Atalanta vs Frosinone• Serie A, Italy

#111.4:2.014:0025/10 · New Balance Arena, Bergamo2.0:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.861XBX4.20BFR24.33B365Margin at best0.7%Books10Markets96Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.86	4.17	4.22	1.4%
Pinnacle	1.84	4.20	3.95	3.5%
Dafabet	1.82	4.20	4.00	3.8%
Betfair	1.83	4.20	3.90	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.80	4.05	4.10	4.6%
Betano	1.83	4.10	3.85	5.0%
Bet365	1.75	4.00	4.33	5.2%
BetVictor	1.75	4.20	3.80	7.3%
William Hill	1.75	3.90	3.80	9.1%
SBO	1.79	3.67	3.39	12.6%
Best of all books	1.86	4.20	4.33	0.7%
Average	1.80	4.07	3.93	5.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AtalantaFrosinone

Last 10#11Table position#61.29Points per game1.866Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.641Attack rating5944Defence rating5623Form rating7771H2H rating2961Goals model3955Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 22:10 UTC

Atalanta

5W 0D 5L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

22 Oct	A	Ajax	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	AC Milan	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Pafos	3-1	W
12 Oct	H	Venezia	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Juventus	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Cagliari	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	AS Roma	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Bologna	1-0	W
27 Aug	A	Hapoel Tel Aviv	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sassuolo	2-1	W

Frosinone

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

16 Oct	H	Sassuolo	4-2	W
10 Oct	A	Napoli	0-3	L
2 Oct	H	Benevento	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Como	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Genoa	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Venezia	3-2	W
2 Sep	A	Sassuolo	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Fiorentina	3-0	W
23 Aug	H	Juventus	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Juve Stabia	4-1	W

Head to head

4Atalanta wins

1draws

1Frosinone wins

6 meetings · goals 17:2 · last 6: 4W 1D 1L for Atalanta

15 Jan 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta5-0Frosinone
26 Aug 2023Serie A	Serie A	Frosinone2-1Atalanta
20 Jan 2019Serie A	Serie A	Frosinone0-5Atalanta
20 Aug 2018Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta4-0Frosinone
23 Jan 2016Serie A	Serie A	Frosinone0-0Atalanta
30 Aug 2015Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta2-0Frosinone

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Atalanta sit 11th with 9 points from 7 games, while Frosinone are 6th with 13 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	14:4	+10	19
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	6:7	-1	13
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10
10	Torino	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
14	Monza	7	2	1	4	13:15	-2	7
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.80X23%4.07224%3.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.78 → 1.80 +1.1%X4.10 → 4.07 -0.7%24.03 → 3.93 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.44	2.90	3.9%
Bet365	1.40	3.00	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.40	3.00	4.8%
1xBet	1.41	2.90	5.4%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
BetVictor	1.39	2.70	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Best of all books	1.44	3.00	2.8%
Average	1.40	2.88	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.42	2.75	6.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.39	2.81	7.5%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.76	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Best of all books	1.42	2.88	5.1%
Average	1.39	2.79	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atalanta 45%Draw 45%Frosinone 10%

The statistical model rates Atalanta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Frosinone at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.80 | 4.07 | 3.93, which imply roughly 55.6% for a Atalanta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atalanta are 11th (9 pts, 10-11 goals), Frosinone 6th (13 pts, 13-9).

Over their last five matches, Atalanta averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Frosinone averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.80	4.07	3.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	2.01	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.52	3.95

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.93	3.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.63	13.8	29.0
HT X	5.15	7.12	9.38
HT 2	18.9	14.5	6.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	21.5	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.4
1.5	1.10	6.36
2.5	1.40	2.88
3.5	2.02	1.81
4.5	3.30	1.32
5.5	5.88	1.12
6.5	10.1	1.04
7.5	14.9	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.09	5.60
2	1.12	5.14
2.25	1.26	3.50
2.75	1.47	2.57
3	1.60	2.32
3.25	1.80	2.00
3.75	2.25	1.64
4	2.66	1.46
4.25	2.91	1.38
4.75	3.75	1.23
5	4.99	1.14
5.25	5.25	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.90	1.40
-1.25	2.58	1.49
-1	2.31	1.62
-0.75	2.00	1.84
-0.5	1.78	2.04
-0.25	1.56	2.36

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.8	1.03
-3	9.80	1.02
-2.75	6.67	1.07
-2.5	5.31	1.13
-2.25	4.83	1.15
-2	4.50	1.18
-1.75	3.46	1.29
0	1.36	3.01
+0.25	1.29	3.41
+0.5	1.24	3.90
+0.75	1.14	4.97
+1	1.06	7.20
+1.5	1.04	7.88
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.16	4.75
2	1.27	3.51
2.5	1.60	2.27
3	1.92	1.87
3.5	2.05	1.74
4	3.47	1.28
4.5	2.87	1.39
5.5	4.35	1.19

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.0
5.5	1.02	10.0
6.5	1.07	6.19
7.5	1.17	4.14
8.5	1.35	2.87
9.5	1.62	2.18
10.5	2.03	1.72
11.5	2.61	1.42
12.5	3.47	1.24
13.5	4.80	1.13
14.5	6.59	1.06
15.5	9.75	1.03
16.5	10.5	1.03
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.09	4.60
8	1.21	3.27
8.75	1.35	2.74
9	1.46	2.51
9.25	1.48	2.33
9.75	1.64	2.04
10	1.84	1.96
10.25	1.85	1.81
10.75	2.11	1.60
11	2.33	1.52
11.25	2.40	1.46
11.75	2.78	1.34
12	2.90	1.26
12.25	3.28	1.25
13	3.85	1.14
14	4.97	1.07

Next Serie A matches

23 Oct	Torino – Monza
24 Oct	Cagliari – Bologna
24 Oct	Como – Sassuolo
24 Oct	Napoli – AS Roma
24 Oct	Lazio – Parma
25 Oct	Inter – Fiorentina

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

19 Oct	Parma 0-3 Torino
19 Oct	Monza 4-0 Cagliari
18 Oct	Juventus 0-3 Lazio
18 Oct	AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
18 Oct	Fiorentina 1-3 Como
18 Oct	Udinese 0-3 Lecce