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Club America vs Toluca• Liga MX, Mexico

#12.6:1.82-2FT01/11 · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City1.8:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38PINX3.80DAF22.88B365Margin at best3.1%Books10Markets77Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.383.792.883.1%
Dafabet2.333.802.804.9%
Bet3652.303.702.885.2%
Betano2.323.702.776.2%
BetVictor2.253.752.806.8%
Betfair2.303.602.807.0%
1xBet2.273.742.698.0%
Marathonbet2.253.742.678.6%
William Hill2.203.402.6213.0%
SBO2.123.402.5915.2%
Best of all books2.383.802.883.1%
Average2.273.662.757.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Club AmericaToluca
Last 10#1Table position#51.93Points per game1.608Form pts · last 532.6Goals for · last 51.81.8Goals against · last 52.059Attack rating4153Defence rating4767Form rating3329H2H rating7159Goals model4149Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 06:30 UTC

Club America

3W 4D 3L · goals 22:19 · per match 2.2 for, 1.9 against

29 OctHClub Tijuana1-1D
26 OctHCF Pachuca1-2L
22 OctAAtlas5-2W
18 OctALeon5-3W
11 OctHMonterrey1-1D
5 OctAGuadalajara Chivas0-2L
2 OctHCruz Azul0-0D
28 SepANecaxa4-2W
20 SepHGuadalajara Chivas2-2D
13 SepACruz Azul3-4L

Toluca

3W 4D 3L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

24 OctALeon1-1D
22 OctHClub Tijuana2-2D
18 OctHAtletico San Luis1-1D
10 OctATigres UANL2-3L
3 OctAMonterrey1-2L
26 SepACruz Azul3-3D
21 SepHSantos Laguna2-3L
16 SepAPuebla1-0W
12 SepHAtlas5-2W
7 SepHMonterrey2-0W

Head to head

13Club America wins
8draws
10Toluca wins

31 meetings · goals 47:40 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Club America

19 Apr 2026Liga MXLiga MXClub America2-1Toluca
9 Nov 2025Liga MXLiga MXToluca2-0Club America
21 Jul 2025Campeón de CampeonesCampeón de CampeonesClub America1-3Toluca
26 May 2025Liga MXLiga MXToluca2-0Club America
23 May 2025Liga MXLiga MXClub America0-0Toluca
1 Mar 2025Liga MXLiga MXClub America3-0Toluca
30 Nov 2024Liga MXLiga MXToluca0-2Club America
28 Nov 2024Liga MXLiga MXClub America2-0Toluca
10 Nov 2024Liga MXLiga MXToluca4-0Club America
14 Apr 2024Liga MXLiga MXClub America5-1Toluca

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:00 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Club America sit 1st with 29 points from 15 games, while Toluca are 5th with 24 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1585236:21+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129
3Atlas1583426:26027
4Cruz Azul1482432:23+926
5Toluca1566331:21+1024
6Club Tijuana1557325:21+422
7Leon1464421:18+322
8Santos Laguna1571721:20+122
9Monterrey1463526:21+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220
11Club Queretaro1462618:21-320
12CF Pachuca1554625:19+619
13Atletico San Luis1554619:23-419
14Puebla1544717:23-616
15Tigres UANL1536615:22-715
16Atlante FC1535716:24-814
17Necaxa1524916:28-1210
18FC Juarez15221112:34-228

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.27X25%3.65234%2.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 00:501 2.27X 3.662 2.75
12.43 → 2.27 -6.6%X3.73 → 3.66 -1.9%22.51 → 2.75 +9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.562.533.6%
Betano1.552.553.7%
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Bet3651.532.407.0%
BetVictor1.512.349.0%
1xBet1.442.4310.6%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
Best of all books1.562.553.3%
Average1.502.467.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.442.706.5%
Betano1.452.627.1%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.442.607.9%
1xBet1.422.668.0%
Marathonbet1.422.618.7%
William Hill1.402.629.6%
Best of all books1.452.706.0%
Average1.432.637.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Club America 45%Draw 45%Toluca 10%

The statistical model rated Club America at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Toluca at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.65 | 2.75, which imply roughly 44.1% for a Club America win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Club America are 1st (29 pts, 36-21 goals), Toluca 5th (24 pts, 31-21).

Over their last five matches, Club America averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Toluca averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Club America or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Club America

4-2-3-1

Coach: G. Almada

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Malagón

Defence

  • 5K. Álvarez
  • 14S. Bueno
  • 15S. Ramos
  • 24F. Rossano

Midfield

  • 3I. Reyes
  • 28É. Sánchez
  • 12I. Violante
  • 8Carlos Álvarez
  • 7B. Rodríguez

Attack

  • 9H. Martín
Substitutes (10)
  • 26C. Borja
  • 93M. Borja
  • 6E. Cerrillo
  • 13A. Cervantes
  • 30R. Cota
  • 20A. Gutiérrez
  • 206Derek Jimenez
  • 2E. Lara
  • 22Ó. Perea
  • 32M. Vázquez

Toluca

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Mohamed

Goalkeeper

  • 22L. García

Defence

  • 19S. Simón
  • 4B. Méndez
  • 6F. Pereira
  • 20J. Gallardo

Midfield

  • 5F. Romero
  • 24F. Arce
  • 11Helinho
  • 29J. Díaz
  • 8N. Castro

Attack

  • 16F. Viñas
Substitutes (10)
  • 9A. Vega
  • 15P. Pérez
  • 25E. López
  • 35É. Gutiérrez
  • 1H. González
  • 17B. García
  • 13Luan
  • 26Paulinho
  • 2D. Barbosa
  • 10J. Angulo

Match Statistics

Club AmericaToluca
2.03Expected Goals1.91
317Passes accurate262
11Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox9
5Blocked Shots6
14Free Kicks14
5Shots on Goal7
5Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal4
412Total passes361
1Red Cards1
15Total Shots17
3Yellow Cards1
6Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
14Fouls14
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.273.662.75

Double chance

1XX212
1.411.581.25

Draw no bet

12
1.702.07

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.432.63

1st half

1X2
2.732.393.15

2nd half

1X2
2.522.732.83

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5413.324.2
HT X6.076.386.94
HT 220.913.04.31

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8020.81.97

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.9
1.51.145.21
2.51.502.46
3.52.271.60
4.53.941.22
5.57.411.07
6.513.71.02
7.523.71.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.751.124.70
21.154.20
2.251.332.91
2.751.612.19
31.781.98
3.252.011.75
3.752.531.47
43.061.32
4.253.441.23
4.754.661.13
56.351.06
5.256.701.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.641.43
-0.52.281.62
-0.251.991.78
01.722.07
+0.251.532.38
+0.51.442.75
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.58.631.02
-27.601.05
-1.755.371.11
-1.54.221.18
-1.253.801.23
-13.411.29
+0.751.303.25
+11.184.37
+1.251.134.92
+1.51.125.32
+1.751.066.77
+21.028.75
+2.51.029.73

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.353.05
4.51.791.91
5.52.301.57
6.53.201.32
7.54.601.17

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.039.75
6.51.067.35
7.51.144.80
8.51.283.21
9.51.522.36
10.51.871.88
11.52.361.52
12.53.181.30
13.54.451.17
14.56.201.09
15.57.801.06
16.510.01.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.442.61
9.251.412.52
9.751.562.18
101.672.14
10.251.771.94
10.751.971.72
112.091.71
11.252.231.55
11.752.461.43

Latest Liga MX results

2 NovCruz Azul 2-1 Leon
1 NovSantos Laguna 1-0 Necaxa
1 NovGuadalajara Chivas 4-2 Atlante FC
1 NovMonterrey 3-3 Club Tijuana
31 OctCF Pachuca 3-0 Tigres UANL
31 OctPuebla 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas