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Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali• First League, Bulgaria

#80.4:1.812:0008/11 · Stadion Spartak, Varna1.0:2.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.03PINX3.30B36522.01PINMargin at best4.9%Books9Markets49Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 04:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.033.152.016.3%
Bet3654.003.301.956.6%
1xBet3.883.151.988.0%
Dafabet3.753.251.978.2%
Betano3.703.202.008.3%
Marathonbet3.863.151.968.7%
BetVictor3.703.201.959.6%
Betfair3.603.101.9511.3%
William Hill3.702.901.9512.8%
Best of all books4.033.302.014.9%
Average3.803.161.978.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Spartak VarnaArda Kardzhali
Last 10#8Table position#61.00Points per game1.626Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.429Attack rating7157Defence rating4344Form rating5650H2H rating5056Goals model4449Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

Spartak Varna

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:20 · per match 0.8 for, 2.0 against

30 OctACSKA 19481-6L
24 OctADunav Ruse0-2L
19 OctAEtar Veliko Tarnovo4-2W
10 OctABotev Vratsa1-0W
20 SepHLokomotiv Sofia0-1L
13 SepASlavia Sofia0-0D
5 SepHCSKA Sofia1-1D
30 AugHLudogorets1-1D
22 AugALevski Sofia0-6L
17 AugHSeptemvri Sofia0-1L

Arda Kardzhali

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

2 NovHSeptemvri Sofia2-1W
27 OctHLevski Sofia1-1D
18 OctASpartak Plovdiv2-1W
12 OctALudogorets0-5L
2 OctALokomotiv Plovdiv0-2L
19 SepHCherno More Varna1-1D
12 SepACSKA Sofia1-4L
4 SepHBotev Plovdiv2-3L
31 AugHBotev Vratsa2-0W
24 AugALokomotiv Plovdiv1-0W

Head to head

2Spartak Varna wins
1draws
4Arda Kardzhali wins

7 meetings · goals 8:10 · last 7: 2W 1D 4L for Spartak Varna

27 Feb 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali1-0Spartak Varna
13 Sep 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueSpartak Varna3-0Arda Kardzhali
7 Feb 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali2-2Spartak Varna
16 Aug 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueSpartak Varna1-0Arda Kardzhali
6 Mar 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali2-0Spartak Varna
20 Aug 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueSpartak Varna1-3Arda Kardzhali
4 Nov 2020CupCupSpartak Varna1-2Arda Kardzhali

First League tableA PFGupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the First League table, Spartak Varna sit 8th with 13 points from 13 games, while Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 21 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia12102025:5+2032
2CSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031
3Ludogorets1292124:9+1529
4CSKA 19481391331:14+1728
5Botev Plovdiv1371522:20+222
6Arda Kardzhali1363418:19-121
7Slavia Sofia132749:9013
8Spartak Varna1334612:23-1113
9Cherno More Varna1333714:22-812
10Dunav Ruse1332815:22-711
11Botev Vratsa1324710:22-1210
12Lokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109
13Lokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119
14Septemvri Sofia1322911:25-148

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.80X29%3.16247%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:015 Nov 06:001 3.80X 3.162 1.97
13.71 → 3.80 +2.4%X3.18 → 3.16 -0.6%21.97 → 1.97 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.181.675.8%
Pinnacle2.221.646.0%
Betfair2.201.656.1%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
1xBet2.161.647.3%
Marathonbet2.161.647.3%
BetVictor2.101.639.0%
Best of all books2.221.674.9%
Average2.171.656.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.911.788.5%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.901.788.8%
Best of all books1.911.837.0%
Average1.901.808.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spartak Varna 10%Draw 45%Arda Kardzhali 45%

The statistical model rates Spartak Varna at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Arda Kardzhali at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.80 | 3.16 | 1.97, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Spartak Varna are 8th (13 pts, 12-23 goals), Arda Kardzhali 6th (21 pts, 18-19).

Over their last five matches, Spartak Varna averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Arda Kardzhali averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Arda Kardzhali.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.803.161.97

Double chance

1XX212
1.761.231.32

Draw no bet

12
2.681.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.901.80

1st half

1X2
4.452.032.61

2nd half

1X2
3.942.322.36

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.6015.429.0
HT X8.134.504.79
HT 242.815.33.15

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.567.651.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.58
1.51.362.88
2.52.171.65
3.53.891.21
4.57.941.05
5.516.21.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.75
11.066.10
1.251.213.69
1.751.462.49
21.612.16
2.251.891.83
2.752.481.47
33.081.28
3.253.441.23
3.754.761.12
46.751.04
4.257.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.253.281.29
02.751.41
+0.252.071.68
+0.51.791.98
+0.751.562.28
+11.352.94
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.801.01
-1.258.301.01
-17.801.02
-0.754.891.14
-0.53.831.25
+1.251.283.34
+1.51.233.72
+1.751.144.80
+21.046.95
+2.251.037.40
+2.51.027.80

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.151.65

Next First League matches

6 NovSeptemvri Sofia – Lokomotiv Sofia
6 NovBotev Plovdiv – Dunav Ruse
7 NovBotev Vratsa – Lokomotiv Plovdiv
7 NovSlavia Sofia – Cherno More Varna
7 NovLudogorets – CSKA 1948
8 NovLevski Sofia – CSKA Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

2 NovArda Kardzhali 2-1 Septemvri Sofia
2 NovCherno More Varna 1-0 Botev Vratsa
31 OctCSKA Sofia 0-0 Slavia Sofia
31 OctDunav Ruse 0-1 Levski Sofia
31 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv 0-3 Ludogorets
30 OctLokomotiv Sofia 2-5 Botev Plovdiv