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Necaxa vs Club Tijuana• Liga MX, Mexico

#170.8:1.61-0FTToday · Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes2.0:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63PINX3.51PIN22.74PINMargin at best3.0%Books10Markets73Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.633.512.743.0%
Dafabet2.603.452.655.2%
Bet3652.623.402.625.7%
Betano2.573.402.656.1%
BetVictor2.553.402.636.7%
Betfair2.503.402.637.4%
1xBet2.413.352.688.7%
Marathonbet2.413.352.688.7%
SBO2.453.202.5711.0%
William Hill2.383.102.5014.3%
Best of all books2.633.512.743.0%
Average2.513.362.647.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NecaxaClub Tijuana
Last 10#17Table position#60.81Points per game1.382Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 52.01.6Goals against · last 51.429Attack rating7147Defence rating5322Form rating7860H2H rating4041Goals model5942Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:10 UTC

Necaxa

0W 3D 7L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

1 NovASantos Laguna0-1L
24 OctHFC Juarez1-1D
21 OctAGuadalajara Chivas0-1L
17 OctHAtlas0-2L
11 OctACF Pachuca3-3D
28 SepHClub America2-4L
19 SepAAtletico San Luis1-3L
12 SepHPuebla0-1L
6 SepATigres UANL1-1D
29 AugHCruz Azul1-3L

Club Tijuana

2W 6D 2L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

1 NovAMonterrey3-3D
29 OctAClub America1-1D
26 OctHSantos Laguna4-1W
22 OctAToluca2-2D
17 OctHPuebla0-0D
10 OctAFC Juarez1-1D
26 SepHAtlas2-3L
21 SepACF Pachuca2-2D
12 SepHClub Queretaro0-1L
29 AugHU.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0W

Head to head

8Necaxa wins
5draws
7Club Tijuana wins

20 meetings · goals 27:24 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Necaxa

21 Mar 2026Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa3-0Club Tijuana
1 Sep 2025Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana3-0Necaxa
5 Apr 2025Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana1-2Necaxa
19 Oct 2024Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa1-2Club Tijuana
6 Apr 2024Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana2-3Necaxa
6 Jan 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNecaxa1-3Club Tijuana
8 Jul 2023Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa1-1Club Tijuana
4 Feb 2023Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa1-1Club Tijuana
19 Sep 2022Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana1-1Necaxa
19 Feb 2022Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana1-1Necaxa

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 7 Nov 07:10 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Necaxa sit 17th with 13 points from 16 games, while Club Tijuana are 6th with 22 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1585236:21+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129
3Cruz Azul1592434:24+1029
4Atlas1583426:26027
5Toluca1566331:21+1024
6Club Tijuana1657425:22+322
7Leon1564522:20+222
8Santos Laguna1571721:20+122
9Monterrey1463526:21+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220
11Club Queretaro1462618:21-320
12CF Pachuca1554625:19+619
13Atletico San Luis1654719:24-519
14Puebla1544717:23-616
15Tigres UANL1536615:22-715
16Atlante FC1535716:24-814
17Necaxa1634917:28-1113
18FC Juarez16321113:34-2111

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.51X28%3.36235%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:017 Nov 00:501 2.51X 3.362 2.63
12.26 → 2.51 +11.1%X3.60 → 3.36 -6.7%22.76 → 2.63 -4.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.862.033.0%
Betano1.852.004.1%
SBO1.832.014.4%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.781.908.8%
1xBet1.711.9210.6%
Marathonbet1.711.9210.6%
Best of all books1.862.033.0%
Average1.791.966.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.602.198.2%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.602.168.8%
Best of all books1.652.206.1%
Average1.622.177.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Necaxa 10%Draw 45%Club Tijuana 45%

The statistical model rated Necaxa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Club Tijuana at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.36 | 2.63, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Necaxa are 17th (13 pts, 17-28 goals), Club Tijuana 6th (22 pts, 25-22).

Over their last five matches, Necaxa averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Club Tijuana averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Club Tijuana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Necaxa

4-1-4-1

Coach: Juan Reynoso

Goalkeeper

  • 181Javier Orantes

Defence

  • 33R. Martínez
  • 5Kaiky Naves
  • 3A. Oliveros
  • 14M. Zaleta

Midfield

  • 15D. Ochoa
  • 99M. Rodríguez
  • 8L. Faravelli
  • 6D. Leyva
  • 13Owen de Jesús González Ojeda

Attack

  • 9J. Carranza
Substitutes (10)
  • 21M. Espíndola
  • 210Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido
  • 16P. Pedraza
  • 4A. Peña
  • 11J. Torres
  • 90J. Valencia
  • 235Leroy Davis
  • 259Leonardo Arvizo Vargas
  • 1C. Andrade
  • 88C. Vargas

Club Tijuana

5-4-1

Coach: S. Abreu

Goalkeeper

  • 2A. Rodríguez

Defence

  • 3R. Fernández
  • 12J. Porozo
  • 8I. Tona
  • 6A. Gómez
  • 33P. Ortíz

Midfield

  • 11F. González
  • 15I. Rivero
  • 10G. Mora
  • 7Adonis Preciado

Attack

  • 9Mourad
Substitutes (10)
  • 19D. Abreu
  • 13Elias Manoel
  • 4Unai Bilbao
  • 34F. Boya
  • 202J. González
  • 29S. Hernández
  • 31Y. Padilla
  • 16J. Vega
  • 20Á. Zapata
  • 17R. Árciga

Match Statistics

NecaxaClub Tijuana
1.33Expected Goals1.75
298Passes accurate434
10Shots insidebox13
7Shots outsidebox5
5Blocked Shots6
8Free Kicks7
5Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
7Shots off Goal9
1Offsides2
369Total passes493
17Total Shots18
1Yellow Cards2
5Corner Kicks6
7Fouls8
0Red Cards0
42%Ball Possession58%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.513.362.63

Double chance

1XX212
1.431.501.29

Draw no bet

12
1.821.92

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.17

1st half

1X2
3.022.223.19

2nd half

1X2
2.712.492.92

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9813.326.7
HT X6.055.376.33
HT 225.513.14.27

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9012.32.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.4
1.51.243.79
2.51.791.96
3.52.981.37
4.55.561.12
5.510.51.02
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.50
1.251.114.95
1.751.273.19
21.372.93
2.251.562.26
2.751.981.76
32.321.56
3.252.541.45
3.753.291.25
44.331.15
4.254.641.12
4.756.151.06
58.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.931.36
-0.52.511.52
-0.252.131.67
01.831.93
+0.251.582.29
+0.51.482.64
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.331.02
-28.301.01
-1.756.001.09
-1.54.721.15
-1.254.211.18
-13.851.23
+0.751.313.19
+11.184.44
+1.251.144.80
+1.51.125.30
+1.751.076.70
+21.019.50
+2.51.0310.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.333.15
4.51.821.92
5.52.201.62
6.53.051.35
7.54.401.19

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0310.0
6.51.057.65
7.51.144.95
8.51.273.33
9.51.502.41
10.51.841.91
11.52.311.54
12.53.081.31
13.54.281.18
14.55.901.09
15.57.401.07
16.59.251.04
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
9.251.462.38
9.751.552.23
101.682.14
10.251.751.96
10.751.941.73
112.091.72
11.252.201.55
11.752.491.42

Next Liga MX matches

7 NovAtlas – CF Pachuca
8 NovTigres UANL – Cruz Azul
8 NovToluca – Monterrey
8 NovU.N.A.M. - Pumas – Club America
9 NovClub Queretaro – Puebla
9 NovLeon – Guadalajara Chivas

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

7 NovAtlante FC 0-2 Santos Laguna
7 NovAtletico San Luis 0-1 FC Juarez
2 NovCruz Azul 2-1 Leon
1 NovSantos Laguna 1-0 Necaxa
1 NovClub America 2-2 Toluca
1 NovGuadalajara Chivas 4-2 Atlante FC