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Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas• Liga MX, Mexico

#71.6:1.802:1009/11 · Estadio León, Leon1.6:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.22PINX3.65DAF22.18BTNMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets62Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 03:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.223.632.174.7%
Dafabet3.203.552.195.1%
Bet3653.403.502.105.6%
Betano3.153.502.186.2%
Betfair3.103.602.107.7%
1xBet3.083.502.138.0%
BetVictor3.103.502.108.4%
Marathonbet3.063.502.118.6%
William Hill3.003.252.0512.9%
SBO2.773.112.1415.0%
Best of all books3.403.632.192.6%
Average3.113.462.138.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeonGuadalajara Chivas
Last 10#7Table position#21.47Points per game1.935Form pts · last 5111.6Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5031Defence rating6931Form rating6960H2H rating4037Goals model6341Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:02 UTC

Leon

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

2 NovACruz Azul1-2L
24 OctHToluca1-1D
21 OctATigres UANL2-0W
18 OctHClub America3-5L
10 OctAPuebla1-1D
28 SepHFC Juarez2-1W
21 SepAClub Queretaro1-1D
15 SepHAtletico San Luis2-0W
11 SepAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3L
6 SepHClub America1-0W

Guadalajara Chivas

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

1 NovHAtlante FC4-2W
25 OctAMonterrey1-0W
21 OctHNecaxa1-0W
17 OctHTigres UANL1-1D
11 OctAAtlas1-1D
5 OctHClub America2-0W
26 SepHClub Queretaro0-2L
20 SepAClub America2-2D
14 SepHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0W
5 SepAAtletico San Luis3-0W

Head to head

8Leon wins
5draws
10Guadalajara Chivas wins

23 meetings · goals 23:32 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Leon

19 Mar 2026Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas5-0Leon
20 Jul 2025Liga MXLiga MXLeon1-0Guadalajara Chivas
29 Jan 2025Liga MXLiga MXLeon2-1Guadalajara Chivas
19 Sep 2024Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas2-0Leon
9 Mar 2024Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-2Leon
9 Sep 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsGuadalajara Chivas2-0Leon
4 Jul 2023Liga MXLiga MXLeon1-2Guadalajara Chivas
16 Apr 2023Liga MXLiga MXLeon0-2Guadalajara Chivas
21 Jul 2022Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas0-0Leon
20 Feb 2022Liga MXLiga MXLeon2-1Guadalajara Chivas

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 7 Nov 07:10 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Leon sit 7th with 22 points from 15 games, while Guadalajara Chivas are 2nd with 29 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1585236:21+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129
3Cruz Azul1592434:24+1029
4Atlas1583426:26027
5Toluca1566331:21+1024
6Club Tijuana1657425:22+322
7Leon1564522:20+222
8Santos Laguna1571721:20+122
9Monterrey1463526:21+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220
11Club Queretaro1462618:21-320
12CF Pachuca1554625:19+619
13Atletico San Luis1654719:24-519
14Puebla1544717:23-616
15Tigres UANL1536615:22-715
16Atlante FC1535716:24-814
17Necaxa1634917:28-1113
18FC Juarez16321113:34-2111

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.11X27%3.49244%2.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.712.164.8%
Betano1.702.155.3%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.682.097.4%
Marathonbet1.682.097.4%
BetVictor1.662.059.0%
Best of all books1.712.164.8%
Average1.692.116.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.385.7%
Betano1.572.326.8%
1xBet1.572.267.9%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.572.228.7%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
William Hill1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.572.385.7%
Average1.562.287.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leon 10%Draw 45%Guadalajara Chivas 45%

The statistical model rates Leon at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Guadalajara Chivas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.11 | 3.49 | 2.12, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Leon are 7th (22 pts, 22-20 goals), Guadalajara Chivas 2nd (29 pts, 25-14).

Over their last five matches, Leon averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Guadalajara Chivas averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.113.462.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.661.321.26

Draw no bet

12
2.261.57

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.562.28

1st half

1X2
3.542.262.65

2nd half

1X2
3.202.572.45

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.0013.421.8
HT X7.365.705.45
HT 227.313.23.36

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1313.51.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.9
1.51.204.15
2.51.692.11
3.52.621.44
4.54.851.16
5.59.021.04
6.518.51.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.30
1.251.095.30
1.751.233.51
21.293.07
2.251.492.44
2.751.851.88
32.111.67
3.252.341.52
3.753.071.29
43.941.17
4.254.311.15
4.755.701.08
57.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.111.36
-0.252.661.42
02.311.57
+0.251.901.85
+0.51.702.13
+0.751.502.42
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.757.701.03
-1.56.101.09
-1.255.671.10
-15.321.11
-0.753.781.23
+11.333.12
+1.251.273.44
+1.51.213.77
+1.751.144.80
+21.056.65
+2.51.047.77

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.891.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.313.03
9.51.582.24
10.51.961.78
11.52.471.47
12.53.341.26
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.452.58
9.251.462.38
9.751.622.07
101.831.96
10.251.821.83
10.752.061.66
112.311.56
11.252.381.49

Next Liga MX matches

7 NovAtlas – CF Pachuca
8 NovTigres UANL – Cruz Azul
8 NovToluca – Monterrey
8 NovU.N.A.M. - Pumas – Club America
9 NovClub Queretaro – Puebla

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

7 NovAtlante FC 0-2 Santos Laguna
7 NovAtletico San Luis 0-1 FC Juarez
7 NovNecaxa 1-0 Club Tijuana
2 NovCruz Azul 2-1 Leon
1 NovSantos Laguna 1-0 Necaxa
1 NovClub America 2-2 Toluca