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Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia• First League, Bulgaria

#140.8:2.40-0LiveToday · Dragalevtsi Stadium,, Sofia1.0:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.181XBX3.50BVC22.31PINMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets77Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:36 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.153.402.314.4%
Bet3653.103.402.305.1%
BetVictor3.003.502.256.3%
Dafabet3.003.352.296.9%
Betano3.053.302.257.5%
1xBet3.183.282.187.8%
Marathonbet3.153.282.168.5%
Betfair2.903.302.2010.2%
William Hill2.803.252.2011.9%
SBO3.023.072.0314.9%
Best of all books3.183.502.313.3%
Average3.033.312.228.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Last 10#14Table position#120.62Points per game0.690Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.02.4Goals against · last 51.844Attack rating5643Defence rating570Form rating10050H2H rating5029Goals model7140Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:01 UTC

Septemvri Sofia

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

2 NovAArda Kardzhali1-2L
27 OctACherno More Varna0-2L
17 OctALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-2L
11 OctHDunav Ruse2-3L
19 SepHBotev Plovdiv0-3L
14 SepALudogorets1-2L
4 SepHBotev Vratsa2-3L
28 AugASlavia Sofia1-1D
23 AugHCSKA 19481-0W
17 AugASpartak Varna1-0W

Lokomotiv Sofia

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

30 OctHBotev Plovdiv2-5L
24 OctHBotev Vratsa1-1D
17 OctAVihren2-1W
10 OctHLokomotiv Plovdiv1-1D
3 OctHRadnicki NIS4-1W
20 SepASpartak Varna1-0W
16 SepHCSKA Sofia0-2L
11 SepACherno More Varna2-2D
6 SepHLudogorets1-2L
31 AugADunav Ruse2-2D

Head to head

6Septemvri Sofia wins
4draws
7Lokomotiv Sofia wins

17 meetings · goals 20:28 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Septemvri Sofia

27 Apr 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia1-1Septemvri Sofia
17 Mar 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia3-0Septemvri Sofia
29 Aug 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia1-0Lokomotiv Sofia
20 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia0-2Lokomotiv Sofia
8 Dec 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia1-2Septemvri Sofia
12 Aug 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia0-1Lokomotiv Sofia
27 Jan 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsLokomotiv Sofia1-1Septemvri Sofia
18 Feb 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueLokomotiv Sofia1-1Septemvri Sofia
8 Aug 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia0-3Lokomotiv Sofia
2 Jul 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsLokomotiv Sofia2-3Septemvri Sofia

First League tableA PFGupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the First League table, Septemvri Sofia sit 14th with 8 points from 13 games, while Lokomotiv Sofia are 12th with 9 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia12102025:5+2032
2CSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031
3Ludogorets1292124:9+1529
4CSKA 19481391331:14+1728
5Botev Plovdiv1371522:20+222
6Arda Kardzhali1363418:19-121
7Slavia Sofia132749:9013
8Spartak Varna1334612:23-1113
9Cherno More Varna1333714:22-812
10Dunav Ruse1332815:22-711
11Botev Vratsa1324710:22-1210
12Lokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109
13Lokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119
14Septemvri Sofia1322911:25-148

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.04X28%3.31242%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 00:006 Nov 13:301 3.04X 3.312 2.22
13.05 → 3.04 -0.3%X3.34 → 3.31 -0.9%22.15 → 2.22 +3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.861.984.3%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.851.935.9%
SBO1.782.006.2%
1xBet1.831.907.3%
Marathonbet1.831.907.3%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.781.908.8%
Best of all books1.862.003.8%
Average1.811.956.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Betano1.652.127.8%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.652.118.0%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.652.088.7%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.642.127.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Septemvri Sofia 10%Draw 45%Lokomotiv Sofia 45%

The statistical model rates Septemvri Sofia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lokomotiv Sofia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.04 | 3.31 | 2.22, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Septemvri Sofia are 14th (8 pts, 11-25 goals), Lokomotiv Sofia 12th (9 pts, 15-25).

Over their last five matches, Septemvri Sofia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Lokomotiv Sofia averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv Sofia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Septemvri Sofia

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Kašćelan

Goalkeeper

  • 12V. Ivanov

Defence

  • 4M. Hristov
  • 22pedrinho
  • 3P. Gospodinov
  • 25S. Vulikić
  • 26V. Ozornwafor

Midfield

  • 10N. Iliev
  • 5Y. Baurenski

Attack

  • 27André Filipe Rio Liberal
  • 29F. Herard
  • 17N. Fontaine
Substitutes (10)
  • 13K. Önaşçı
  • 9V. Mihaylov
  • 33G. Ivanov
  • 11A. Dzhamov
  • 24Z. Atanasov
  • 1A. Radkov
  • 28S. Stoichkov
  • 23B. Stoichkov
  • 7E. Ribeiro
  • 19Pedro Igor

Lokomotiv Sofia

4-2-3-1

Coach: Aleksandar Georgiev

Goalkeeper

  • 99M. Velichkov

Defence

  • 23O. Oduko
  • 6Eirô
  • 91R. Bidounga

Midfield

  • 42N. Neychev
  • 20D. Kostadinov
  • 5E. Dost
  • 8I. Yordanov

Attack

  • 11A. Taoui
  • 29A. Aralica
  • 7S. Delev
Substitutes (11)
  • 44B. Katsarov
  • 77Caue Caruzo
  • 18Joyce Kati Katulondi
  • 3K. Kostov
  • 14A. Lyaskov
  • 24A. Lyubenov
  • 16M. Medfai
  • 26K. Miloshev
  • 9G. Minchev
  • 17M. Papazov
  • 31K. Stanoev

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.043.312.22

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.321.27

Draw no bet

12
2.241.61

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.12

1st half

1X2
3.602.172.76

2nd half

1X2
3.282.472.52

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.2013.824.7
HT X7.245.245.37
HT 230.513.23.41

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1710.21.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.0
1.51.243.68
2.51.811.95
3.53.001.34
4.55.571.11
5.510.91.03
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.028.10
1.251.124.71
1.751.293.10
21.392.77
2.251.602.20
2.752.031.72
32.371.52
3.252.641.39
3.753.511.23
44.801.12
4.255.151.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.671.42
02.271.59
+0.251.861.89
+0.51.672.17
+0.751.462.53
+11.323.14
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.601.01
-1.56.671.07
-1.256.171.08
-15.701.09
-0.753.911.22
-0.53.201.35
+1.251.243.68
+1.51.213.95
+1.751.125.07
+21.057.27
+2.251.046.80
+2.51.018.40

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.851.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.174.22
7.51.352.86
8.51.672.09
9.52.081.68
10.52.771.38
11.53.631.21
12.55.481.06
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.21
6.251.075.42
6.751.144.22
71.163.99
7.251.243.32
7.751.362.75
81.442.59
8.251.522.32
8.751.702.02
91.881.88
9.251.911.79
9.752.171.60
102.371.52
10.252.501.44
10.752.921.32
113.331.24
11.253.501.22
11.754.221.14
125.081.08
12.255.281.07

Next First League matches

6 NovBotev Plovdiv – Dunav Ruse
7 NovBotev Vratsa – Lokomotiv Plovdiv
7 NovSlavia Sofia – Cherno More Varna
7 NovLudogorets – CSKA 1948
8 NovSpartak Varna – Arda Kardzhali
8 NovLevski Sofia – CSKA Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

2 NovArda Kardzhali 2-1 Septemvri Sofia
2 NovCherno More Varna 1-0 Botev Vratsa
31 OctCSKA Sofia 0-0 Slavia Sofia
31 OctDunav Ruse 0-1 Levski Sofia
31 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv 0-3 Ludogorets
30 OctLokomotiv Sofia 2-5 Botev Plovdiv