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Santos Laguna vs Necaxa• Liga MX, Mexico

#82.2:1.01-0FT01/11 · Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon1.2:2.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88BTNX4.20BTN24.05PINMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets83Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 20:36 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.854.254.052.3%
Pinnacle1.834.154.103.1%
Bet3651.804.104.004.9%
Dafabet1.844.003.855.3%
Betfair1.754.003.907.8%
BetVictor1.754.003.907.8%
1xBet1.783.983.748.0%
Marathonbet1.763.983.748.7%
SBO1.823.663.4711.1%
William Hill1.753.603.6012.7%
Best of all books1.854.254.102.0%
Average1.793.973.837.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Santos LagunaNecaxa
Last 10#8Table position#171.47Points per game0.6712Form pts · last 522.2Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 52.265Attack rating3569Defence rating3186Form rating1420H2H rating8084Goals model1660Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:10 UTC

Santos Laguna

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

26 OctAClub Tijuana1-4L
22 OctHU.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0W
17 OctHClub Queretaro5-0W
11 OctAAtletico San Luis2-1W
27 SepHCF Pachuca1-0W
21 SepAToluca3-2W
14 SepHFC Juarez2-1W
6 SepACruz Azul0-1L
30 AugHTigres UANL0-0D
23 AugAPuebla2-3L

Necaxa

0W 4D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

24 OctHFC Juarez1-1D
21 OctAGuadalajara Chivas0-1L
17 OctHAtlas0-2L
11 OctACF Pachuca3-3D
28 SepHClub America2-4L
19 SepAAtletico San Luis1-3L
12 SepHPuebla0-1L
6 SepATigres UANL1-1D
29 AugHCruz Azul1-3L
24 AugAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1D

Head to head

8Santos Laguna wins
2draws
10Necaxa wins

20 meetings · goals 32:40 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Santos Laguna

11 Jan 2026Liga MXLiga MXSantos Laguna1-3Necaxa
1 Nov 2025Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa4-1Santos Laguna
8 Feb 2025Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa3-2Santos Laguna
2 Sep 2024Liga MXLiga MXSantos Laguna3-2Necaxa
13 Apr 2024Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa2-0Santos Laguna
25 Sep 2023Liga MXLiga MXSantos Laguna2-5Necaxa
1 Apr 2023Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa0-0Santos Laguna
7 Sep 2022Liga MXLiga MXSantos Laguna3-1Necaxa
24 Jan 2022Liga MXLiga MXSantos Laguna1-4Necaxa
24 Jul 2021Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa0-3Santos Laguna

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:00 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Santos Laguna sit 8th with 22 points from 15 games, while Necaxa are 17th with 10 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1585236:21+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129
3Atlas1583426:26027
4Cruz Azul1482432:23+926
5Toluca1566331:21+1024
6Club Tijuana1557325:21+422
7Leon1464421:18+322
8Santos Laguna1571721:20+122
9Monterrey1463526:21+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220
11Club Queretaro1462618:21-320
12CF Pachuca1554625:19+619
13Atletico San Luis1554619:23-419
14Puebla1544717:23-616
15Tigres UANL1536615:22-715
16Atlante FC1535716:24-814
17Necaxa1524916:28-1210
18FC Juarez15221112:34-228

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.79X24%3.97224%3.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 18:501 1.81X 3.982 3.79
11.84 → 1.81 -1.6%X3.92 → 3.98 +1.5%23.52 → 3.79 +7.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.522.653.5%
Pinnacle1.512.644.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Marathonbet1.412.5210.6%
Best of all books1.522.653.5%
Average1.472.557.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.502.506.7%
1xBet1.442.607.9%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.442.558.7%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.605.1%
Average1.462.548.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Santos Laguna 45%Draw 45%Necaxa 10%

The statistical model rated Santos Laguna at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Necaxa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 3.97 | 3.84, which imply roughly 55.9% for a Santos Laguna win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Santos Laguna are 8th (22 pts, 21-20 goals), Necaxa 17th (10 pts, 16-28).

Over their last five matches, Santos Laguna averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Necaxa averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Santos Laguna.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Santos Laguna

5-4-1

Coach: Renato Paiva

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Acevedo

Defence

  • 3M. Cuevas
  • 28Jonathan Pérez
  • 18F. Pardo
  • 25Felipe Sánchez
  • 17E. Echeverría

Midfield

  • 19E. Aguirre
  • 21Fran Villalba
  • 23F. Cáseres
  • 10E. Bullaude

Attack

  • 29Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
Substitutes (10)
  • 6J. Güémez
  • 33H. Holguín
  • 20E. Lozano
  • 5A. López
  • 8S. Mariscal
  • 24D. Medina
  • 77K. Palacios
  • 26R. Sordo
  • 193Luis Gómez
  • 4J. Abella

Necaxa

4-1-4-1

Coach: Juan Reynoso

Goalkeeper

  • 181Javier Orantes

Defence

  • 33R. Martínez
  • 5Kaiky Naves
  • 3A. Oliveros
  • 15D. Ochoa

Midfield

  • 13Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
  • 99M. Rodríguez
  • 6D. Leyva
  • 8L. Faravelli
  • 14M. Zaleta

Attack

  • 90J. Valencia
Substitutes (10)
  • 1C. Andrade
  • 7K. Rosero
  • 259Leonardo Arvizo Vargas
  • 235Leroy Iv Davis Iii Robles Gil
  • 21M. Espíndola
  • 2E. Martínez
  • 20F. Méndez
  • 210Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido
  • 16P. Pedraza
  • 188Israel Tello Robles

Match Statistics

Santos LagunaNecaxa
0.77Expected Goals2.53
334Passes accurate355
4Shots insidebox15
2Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots6
16Free Kicks10
3Shots on Goal8
8Goalkeeper Saves3
1Shots off Goal7
404Total passes417
6Total Shots21
1Yellow Cards3
12Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
11Fouls16
0Red Cards0
38%Ball Possession62%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.793.973.84

Double chance

1XX212
1.241.961.21

Draw no bet

12
1.372.89

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.462.54

1st half

1X2
2.272.463.95

2nd half

1X2
2.062.803.67

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6913.829.2
HT X5.046.798.95
HT 218.714.26.13

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6020.02.33

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.3
1.51.125.48
2.51.472.55
3.52.171.66
4.53.681.24
5.56.901.08
6.513.21.02
7.523.51.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.0
1.751.114.95
21.144.45
2.251.293.09
2.751.562.29
31.732.04
3.251.951.81
3.752.451.49
42.971.34
4.253.221.27
4.754.361.15
55.901.07
5.256.251.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.631.44
-12.361.57
-0.751.981.77
-0.51.802.02
-0.251.562.30
01.362.92
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.31.04
-39.701.01
-2.757.201.05
-2.55.741.10
-2.255.251.11
-24.751.13
-1.753.591.25
-1.52.951.36
+0.251.293.31
+0.51.283.64
+0.751.154.67
+11.066.93
+1.251.067.07
+1.51.037.77
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.223.95
3.51.502.47
4.51.871.86
5.52.821.40
6.54.101.21

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.039.75
6.51.076.75
7.51.174.45
8.51.332.99
9.51.622.18
10.51.981.75
11.52.541.45
12.53.511.25
13.54.881.14
14.56.801.07
15.57.801.06
16.59.751.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.482.51
9.251.512.26
9.751.701.98
101.901.90
10.251.931.78
10.752.181.59
112.391.53
11.252.511.44
11.752.431.44

Latest Liga MX results

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31 OctPuebla 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas