.3
1.51.223.93
2.51.752.02
3.52.791.39
4.55.241.13
5.59.791.04
6.519.21.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.10
1.251.095.25
1.751.233.43
21.323.05
2.251.542.33
2.751.931.80
32.221.59
3.252.441.49
3.753.161.27
44.151.16
4.254.511.13
4.756.051.06
58.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.781.41
-0.252.421.50
02.071.70
+0.251.761.99
+0.51.592.31
+0.751.402.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.01
-29.101.02
-1.757.131.05
-1.55.581.10
-1.255.241.12
-14.681.15
-0.753.431.27
+11.253.59
+1.251.204.03
+1.51.164.33
+1.751.105.62
+21.028.20
+2.51.019.00

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.702.07

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.05
7.51.273.30
8.51.512.38
9.51.861.85
10.52.401.51
11.53.271.27
12.54.731.10
13.57.151.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.104.81
71.114.57
7.251.193.73
7.751.293.04
81.332.87
8.251.432.54
8.751.592.19
91.652.12
9.251.781.92
9.752.001.72
102.121.66
10.252.281.54
10.752.631.40
112.951.31
11.253.101.28
11.753.701.19
124.361.13
12.254.541.12
12.755.561.06
136.891.02
13.256.931.02

Next First League matches

30 OctCSKA 1948 – Spartak Varna
31 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv – Ludogorets
31 OctDunav Ruse – Levski Sofia
31 OctCSKA Sofia – Slavia Sofia
2 NovCherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa
2 NovArda Kardzhali – Septemvri Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

27 OctArda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia
27 OctCherno More Varna 2-0 Septemvri Sofia
26 OctCSKA Sofia 2-0 Ludogorets
26 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia
24 OctLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Botev Vratsa
24 OctDunav Ruse 2-0 Spartak Varna