Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv• First League, Bulgaria

#110.6:1.011:30Tomorrow · Hristo Botev Stadium, Vratsa0.4:1.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.14PINX3.10B36523.98PINMargin at best4.1%Books9Markets76Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	2.95	4.03	5.0%
Dafabet	2.09	3.10	3.75	6.8%
Bet365	2.10	3.10	3.70	6.9%
1xBet	2.08	2.92	3.91	7.9%
Betano	2.10	2.95	3.75	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.06	2.92	3.88	8.6%
BetVictor	2.05	3.00	3.70	9.1%
William Hill	2.05	2.75	3.80	11.5%
Betfair	2.00	2.90	3.70	11.5%
Best of all books	2.16	3.10	4.03	3.4%
Average	2.08	2.95	3.80	8.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Botev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv

Last 10#11Table position#130.77Points per game0.694Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4058Defence rating4250Form rating5029H2H rating7174Goals model2651Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:01 UTC

Botev Vratsa

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

2 Nov	A	Cherno More Varna	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Lokomotiv Sofia	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Fratria	2-1	W
14 Oct	A	Botev Plovdiv	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Spartak Varna	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Slavia Sofia	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Dunav Ruse	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Levski Sofia	0-0	D
4 Sep	A	Septemvri Sofia	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	Arda Kardzhali	0-2	L

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:9 · per match 0.8 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	H	Ludogorets	0-3	L
26 Oct	H	Slavia Sofia	0-0	D
21 Oct	A	Cherno More Varna	1-0	W
16 Oct	A	Yantra 2019	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Lokomotiv Sofia	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Arda Kardzhali	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	CSKA Sofia	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Botev Plovdiv	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Cherno More Varna	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	CSKA 1948	0-2	L

Head to head

4Botev Vratsa wins

4draws

10Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins

18 meetings · goals 14:28 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Botev Vratsa

22 Mar 2026First League	First League	Botev Vratsa1-2Lokomotiv Plovdiv
17 Oct 2025First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv3-0Botev Vratsa
15 May 2025First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-3Botev Vratsa
1 Mar 2025First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Botev Vratsa
18 Oct 2024First League	First League	Botev Vratsa0-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25 Nov 2023First League	First League	Botev Vratsa2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
31 Jul 2023First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv4-0Botev Vratsa
12 Feb 2023First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv0-0Botev Vratsa
30 Jul 2022First League	First League	Botev Vratsa0-1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26 Mar 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-2Botev Vratsa

First League tableA PFGupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the First League table, Botev Vratsa sit 11th with 10 points from 13 games, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 13th with 9 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	12	10	2	0	25:5	+20	32
2	CSKA Sofia	13	9	4	0	29:9	+20	31
3	Ludogorets	12	9	2	1	24:9	+15	29
4	CSKA 1948	13	9	1	3	31:14	+17	28
5	Botev Plovdiv	13	7	1	5	22:20	+2	22
6	Arda Kardzhali	13	6	3	4	18:19	-1	21
7	Slavia Sofia	13	2	7	4	9:9	0	13
8	Spartak Varna	13	3	4	6	12:23	-11	13
9	Cherno More Varna	13	3	3	7	14:22	-8	12
10	Dunav Ruse	13	3	2	8	15:22	-7	11
11	Botev Vratsa	13	2	4	7	10:22	-12	10
12	Lokomotiv Sofia	13	1	6	6	15:25	-10	9
13	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	13	2	3	8	6:17	-11	9
14	Septemvri Sofia	13	2	2	9	11:25	-14	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.07X31%2.96224%3.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.04 → 2.07 +1.5%X3.00 → 2.96 -1.3%23.80 → 3.82 +0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.78	1.44	5.4%
Bet365	2.70	1.44	6.5%
Betano	2.60	1.47	6.5%
Betfair	2.75	1.40	7.8%
BetVictor	2.50	1.45	9.0%
1xBet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Best of all books	2.78	1.47	4.0%
Average	2.62	1.43	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.60	6.9%
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
William Hill	2.10	1.67	7.5%
BetVictor	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.16	1.62	8.0%
Betano	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.60	8.8%
Best of all books	2.25	1.67	4.3%
Average	2.17	1.62	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Botev Vratsa 35%Draw 35%Lokomotiv Plovdiv 30%

The statistical model rates Botev Vratsa at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 2.96 | 3.82, which imply roughly 48.3% for a Botev Vratsa win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the First League table: Botev Vratsa are 11th (10 pts, 10-22 goals), Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13th (9 pts, 6-17).

Over their last five matches, Botev Vratsa averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lokomotiv Plovdiv averaged 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Botev Vratsa or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.08	2.95	3.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.69	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.17	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
2.83	1.89	4.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.15	4.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.40	15.1	46.6
HT X	4.84	4.03	7.72
HT 2	32.0	15.3	6.66

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	5.83	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	6.15
1.5	1.53	2.40
2.5	2.62	1.43
3.5	5.28	1.13
4.5	11.3	1.03
5.5	21.3	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.10
1	1.13	4.55
1.25	1.32	2.95
1.75	1.68	2.07
2	1.94	1.77
2.25	2.27	1.56
2.75	2.99	1.31
3	4.05	1.17
3.25	4.41	1.14
3.75	6.10	1.06
4	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.26	1.29
-0.75	2.44	1.49
-0.5	2.09	1.71
-0.25	1.75	1.99
0	1.45	2.64
+0.25	1.31	3.16

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.01
-2.25	8.30	1.02
-2	7.90	1.02
-1.75	5.44	1.11
-1.5	4.08	1.18
-1.25	3.74	1.23
+0.5	1.26	3.76
+0.75	1.14	4.97
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.20
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.70	2.07

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.66
6.5	1.23	3.46
7.5	1.48	2.42
8.5	1.86	1.85
9.5	2.41	1.49
10.5	3.31	1.25
11.5	4.96	1.09
12.5	7.19	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.07	5.38
6	1.08	5.11
6.25	1.16	4.04
6.75	1.26	3.22
7	1.30	3.03
7.25	1.40	2.64
7.75	1.56	2.24
8	1.64	2.15
8.25	1.76	1.95
8.75	1.99	1.73
9	2.15	1.64
9.25	2.28	1.54
9.75	2.66	1.39
10	3.00	1.30
10.25	3.16	1.27
10.75	3.82	1.18
11	4.56	1.12
11.25	4.76	1.10
11.75	5.40	1.07
12	6.73	1.02
12.25	6.96	1.02

Next First League matches

6 Nov	Septemvri Sofia – Lokomotiv Sofia
6 Nov	Botev Plovdiv – Dunav Ruse
7 Nov	Slavia Sofia – Cherno More Varna
7 Nov	Ludogorets – CSKA 1948
8 Nov	Spartak Varna – Arda Kardzhali
8 Nov	Levski Sofia – CSKA Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

2 Nov	Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Septemvri Sofia
2 Nov	Cherno More Varna 1-0 Botev Vratsa
31 Oct	CSKA Sofia 0-0 Slavia Sofia
31 Oct	Dunav Ruse 0-1 Levski Sofia
31 Oct	Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-3 Ludogorets
30 Oct	Lokomotiv Sofia 2-5 Botev Plovdiv