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Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas• Liga MX, Mexico

#81.2:1.200:0025/10 · Estadio BBVA, Monterrey1.0:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.54PINX3.50BVC22.91PINMargin at best2.3%Books4Markets50Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3652.503.402.627.6%
1xBet2.533.382.538.6%
Marathonbet2.533.382.538.6%
William Hill2.503.102.5012.3%
Best of all books2.533.402.627.1%
Average2.513.312.549.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonterreyGuadalajara Chivas
Last 10#8Table position#21.55Points per game1.7710Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.255Attack rating4550Defence rating5057Form rating4329H2H rating7147Goals model5347Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC

Monterrey

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

22 OctAPuebla4-1W
19 OctHCF Pachuca2-1W
11 OctAClub America1-1D
3 OctHToluca2-1W
26 SepAAtlante FC2-4L
20 SepHCruz Azul1-0W
13 SepHTigres UANL0-0D
7 SepAToluca0-2L
3 SepAClub America2-2D
31 AugHAtletico San Luis1-3L

Guadalajara Chivas

5W 4D 1L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

21 OctHNecaxa1-0W
17 OctHTigres UANL1-1D
11 OctAAtlas1-1D
5 OctHClub America2-0W
26 SepHClub Queretaro0-2L
20 SepAClub America2-2D
14 SepHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0W
5 SepAAtletico San Luis3-0W
29 AugACF Pachuca1-1D
22 AugHClub Tijuana5-2W

Head to head

8Monterrey wins
5draws
9Guadalajara Chivas wins

22 meetings · goals 31:31 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Monterrey

22 Mar 2026Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey2-3Guadalajara Chivas
8 Nov 2025Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas4-2Monterrey
6 Apr 2025Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey3-1Guadalajara Chivas
29 Sep 2024Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-1Monterrey
31 Mar 2024Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey0-2Guadalajara Chivas
3 Sep 2023Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-2Monterrey
8 Jan 2023Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey0-1Guadalajara Chivas
24 Aug 2022Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-0Monterrey
14 Apr 2022Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-3Monterrey
22 Aug 2021Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey0-0Guadalajara Chivas

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 22 Oct 03:02 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Monterrey sit 8th with 17 points from 11 games, while Guadalajara Chivas are 2nd with 23 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1173127:14+1324
2Guadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823
3Toluca1263326:16+1021
4Leon1363420:17+321
5Atlas1263319:18+121
6Cruz Azul1262427:21+620
7Club Queretaro1262416:15+120
8Monterrey1152419:16+317
9Santos Laguna1251617:16+116
10Club Tijuana1144315:14+116
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas1244419:20-116
12Puebla1244412:13-116
13Atletico San Luis1344518:22-416
14Tigres UANL1335514:18-414
15Atlante FC1335514:19-514
16CF Pachuca1234519:16+313
17Necaxa1323815:26-119
18FC Juarez1311118:32-244

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.49X28%3.31235%2.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0122 Oct 03:001 2.49X 3.312 2.62
12.51 → 2.49 -0.8%X3.31 → 3.31 0.0%22.55 → 2.62 +2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.802.005.6%
1xBet1.771.977.3%
Marathonbet1.771.977.3%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.781.986.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.612.188.0%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.612.158.6%
Best of all books1.672.185.8%
Average1.632.158.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monterrey 10%Draw 45%Guadalajara Chivas 45%

The statistical model rates Monterrey at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Guadalajara Chivas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 3.31 | 2.62, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Monterrey are 8th (17 pts, 19-16 goals), Guadalajara Chivas 2nd (23 pts, 20-12).

Over their last five matches, Monterrey averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Guadalajara Chivas averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.513.312.55

Double chance

1XX212
1.451.461.29

Draw no bet

12
1.821.84

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.15

1st half

1X2
3.062.193.09

2nd half

1X2
2.802.472.85

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.0013.828.0
HT X6.135.336.30
HT 228.013.84.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9212.41.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0411.1
1.51.223.64
2.51.781.98
3.52.891.34
4.55.371.11
5.510.71.03
6.526.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.00
1.251.105.00
1.751.263.20
21.332.84
2.251.562.26
2.751.951.75
32.271.51
3.252.561.40
3.753.421.23
44.601.13
4.254.951.11
4.756.971.05
58.251.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.951.33
-0.52.421.52
-0.252.151.63
01.861.89
+0.251.602.16
+0.51.482.60
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.551.01
-28.751.02
-1.756.531.07
-1.54.971.13
-1.254.501.15
-14.071.18
+0.751.322.98
+11.184.12
+1.251.154.55
+1.51.135.05
+1.751.076.71
+21.019.35

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
101.851.95
10.52.011.72

Next Liga MX matches

22 OctSantos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - Pumas
22 OctCF Pachuca – Cruz Azul
24 OctNecaxa – FC Juarez
24 OctAtlante FC – Atletico San Luis
24 OctLeon – Toluca
25 OctU.N.A.M. - Pumas – Tigres UANL

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

22 OctPuebla 1-4 Monterrey
22 OctAtlas 2-5 Club America
21 OctTigres UANL 0-2 Leon
21 OctAtletico San Luis 2-1 Club Queretaro
21 OctFC Juarez 0-1 Atlante FC
21 OctGuadalajara Chivas 1-0 Necaxa