Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets• First League, Bulgaria

#110.6:0.812:00Tomorrow · Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv2.0:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.31PINX4.20B36521.45BTNMargin at best4.8%Books9Markets70Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 03:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	7.50	4.20	1.44	6.6%
Dafabet	7.20	4.20	1.45	6.7%
Pinnacle	8.31	4.06	1.41	7.6%
1xBet	8.10	4.05	1.41	8.0%
Betano	7.30	3.95	1.45	8.0%
Marathonbet	8.00	4.05	1.40	8.6%
BetVictor	8.00	4.00	1.40	8.9%
Betfair	7.50	4.00	1.40	9.8%
William Hill	7.50	3.70	1.40	11.8%
Best of all books	8.31	4.20	1.45	4.8%
Average	7.71	4.02	1.42	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lokomotiv PlovdivLudogorets

Last 10#11Table position#30.75Points per game2.3611Form pts · last 5120.6Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.023Attack rating7756Defence rating4438Form rating6338H2H rating6236Goals model6439Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:02 UTC

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against

26 Oct	H	Slavia Sofia	0-0	D
21 Oct	A	Cherno More Varna	1-0	W
16 Oct	A	Yantra 2019	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Lokomotiv Sofia	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Arda Kardzhali	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	CSKA Sofia	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Botev Plovdiv	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Cherno More Varna	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	CSKA 1948	0-2	L
24 Aug	H	Arda Kardzhali	0-1	L

Ludogorets

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:6 · per match 2.4 for, 0.6 against

26 Oct	A	CSKA Sofia	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Beroe	3-0	W
12 Oct	H	Arda Kardzhali	5-0	W
4 Oct	H	Cherno More Varna	5-0	W
27 Sep	H	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Septemvri Sofia	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Lokomotiv Sofia	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Spartak Varna	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Slavia Sofia	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Botev Plovdiv	2-0	W

Head to head

5Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins

5draws

16Ludogorets wins

26 meetings · goals 20:45 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Lokomotiv Plovdiv

18 Jul 2026First League	First League	Ludogorets1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
29 May 2026First League	First League	Ludogorets0-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 Mar 2026First League	First League	Ludogorets1-1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
14 Sep 2025First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1Ludogorets
30 Mar 2025First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Ludogorets
6 Oct 2024First League	First League	Ludogorets1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
22 May 2024First League	First League	Ludogorets3-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
30 Mar 2024First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-2Ludogorets
6 Dec 2023Cup	Cup	Ludogorets4-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
27 Sep 2023First League	First League	Ludogorets1-1Lokomotiv Plovdiv

First League tableA PFGupdated 29 Oct 21:30 UTC

In the First League table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th with 9 points from 12 games, while Ludogorets are 3rd with 26 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia	12	9	3	0	29:9	+20	30
2	Levski Sofia	11	9	2	0	24:5	+19	29
3	Ludogorets	11	8	2	1	21:9	+12	26
4	CSKA 1948	12	8	1	3	25:13	+12	25
5	Botev Plovdiv	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
6	Arda Kardzhali	12	5	3	4	16:18	-2	18
7	Spartak Varna	12	3	4	5	11:17	-6	13
8	Slavia Sofia	12	2	6	4	9:9	0	12
9	Dunav Ruse	12	3	2	7	15:21	-6	11
10	Botev Vratsa	12	2	4	6	10:21	-11	10
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	12	2	3	7	6:14	-8	9
12	Lokomotiv Sofia	12	1	6	5	13:20	-7	9
13	Cherno More Varna	12	2	3	7	13:22	-9	9
14	Septemvri Sofia	12	2	2	8	10:23	-13	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.68X23%4.03265%1.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17.59 → 7.68 +1.2%X3.92 → 4.03 +2.8%21.42 → 1.42 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	1.68	5.8%
Betfair	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betano	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	2.09	1.68	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.68	7.4%
BetVictor	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.70	4.3%
Average	2.12	1.67	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betfair	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.33	1.54	7.9%
Betano	2.35	1.53	7.9%
William Hill	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.38	1.50	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.52	8.7%
Best of all books	2.38	1.57	5.7%
Average	2.34	1.53	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10%Draw 45%Ludogorets 45%

The statistical model rates Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ludogorets at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.68 | 4.03 | 1.42, which imply roughly 24.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (9 pts, 6-14 goals), Ludogorets 3rd (26 pts, 21-9).

Over their last five matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Ludogorets averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ludogorets.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
7.71	4.02	1.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.69	1.07	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
5.54	1.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.34	1.53

1st half

1	X	2
7.58	2.16	1.98

2nd half

1	X	2
6.75	2.53	1.77

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	13.9	20.6	27.2
HT X	14.8	5.38	3.75
HT 2	73.6	19.4	2.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.83	8.50	1.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.58
1.5	1.35	2.97
2.5	2.12	1.67
3.5	3.85	1.22
4.5	7.77	1.06
5.5	16.4	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	6.95
1.25	1.18	3.93
1.75	1.44	2.56
2	1.58	2.22
2.25	1.85	1.85
2.75	2.43	1.50
3	2.92	1.34
3.25	3.37	1.25
3.75	4.76	1.12
4	6.80	1.04
4.25	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.75	1.44
+0.75	2.38	1.51
+1	2.04	1.73
+1.25	1.72	2.01
+1.5	1.54	2.32
+1.75	1.38	2.77

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	6.60	1.11
-0.25	6.43	1.07
0	5.85	1.10
+0.25	3.57	1.25
+2	1.23	3.73
+2.25	1.19	4.16
+2.5	1.16	4.43
+2.75	1.09	5.80
+3	1.01	8.70
+3.25	1.01	8.40
+3.5	1.02	8.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.07	1.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.67
6.5	1.25	3.51
7.5	1.50	2.44
8.5	1.88	1.87
9.5	2.43	1.50
10.5	3.34	1.27
11.5	4.94	1.09

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	5.13
7	1.29	3.04
8	1.64	2.11
9	2.15	1.62
10	3.00	1.30
11	4.54	1.12

Next First League matches

30 Oct	CSKA 1948 – Spartak Varna
30 Oct	Lokomotiv Sofia – Botev Plovdiv
31 Oct	Dunav Ruse – Levski Sofia
31 Oct	CSKA Sofia – Slavia Sofia
2 Nov	Cherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa
2 Nov	Arda Kardzhali – Septemvri Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

27 Oct	Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia
27 Oct	Cherno More Varna 2-0 Septemvri Sofia
26 Oct	CSKA Sofia 2-0 Ludogorets
26 Oct	Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia
24 Oct	Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Botev Vratsa
24 Oct	Dunav Ruse 2-0 Spartak Varna