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Necaxa vs FC Juarez• Liga MX, Mexico

#171.2:2.601:0024/10 · Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes0.8:1.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX4.13PIN24.50B365Margin at best3.6%Books6Markets57Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.724.074.405.4%
Bet3651.703.904.506.7%
1xBet1.703.924.247.9%
BetVictor1.703.904.208.3%
Marathonbet1.683.924.258.6%
William Hill1.673.604.0012.7%
Best of all books1.724.074.504.9%
Average1.703.894.268.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NecaxaFC Juarez
Last 10#17Table position#180.69Points per game0.311Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 51.860Attack rating4041Defence rating5920Form rating8075H2H rating2577Goals model2356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:10 UTC

Necaxa

0W 3D 7L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

21 OctAGuadalajara Chivas0-1L
17 OctHAtlas0-2L
11 OctACF Pachuca3-3D
28 SepHClub America2-4L
19 SepAAtletico San Luis1-3L
12 SepHPuebla0-1L
6 SepATigres UANL1-1D
29 AugHCruz Azul1-3L
24 AugAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1D
18 AugHLeon1-2L

FC Juarez

1W 1D 8L · goals 7:25 · per match 0.7 for, 2.5 against

21 OctHAtlante FC0-1L
18 OctACruz Azul0-5L
10 OctHClub Tijuana1-1D
28 SepALeon1-2L
19 SepHTigres UANL2-0W
14 SepASantos Laguna1-2L
5 SepHCF Pachuca0-2L
31 AugAToluca0-4L
22 AugHClub America1-2L
16 AugAMonterrey1-6L

Head to head

5Necaxa wins
6draws
3FC Juarez wins

14 meetings · goals 17:13 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Necaxa

15 Feb 2026Liga MXLiga MXFC Juarez1-2Necaxa
13 Sep 2025Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa1-1FC Juarez
16 Apr 2025Liga MXLiga MXFC Juarez2-2Necaxa
24 Aug 2024Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa3-0FC Juarez
4 Feb 2024Liga MXLiga MXFC Juarez2-2Necaxa
16 Sep 2023Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa1-1FC Juarez
13 Mar 2023Liga MXLiga MXFC Juarez1-1Necaxa
23 Jul 2022Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa1-0FC Juarez
8 Jan 2022Liga MXLiga MXFC Juarez2-1Necaxa
23 Aug 2021Liga MXLiga MXNecaxa1-0FC Juarez

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 22 Oct 03:02 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Necaxa sit 17th with 9 points from 13 games, while FC Juarez are 18th with 4 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1173127:14+1324
2Guadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823
3Toluca1263326:16+1021
4Leon1363420:17+321
5Atlas1263319:18+121
6Cruz Azul1262427:21+620
7Club Queretaro1262416:15+120
8Monterrey1152419:16+317
9Santos Laguna1251617:16+116
10Club Tijuana1144315:14+116
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas1244419:20-116
12Puebla1244412:13-116
13Atletico San Luis1344518:22-416
14Tigres UANL1335514:18-414
15Atlante FC1335514:19-514
16CF Pachuca1234519:16+313
17Necaxa1323815:26-119
18FC Juarez1311118:32-244

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.70X24%3.93222%4.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0121 Oct 15:001 1.70X 3.932 4.31
11.81 → 1.70 -6.1%X3.74 → 3.93 +5.1%23.89 → 4.31 +10.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.612.325.2%
Bet3651.602.306.0%
1xBet1.582.277.3%
Marathonbet1.582.277.3%
BetVictor1.572.218.9%
Best of all books1.612.325.2%
Average1.592.276.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.562.288.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.562.248.7%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
William Hill1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.572.287.6%
Average1.562.258.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Necaxa 45%Draw 45%FC Juarez 10%

The statistical model rates Necaxa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Juarez at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.93 | 4.31, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Necaxa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Necaxa are 17th (9 pts, 15-26 goals), FC Juarez 18th (4 pts, 8-32).

Over their last five matches, Necaxa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; FC Juarez averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Necaxa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.703.894.27

Double chance

1XX212
1.192.061.22

Draw no bet

12
1.303.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.562.25

1st half

1X2
2.192.414.54

2nd half

1X2
2.012.704.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4914.435.0
HT X4.806.339.83
HT 221.715.47.07

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5715.02.46

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.4
1.51.164.62
2.51.592.27
3.52.431.49
4.54.381.18
5.58.651.03
6.518.01.02
7.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.90
1.251.056.45
1.751.164.10
21.243.42
2.251.402.67
2.751.722.03
31.911.78
3.252.171.60
3.752.781.35
43.581.21
4.253.921.18
4.755.351.09
57.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.801.38
-1.252.501.47
-12.191.60
-0.751.861.85
-0.51.692.11
-0.251.482.47
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.201.02
-38.301.03
-2.757.001.10
-2.55.471.10
-2.255.031.12
-24.601.14
-1.753.451.27
01.303.29
+0.251.243.62
+0.51.214.25
+0.751.115.45
+11.018.50
+1.251.019.23
+1.51.028.55
+1.751.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.781.94

Next Liga MX matches

24 OctAtlante FC – Atletico San Luis
24 OctLeon – Toluca
25 OctMonterrey – Guadalajara Chivas
25 OctU.N.A.M. - Pumas – Tigres UANL
25 OctAtlas – Puebla

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

22 OctPuebla 1-4 Monterrey
22 OctToluca 2-2 Club Tijuana
22 OctAtlas 2-5 Club America
21 OctTigres UANL 0-2 Leon
21 OctAtletico San Luis 2-1 Club Queretaro
21 OctFC Juarez 0-1 Atlante FC