Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia• First League, Bulgaria

#61.0:2.817:3002/11 · Arena Arda, Kardzhali1.0:2.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.63PINX3.86PIN25.50B365Margin at best5.4%Books8Markets68Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 20:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.63	3.86	5.00	7.3%
Dafabet	1.62	3.75	5.20	7.6%
1xBet	1.62	3.68	5.27	7.9%
Betano	1.62	3.70	5.20	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	3.80	5.50	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	3.68	5.30	8.5%
Betfair	1.57	3.70	5.00	10.7%
William Hill	1.60	3.50	5.00	11.1%
Best of all books	1.63	3.86	5.50	5.4%
Average	1.60	3.71	5.18	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia

Last 10#6Table position#141.50Points per game0.675Form pts · last 501.0Goals for · last 51.02.8Goals against · last 52.650Attack rating5048Defence rating52100Form rating050H2H rating5076Goals model2458Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Arda Kardzhali

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

27 Oct	H	Levski Sofia	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Spartak Plovdiv	2-1	W
12 Oct	A	Ludogorets	0-5	L
2 Oct	A	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Cherno More Varna	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	CSKA Sofia	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	Botev Plovdiv	2-3	L
31 Aug	H	Botev Vratsa	2-0	W
24 Aug	A	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1-0	W
17 Aug	H	Lokomotiv Sofia	3-1	W

Septemvri Sofia

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:19 · per match 0.9 for, 1.9 against

27 Oct	A	Cherno More Varna	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Dunav Ruse	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Botev Plovdiv	0-3	L
14 Sep	A	Ludogorets	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Botev Vratsa	2-3	L
28 Aug	A	Slavia Sofia	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	CSKA 1948	1-0	W
17 Aug	A	Spartak Varna	1-0	W
9 Aug	H	CSKA Sofia	0-3	L

Head to head

6Arda Kardzhali wins

1draws

2Septemvri Sofia wins

9 meetings · goals 18:8 · last 9: 6W 1D 2L for Arda Kardzhali

18 Jul 2026First League	First League	Septemvri Sofia1-1Arda Kardzhali
21 Mar 2026First League	First League	Septemvri Sofia1-4Arda Kardzhali
20 Oct 2025First League	First League	Arda Kardzhali0-1Septemvri Sofia
8 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Arda Kardzhali1-2Septemvri Sofia
7 Apr 2025First League	First League	Septemvri Sofia0-4Arda Kardzhali
25 Oct 2024First League	First League	Arda Kardzhali2-1Septemvri Sofia
12 Feb 2023First League	First League	Septemvri Sofia0-1Arda Kardzhali
1 Aug 2022First League	First League	Arda Kardzhali3-2Septemvri Sofia
22 Jun 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Arda Kardzhali2-0Septemvri Sofia

First League tableA PFGupdated 29 Oct 21:30 UTC

In the First League table, Arda Kardzhali sit 6th with 18 points from 12 games, while Septemvri Sofia are 14th with 8 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia	12	9	3	0	29:9	+20	30
2	Levski Sofia	11	9	2	0	24:5	+19	29
3	Ludogorets	11	8	2	1	21:9	+12	26
4	CSKA 1948	12	8	1	3	25:13	+12	25
5	Botev Plovdiv	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
6	Arda Kardzhali	12	5	3	4	16:18	-2	18
7	Spartak Varna	12	3	4	5	11:17	-6	13
8	Slavia Sofia	12	2	6	4	9:9	0	12
9	Dunav Ruse	12	3	2	7	15:21	-6	11
10	Botev Vratsa	12	2	4	6	10:21	-11	10
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	12	2	3	7	6:14	-8	9
12	Lokomotiv Sofia	12	1	6	5	13:20	-7	9
13	Cherno More Varna	12	2	3	7	13:22	-9	9
14	Septemvri Sofia	12	2	2	8	10:23	-13	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.60X25%3.71218%5.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.18	1.67	5.8%
Pinnacle	2.15	1.68	6.0%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Best of all books	2.20	1.68	5.0%
Average	2.19	1.65	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
William Hill	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.14	1.63	8.1%
Betano	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.62	8.5%
Best of all books	2.20	1.70	4.3%
Average	2.14	1.64	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arda Kardzhali 45%Draw 45%Septemvri Sofia 10%

The statistical model rates Arda Kardzhali at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Septemvri Sofia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.71 | 5.18, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Arda Kardzhali win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Arda Kardzhali are 6th (18 pts, 16-18 goals), Septemvri Sofia 14th (8 pts, 10-23).

Over their last five matches, Arda Kardzhali averaged 1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Septemvri Sofia averaged 1 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Arda Kardzhali or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.60	3.71	5.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.22	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	4.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.14	1.64

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.13	5.89

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.39	5.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.39	16.8	53.0
HT X	4.18	5.20	11.1
HT 2	27.3	18.1	9.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	8.00	3.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.73
1.5	1.37	2.84
2.5	2.19	1.65
3.5	3.89	1.21
4.5	7.75	1.05
5.5	16.2	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.90
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.21	3.59
1.75	1.47	2.47
2	1.63	2.15
2.25	1.90	1.82
2.75	2.51	1.46
3	3.16	1.27
3.25	3.51	1.23
3.75	4.96	1.11
4	6.95	1.04
4.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.75	1.40
-1.25	2.44	1.49
-1	2.11	1.69
-0.75	1.77	1.95
-0.5	1.61	2.29
-0.25	1.40	2.71

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.70	1.01
-3	8.80	1.02
-2.75	7.30	1.03
-2.5	5.68	1.10
-2.25	5.25	1.11
-2	4.78	1.13
-1.75	3.46	1.26
0	1.21	3.89
+0.25	1.17	4.42
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.05	6.45
+1	1.01	10.0
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.65	2.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.08	5.15
6.5	1.30	3.22
7.5	1.58	2.26
8.5	2.00	1.73
9.5	2.66	1.42
10.5	3.74	1.21
11.5	5.50	1.06

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.11	4.63
7	1.35	2.81
8	1.73	1.99
9	2.29	1.54
10	3.26	1.25
11	5.07	1.08

Next First League matches

30 Oct	CSKA 1948 – Spartak Varna
30 Oct	Lokomotiv Sofia – Botev Plovdiv
31 Oct	Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Ludogorets
31 Oct	Dunav Ruse – Levski Sofia
31 Oct	CSKA Sofia – Slavia Sofia
2 Nov	Cherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

27 Oct	Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia
27 Oct	Cherno More Varna 2-0 Septemvri Sofia
26 Oct	CSKA Sofia 2-0 Ludogorets
26 Oct	Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia
24 Oct	Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Botev Vratsa
24 Oct	Dunav Ruse 2-0 Spartak Varna