Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC• Liga MX, Mexico

#20.8:0.84-2FT01/11 · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara1.2:1.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX4.90PIN26.90BTNMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets84Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.50	4.85	6.70	2.2%
Pinnacle	1.46	4.93	6.77	3.5%
Dafabet	1.46	4.80	6.40	5.0%
Bet365	1.44	4.75	6.50	5.9%
BetVictor	1.40	4.75	7.00	6.8%
1xBet	1.43	4.55	6.22	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.42	4.55	6.15	8.7%
Betfair	1.40	4.60	6.00	9.8%
William Hill	1.36	4.33	6.00	13.3%
SBO	1.40	4.03	5.32	15.0%
Best of all books	1.50	4.93	7.00	1.2%
Average	1.43	4.61	6.31	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guadalajara ChivasAtlante FC

Last 10#2Table position#161.93Points per game0.9311Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.440Attack rating6064Defence rating3657Form rating430H2H rating067Goals model3357Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:10 UTC

Guadalajara Chivas

5W 4D 1L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against

25 Oct	A	Monterrey	1-0	W
21 Oct	H	Necaxa	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Tigres UANL	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Atlas	1-1	D
5 Oct	H	Club America	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Club Queretaro	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Club America	2-2	D
14 Sep	H	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Atletico San Luis	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	CF Pachuca	1-1	D

Atlante FC

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	H	Atletico San Luis	0-1	L
21 Oct	A	FC Juarez	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Club Queretaro	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Monterrey	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Puebla	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	CF Pachuca	0-3	L
6 Sep	A	Atlas	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Leon	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Tigres UANL	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Guadalajara Chivas and Atlante FC on record.

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 2 Nov 01:00 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd with 29 points from 15 games, while Atlante FC are 16th with 14 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Club America	15	8	5	2	36:21	+15	29
2	Guadalajara Chivas	15	8	5	2	25:14	+11	29
3	Atlas	15	8	3	4	26:26	0	27
4	Cruz Azul	14	8	2	4	32:23	+9	26
5	Toluca	15	6	6	3	31:21	+10	24
6	Club Tijuana	15	5	7	3	25:21	+4	22
7	Leon	14	6	4	4	21:18	+3	22
8	Monterrey	14	6	3	5	26:21	+5	21
9	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	15	5	5	5	22:24	-2	20
10	Club Queretaro	14	6	2	6	18:21	-3	20
11	CF Pachuca	15	5	4	6	25:19	+6	19
12	Santos Laguna	14	6	1	7	20:20	0	19
13	Atletico San Luis	15	5	4	6	19:23	-4	19
14	Puebla	15	4	4	7	17:23	-6	16
15	Tigres UANL	15	3	6	6	15:22	-7	15
16	Atlante FC	15	3	5	7	16:24	-8	14
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16:27	-11	10
18	FC Juarez	15	2	2	11	12:34	-22	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.43X20%4.61215%6.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.43 -2.1%X4.42 → 4.59 +3.8%25.83 → 6.26 +7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.59	2.45	3.7%
Betano	1.60	2.40	4.2%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.54	2.36	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.36	7.3%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
BetVictor	1.54	2.26	9.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.45	3.3%
Average	1.55	2.37	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.69	2.05	8.0%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.02	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.70	2.03	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guadalajara Chivas 45%Draw 45%Atlante FC 10%

The statistical model rated Guadalajara Chivas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlante FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.61 | 6.31, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Guadalajara Chivas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Guadalajara Chivas are 2nd (29 pts, 25-14 goals), Atlante FC 16th (14 pts, 16-24).

Over their last five matches, Guadalajara Chivas averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Atlante FC averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Guadalajara Chivas

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Milito

Goalkeeper

1J. Rangel

Defence

23D. Aguirre
3D. Campillo
7L. Romo

Midfield

37R. Ledezma
28R. González
6O. Govea
5B. González
30Santiago Sandoval
10E. Álvarez

Attack

25R. Alvarado

Substitutes (10)

19K. Castañeda
33J. Carrillo
14H. Camberos
2J. Castillo
11B. Gutiérrez
57J. Hernández
17R. Marín
16L. Rey
9Á. Sepúlveda
13Óscar Whalley

Atlante FC

5-3-2

Coach: Miguel Herrera

Goalkeeper

1Ó. Jiménez

Defence

29Walter Portales
6J. N. Carrera
32D. Bagüí
44A. Quiroz
25M. Fernández

Midfield

30M. Sarrafiore
8E. Pizzuto
19L. Calzadilla

Attack

11Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
7J. Julio

Substitutes (10)

15Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
37W. Clar
33Jordan García
13M. García
16José González
34E. Jiménez
9L. Puente
3G. Sánchez
4E. Tercero
10O. Vazquez

Match Statistics

Guadalajara ChivasAtlante FC

1.64Expected Goals1.61

412Passes accurate348

9Shots insidebox5

6Shots outsidebox3

4Blocked Shots3

10Free Kicks6

7Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves4

4Shots off Goal1

504Total passes445

15Total Shots8

6Corner Kicks4

0Offsides2

0Yellow Cards1

6Fouls10

0Red Cards0

53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.43	4.61	6.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.68	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	5.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
1.89	2.50	5.84

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.90	5.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.04	15.7	45.4
HT X	4.34	7.29	13.5
HT 2	19.0	17.0	10.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.38	17.3	3.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.9
1.5	1.16	4.83
2.5	1.55	2.37
3.5	2.37	1.53
4.5	4.10	1.20
5.5	7.72	1.06
6.5	14.8	1.02
7.5	24.8	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.06	6.20
1.75	1.17	4.11
2	1.20	3.70
2.25	1.38	2.73
2.75	1.69	2.10
3	1.89	1.86
3.25	2.11	1.65
3.75	2.63	1.39
4	3.28	1.25
4.25	3.59	1.21
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.49	1.48
-1.5	2.16	1.64
-1.25	1.92	1.82
-1	1.69	2.13
-0.75	1.50	2.41
-0.5	1.43	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.00	1.05
-3.25	7.00	1.10
-3	6.37	1.07
-2.75	4.55	1.15
-2.5	3.68	1.22
-2.25	3.44	1.27
-2	3.12	1.33
-0.25	1.28	3.38
0	1.13	4.85
+0.25	1.11	5.32
+0.5	1.12	6.25
+0.75	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.20	4.20
3.5	1.47	2.57
4.5	1.86	1.83
5.5	2.70	1.42
6.5	3.95	1.22

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	10.3
6.5	1.06	7.30
7.5	1.15	4.80
8.5	1.30	3.16
9.5	1.54	2.33
10.5	1.88	1.87
11.5	2.42	1.50
12.5	3.28	1.28
13.5	4.43	1.17
14.5	6.25	1.09
15.5	7.00	1.08
16.5	9.00	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.43	2.65
9.25	1.48	2.33
9.75	1.64	2.04
10	1.72	2.09
10.25	1.85	1.81
10.75	2.13	1.64
11	2.04	1.75
11.25	2.42	1.47
11.75	2.52	1.41

Latest Liga MX results

1 Nov	Santos Laguna 1-0 Necaxa
1 Nov	Club America 2-2 Toluca
1 Nov	Monterrey 3-3 Club Tijuana
31 Oct	CF Pachuca 3-0 Tigres UANL
31 Oct	Puebla 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
31 Oct	FC Juarez 3-1 Club Queretaro