Napoli vs AS Roma• Serie A, Italy

#91.4:1.016:00Tomorrow · Maradona Stadium, Naples1.6:0.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.901XBX3.541XB22.60B365Margin at best1.2%Books10Markets93Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.90	3.54	2.57	1.6%
Pinnacle	2.83	3.45	2.56	3.4%
Dafabet	2.85	3.35	2.55	4.2%
Betfair	2.80	3.40	2.55	4.3%
Marathonbet	2.82	3.44	2.50	4.5%
Betano	2.80	3.45	2.47	5.2%
Bet365	2.88	3.10	2.60	5.4%
BetVictor	2.70	3.40	2.45	7.3%
William Hill	2.75	3.25	2.45	7.9%
SBO	2.62	3.12	2.33	13.1%
Best of all books	2.90	3.54	2.60	1.2%
Average	2.79	3.35	2.50	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NapoliAS Roma

Last 10#9Table position#31.43Points per game2.437Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.647Attack rating5338Defence rating6339Form rating6175H2H rating250Goals model10051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Napoli

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

20 Oct	H	Bodo/Glimt	4-3	W
17 Oct	A	Venezia	0-1	L
13 Oct	A	Villarreal	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Frosinone	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Fiorentina	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Bologna	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Arsenal	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Inter	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Como	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Genoa	2-0	W

AS Roma

6W 3D 1L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

20 Oct	H	Slovan Bratislava	4-0	W
17 Oct	H	Genoa	2-0	W
14 Oct	H	Real Madrid	3-4	L
11 Oct	A	Como	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Inter	2-2	D
14 Sep	A	Torino	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	Fenerbahçe	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Atalanta	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Lecce	4-0	W
24 Aug	H	Fiorentina	4-0	W

Head to head

15Napoli wins

8draws

9AS Roma wins

32 meetings · goals 46:34 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Napoli

15 Feb 2026Serie A	Serie A	Napoli2-2AS Roma
30 Nov 2025Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma0-1Napoli
2 Feb 2025Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma1-1Napoli
24 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Napoli1-0AS Roma
28 Apr 2024Serie A	Serie A	Napoli2-2AS Roma
23 Dec 2023Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma2-0Napoli
29 Jan 2023Serie A	Serie A	Napoli2-1AS Roma
23 Oct 2022Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma0-1Napoli
18 Apr 2022Serie A	Serie A	Napoli1-1AS Roma
24 Oct 2021Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma0-0Napoli

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Napoli sit 9th with 10 points from 7 games, while AS Roma are 3rd with 17 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	14:4	+10	19
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	6:7	-1	13
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10
10	Torino	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
14	Monza	7	2	1	4	13:15	-2	7
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.80X28%3.33238%2.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.79 → 2.80 +0.4%X3.39 → 3.33 -1.8%22.48 → 2.51 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.94	2.00	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.92	1.97	2.8%
SBO	1.91	1.95	3.6%
Betano	1.90	1.95	3.9%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.93	5.0%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
BetVictor	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.94	2.00	1.5%
Average	1.89	1.93	4.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
1xBet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.65	2.13	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Napoli 10%Draw 45%AS Roma 45%

The statistical model rates Napoli at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AS Roma at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.33 | 2.51, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Napoli are 9th (10 pts, 10-7 goals), AS Roma 3rd (17 pts, 16-3).

Over their last five matches, Napoli averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; AS Roma averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.80	3.35	2.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.42	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.97	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
3.31	2.16	3.04

2nd half

1	X	2
3.03	2.49	2.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.47	13.7	27.7
HT X	6.48	5.22	5.95
HT 2	29.0	13.6	3.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.04	11.1	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.6
1.5	1.28	3.59
2.5	1.89	1.93
3.5	3.15	1.35
4.5	6.20	1.10
5.5	11.2	1.04
6.5	17.1	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.10
1.25	1.13	4.93
1.75	1.32	3.19
2	1.43	2.81
2.25	1.64	2.22
2.75	2.12	1.73
3	2.51	1.52
3.25	2.79	1.42
3.75	3.76	1.23
4	5.21	1.13
4.25	5.53	1.10
4.75	7.65	1.04
5	7.70	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.74	1.45
-0.25	2.39	1.58
0	2.03	1.82
+0.25	1.71	2.13
+0.5	1.53	2.47
+0.75	1.37	2.97

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-1.75	7.75	1.04
-1.5	5.82	1.11
-1.25	5.32	1.13
-1	4.81	1.17
-0.75	3.40	1.30
+1	1.22	4.11
+1.25	1.17	4.49
+1.5	1.15	5.03
+1.75	1.08	6.54
+2	1.02	10.4
+2.5	1.03	10.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.8
1.5	1.09	6.50
2.5	1.27	3.55
3.5	1.67	2.13
4.5	2.20	1.63
5.5	3.10	1.34
6.5	4.60	1.17
7.5	6.80	1.08
8.5	9.25	1.04
9.5	11.5	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.35	3.03
4	1.93	1.87
5	3.30	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.01	15.0
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.03	8.82
5.5	1.07	6.10
6.5	1.18	3.97
7.5	1.38	2.77
8.5	1.70	2.05
9.5	2.17	1.62
10.5	2.83	1.37
11.5	4.04	1.18
12.5	5.66	1.10
13.5	7.57	1.04
14.5	11.4	1.02
15.5	11.8	1.02
16.5	13.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.04	5.79
6	1.08	4.67
6.75	1.18	3.90
7	1.21	3.25
7.25	1.27	3.12
7.75	1.39	2.61
8	1.49	2.42
8.25	1.54	2.21
8.75	1.75	1.91
9	1.94	1.86
9.25	1.98	1.68
9.75	2.28	1.50
10	2.50	1.46
10.25	2.66	1.37
11	3.15	1.22
12	4.25	1.11
13	5.45	1.05

Next Serie A matches

23 Oct	Torino – Monza
24 Oct	Cagliari – Bologna
24 Oct	Como – Sassuolo
24 Oct	Lazio – Parma
25 Oct	Inter – Fiorentina
25 Oct	Atalanta – Frosinone

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

19 Oct	Parma 0-3 Torino
19 Oct	Monza 4-0 Cagliari
18 Oct	Juventus 0-3 Lazio
18 Oct	AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
18 Oct	Fiorentina 1-3 Como
18 Oct	Udinese 0-3 Lecce