Atlas vs Puebla• Liga MX, Mexico

#51.8:1.823:0025/10 · Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara0.4:0.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98PINX3.60B36524.75B365Margin8.2%Books5Markets54Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.73	3.60	4.75	6.6%
1xBet	1.73	3.65	4.40	7.9%
BetVictor	1.70	3.70	4.40	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.65	4.40	8.6%
William Hill	1.70	3.30	4.20	12.9%
Best of all books	1.73	3.70	4.75	5.9%
Average	1.71	3.58	4.43	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AtlasPuebla

Last 10#5Table position#121.75Points per game1.338Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 50.41.8Goals against · last 50.882Attack rating1831Defence rating6973Form rating2780H2H rating2040Goals model6061Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 04:10 UTC

Atlas

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

22 Oct	H	Club America	2-5	L
17 Oct	A	Necaxa	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Guadalajara Chivas	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Club Tijuana	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Toluca	2-5	L
6 Sep	H	Atlante FC	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Club Queretaro	1-3	L
23 Aug	A	Cruz Azul	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Tigres UANL	2-1	W

Puebla

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

22 Oct	H	Monterrey	1-4	L
17 Oct	A	Club Tijuana	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Leon	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Tigres UANL	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Atlante FC	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Toluca	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Necaxa	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Club America	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Santos Laguna	3-2	W
18 Aug	A	CF Pachuca	3-2	W

Head to head

11Atlas wins

4draws

8Puebla wins

23 meetings · goals 33:28 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Atlas

10 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Atlas3-4Puebla
10 Jan 2026Liga MX	Liga MX	Atlas1-0Puebla
12 Jul 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla2-3Atlas
15 Feb 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	Atlas3-2Puebla
20 Jul 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla1-2Atlas
9 Mar 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla2-2Atlas
29 Sep 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	Atlas2-3Puebla
18 Mar 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla0-4Atlas
21 Aug 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Atlas1-1Puebla
12 Feb 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla1-1Atlas

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 22 Oct 03:02 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Atlas sit 5th with 21 points from 12 games, while Puebla are 12th with 16 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Club America	11	7	3	1	27:14	+13	24
2	Guadalajara Chivas	13	6	5	2	20:12	+8	23
3	Toluca	12	6	3	3	26:16	+10	21
4	Leon	13	6	3	4	20:17	+3	21
5	Atlas	12	6	3	3	19:18	+1	21
6	Cruz Azul	12	6	2	4	27:21	+6	20
7	Club Queretaro	12	6	2	4	16:15	+1	20
8	Monterrey	11	5	2	4	19:16	+3	17
9	Santos Laguna	12	5	1	6	17:16	+1	16
10	Club Tijuana	11	4	4	3	15:14	+1	16
11	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	12	4	4	4	19:20	-1	16
12	Puebla	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
13	Atletico San Luis	13	4	4	5	18:22	-4	16
14	Tigres UANL	13	3	5	5	14:18	-4	14
15	Atlante FC	13	3	5	5	14:19	-5	14
16	CF Pachuca	12	3	4	5	19:16	+3	13
17	Necaxa	13	2	3	8	15:26	-11	9
18	FC Juarez	13	1	1	11	8:32	-24	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.86X27%3.46224%3.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.86 +8.8%X3.58 → 3.46 -3.4%24.43 → 3.92 -11.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
1xBet	1.77	1.97	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.97	7.3%
BetVictor	1.78	1.90	8.8%
Best of all books	1.85	1.97	4.8%
Average	1.79	1.95	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.71	2.02	8.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.99	8.7%
Best of all books	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Average	1.74	1.98	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlas 45%Draw 45%Puebla 10%

The statistical model rates Atlas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Puebla at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.46 | 3.92, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Atlas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Atlas are 5th (21 pts, 19-18 goals), Puebla 12th (16 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Atlas averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Puebla averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atlas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.71	3.58	4.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.01	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.21	4.79

2nd half

1	X	2
2.06	2.52	4.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.58	15.3	42.0
HT X	4.62	5.67	9.70
HT 2	23.7	15.7	7.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	12.0	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.5
1.5	1.23	3.72
2.5	1.79	1.95
3.5	2.94	1.34
4.5	5.82	1.10
5.5	11.2	1.03
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.03	7.85
1.25	1.10	5.15
1.75	1.27	3.19
2	1.34	2.82
2.25	1.56	2.24
2.75	1.96	1.74
3	2.26	1.52
3.25	2.56	1.41
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	5.05	1.10
4.75	7.15	1.04
5	8.75	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.96	1.33
-1.25	2.61	1.43
-1	2.29	1.57
-0.75	1.90	1.79
-0.5	1.69	2.05
-0.25	1.48	2.41

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.88	1.02
-2.5	5.97	1.09
-2.25	5.58	1.10
-2	5.15	1.12
-1.75	3.57	1.23
0	1.28	3.26
+0.25	1.21	3.79
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.09	5.70
+1.5	1.02	9.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.91	1.80

Next Liga MX matches

24 Oct	Necaxa – FC Juarez
24 Oct	Atlante FC – Atletico San Luis
24 Oct	Leon – Toluca
25 Oct	Monterrey – Guadalajara Chivas
25 Oct	U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Tigres UANL

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

22 Oct	Puebla 1-4 Monterrey
22 Oct	Toluca 2-2 Club Tijuana
22 Oct	Atlas 2-5 Club America
21 Oct	Tigres UANL 0-2 Leon
21 Oct	Atletico San Luis 2-1 Club Queretaro
21 Oct	FC Juarez 0-1 Atlante FC