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Cruz Azul vs Leon• Liga MX, Mexico

#43.2:1.62-1FTToday · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City1.8:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80BTNX3.98PIN24.80BTNMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets83Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.803.854.802.4%
Pinnacle1.783.984.533.4%
Dafabet1.773.904.404.9%
Bet3651.703.804.756.2%
BetVictor1.733.904.336.5%
Betfair1.733.804.207.9%
1xBet1.723.904.147.9%
Marathonbet1.703.904.158.6%
SBO1.683.823.9810.8%
William Hill1.703.504.0012.4%
Best of all books1.803.984.801.5%
Average1.733.834.337.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cruz AzulLeon
Last 10#4Table position#71.86Points per game1.5711Form pts · last 583.2Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 51.664Attack rating3650Defence rating5058Form rating4280H2H rating2056Goals model4462Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Cruz Azul

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

26 OctAClub Queretaro3-1W
22 OctACF Pachuca2-1W
18 OctHFC Juarez5-0W
12 OctAU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3D
2 OctAClub America0-0D
26 SepHToluca3-3D
20 SepAMonterrey0-1L
17 SepAInter Miami0-2L
13 SepHClub America4-3W
6 SepHSantos Laguna1-0W

Leon

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

24 OctHToluca1-1D
21 OctATigres UANL2-0W
18 OctHClub America3-5L
10 OctAPuebla1-1D
28 SepHFC Juarez2-1W
21 SepAClub Queretaro1-1D
15 SepHAtletico San Luis2-0W
11 SepAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3L
6 SepHClub America1-0W
3 SepAToluca0-2L

Head to head

16Cruz Azul wins
3draws
4Leon wins

23 meetings · goals 37:21 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for Cruz Azul

11 Jan 2026Liga MXLiga MXLeon2-1Cruz Azul
27 Jul 2025Liga MXLiga MXCruz Azul4-1Leon
12 May 2025Liga MXLiga MXCruz Azul2-1Leon
9 May 2025Liga MXLiga MXLeon2-3Cruz Azul
16 Apr 2025Liga MXLiga MXCruz Azul2-1Leon
15 Sep 2024Liga MXLiga MXLeon1-2Cruz Azul
22 Feb 2024Liga MXLiga MXLeon2-3Cruz Azul
29 Oct 2023Liga MXLiga MXCruz Azul1-0Leon
9 Apr 2023Liga MXLiga MXLeon0-0Cruz Azul
9 Oct 2022Liga MXLiga MXCruz Azul1-0Leon

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:00 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul sit 4th with 26 points from 14 games, while Leon are 7th with 22 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1585236:21+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129
3Atlas1583426:26027
4Cruz Azul1482432:23+926
5Toluca1566331:21+1024
6Club Tijuana1557325:21+422
7Leon1464421:18+322
8Santos Laguna1571721:20+122
9Monterrey1463526:21+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220
11Club Queretaro1462618:21-320
12CF Pachuca1554625:19+619
13Atletico San Luis1554619:23-419
14Puebla1544717:23-616
15Tigres UANL1536615:22-715
16Atlante FC1535716:24-814
17Necaxa1524916:28-1210
18FC Juarez15221112:34-228

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.73X24%3.83222%4.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 00:012 Nov 00:301 1.73X 3.832 4.33
11.63 → 1.73 +6.1%X4.09 → 3.83 -6.4%24.41 → 4.33 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.712.223.5%
Betano1.652.304.1%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.642.089.1%
1xBet1.552.1710.6%
Marathonbet1.552.1710.6%
Best of all books1.712.302.0%
Average1.622.187.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.572.267.9%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.572.228.7%
William Hill1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.702.302.3%
Average1.602.208.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cruz Azul 45%Draw 45%Leon 10%

The statistical model rated Cruz Azul at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leon at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.83 | 4.33, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Cruz Azul win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Cruz Azul are 4th (26 pts, 32-23 goals), Leon 7th (22 pts, 21-18).

Over their last five matches, Cruz Azul averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Leon averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Cruz Azul or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cruz Azul

5-3-2

Coach: Joel Huiqui

Goalkeeper

  • 23K. Mier

Defence

  • 55R. Gonzalez
  • 33G. Piovi
  • 17A. García
  • 5J. Orozco
  • 3O. Campos

Midfield

  • 8A. Palavecino
  • 6É. Lira
  • 19C. Rodríguez

Attack

  • 10A. Montaño
  • 21G. Fernández
Substitutes (10)
  • 11C. Ebere
  • 1A. Gudiño
  • 7N. Ibáñez
  • 12A. Montes
  • 2A. Mozo
  • 16J. Márquez
  • 20J. Paradela
  • 22J. Rodarte
  • 18L. Romero
  • 29C. Rotondi

Leon

4-1-4-1

Coach: J. Gandolfi

Goalkeeper

  • 23Ó. García

Defence

  • 7I. Moreno
  • 14J. Romaña
  • 3Juan José Guevara Possu
  • 185C. Mora

Midfield

  • 29J. Rodríguez
  • 18E. Guerra
  • 20R. Echeverría
  • 13D. Arcila
  • 11I. Díaz

Attack

  • 19J. Alvarado
Substitutes (10)
  • 5S. Vegas
  • 181Irving Martínez
  • 203J. Lara
  • 247I. Espinosa
  • 8J. Domínguez
  • 16J. Cortizo
  • 4B. Colula
  • 27D. Cambindo
  • 6F. Beltrán
  • 25P. Bellón

Match Statistics

Cruz AzulLeon
1.56Expected Goals2.2
376Passes accurate410
8Shots insidebox14
7Shots outsidebox2
4Blocked Shots5
11Free Kicks16
5Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal7
3Offsides3
437Total passes469
15Total Shots16
4Yellow Cards5
4Corner Kicks6
16Fouls11
0Red Cards0
48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.733.834.33

Double chance

1XX212
1.192.021.23

Draw no bet

12
1.303.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.20

1st half

1X2
2.212.374.47

2nd half

1X2
2.022.714.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5913.535.3
HT X4.706.189.65
HT 220.614.87.08

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5515.02.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.4
1.51.184.43
2.51.622.18
3.52.571.48
4.54.691.16
5.58.731.05
6.516.91.01
7.533.01.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.80
1.251.066.35
1.751.174.00
21.253.35
2.251.442.58
2.751.771.95
31.991.78
3.252.231.60
3.752.801.39
43.371.28
4.254.051.16
4.755.551.08
57.901.02
5.257.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.921.37
-1.252.561.45
-12.271.61
-0.751.911.84
-0.51.732.10
-0.251.492.44
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.51.02
-39.901.01
-2.757.271.05
-2.55.741.10
-2.255.221.12
-24.751.14
-1.753.521.26
01.303.26
+0.251.243.71
+0.51.204.40
+0.751.115.43
+11.028.30
+1.51.049.37

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.293.40
4.51.652.15
5.51.961.77
6.52.851.39
7.54.051.22

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.039.75
6.51.066.95
7.51.164.55
8.51.323.06
9.51.582.24
10.51.941.78
11.52.481.47
12.53.371.26
13.54.651.15
14.56.551.08
15.57.801.06
16.59.751.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.472.58
9.251.482.33
9.751.642.04
101.851.97
10.251.851.81
10.752.131.64
112.321.57
11.252.421.47

Latest Liga MX results

1 NovSantos Laguna 1-0 Necaxa
1 NovClub America 2-2 Toluca
1 NovGuadalajara Chivas 4-2 Atlante FC
1 NovMonterrey 3-3 Club Tijuana
31 OctCF Pachuca 3-0 Tigres UANL
31 OctPuebla 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas