Inter vs Fiorentina• Serie A, Italy

#13.2:1.611:3025/10 · Milan1.6:2.0#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.411XBX5.80DAF29.00B365Margin5.5%Books10Markets101Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.41	5.56	7.90	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.35	5.75	8.03	3.9%
Dafabet	1.35	5.80	7.80	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.37	5.40	7.70	4.5%
Betano	1.35	5.10	8.75	5.1%
Bet365	1.33	5.25	9.00	5.3%
Betfair	1.33	5.50	8.00	5.9%
BetVictor	1.33	5.25	8.00	6.7%
William Hill	1.36	5.00	7.00	7.8%
SBO	1.32	4.84	6.18	12.6%
Best of all books	1.41	5.80	9.00	-0.7%
Average	1.35	5.35	7.84	5.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

InterFiorentina

Last 10#1Table position#182.71Points per game0.5712Form pts · last 573.2Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 52.067Attack rating3356Defence rating4476Form rating2471H2H rating2978Goals model2268Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Inter

7W 1D 2L · goals 24:14 · per match 2.4 for, 1.4 against

21 Oct	H	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Bologna	3-1	W
13 Oct	H	Club Brugge KV	3-4	L
10 Oct	H	Parma	3-0	W
3 Oct	H	Lumezzane	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	AS Roma	2-2	D
14 Sep	H	Udinese	5-3	W
8 Sep	A	Real Madrid	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Napoli	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	Cagliari	1-0	W

Fiorentina

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	H	Como	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Genoa	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Napoli	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Pisa	3-0	W
11 Sep	A	Venezia	4-2	W
5 Sep	H	Torino	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Frosinone	0-3	L
24 Aug	A	AS Roma	0-4	L
14 Aug	H	Benevento	4-1	W
6 Aug	H	Deportivo La Coruna	1-1	D

Head to head

20Inter wins

7draws

8Fiorentina wins

35 meetings · goals 65:49 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Inter

22 Mar 2026Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina1-1Inter
29 Oct 2025Serie A	Serie A	Inter3-0Fiorentina
10 Feb 2025Serie A	Serie A	Inter2-1Fiorentina
6 Feb 2025Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina3-0Inter
28 Jan 2024Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina0-1Inter
3 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Inter4-0Fiorentina
24 May 2023Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Fiorentina1-2Inter
1 Apr 2023Serie A	Serie A	Inter0-1Fiorentina
22 Oct 2022Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina3-4Inter
19 Mar 2022Serie A	Serie A	Inter1-1Fiorentina

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Inter sit 1st with 19 points from 7 games, while Fiorentina are 18th with 4 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	14:4	+10	19
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	6:7	-1	13
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10
10	Torino	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
14	Monza	7	2	1	4	13:15	-2	7
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.35X18%5.35212%7.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.35 → 1.35 0.0%X5.34 → 5.35 +0.2%27.82 → 7.84 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.47	2.80	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.41	2.95	4.8%
1xBet	1.45	2.75	5.3%
Bet365	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.66	9.0%
BetVictor	1.41	2.62	9.1%
Best of all books	1.47	2.95	1.9%
Average	1.43	2.77	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
1xBet	1.64	2.15	7.5%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.12	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.64	2.16	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Inter 45%Draw 45%Fiorentina 10%

The statistical model rates Inter at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fiorentina at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 5.35 | 7.84, which imply roughly 74.1% for a Inter win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Inter are 1st (19 pts, 21-9 goals), Fiorentina 18th (4 pts, 8-17).

Over their last five matches, Inter averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Fiorentina averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Inter and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.35	5.35	7.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	3.15	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
1.75	2.74	6.47

2nd half

1	X	2
1.61	3.16	6.00

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.86	17.6	50.6
HT X	4.30	8.59	16.6
HT 2	19.0	19.4	13.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.35	22.0	3.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.2
1.5	1.11	5.98
2.5	1.43	2.77
3.5	2.07	1.77
4.5	3.37	1.31
5.5	6.10	1.11
6.5	10.1	1.04
7.5	15.1	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.11	5.15
2	1.15	4.78
2.25	1.28	3.39
2.75	1.51	2.49
3	1.64	2.24
3.25	1.87	1.95
3.75	2.33	1.58
4	2.77	1.43
4.25	3.03	1.35
4.75	4.04	1.19
5	5.35	1.12
5.25	5.55	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.58	1.49
-1.75	2.18	1.67
-1.5	1.94	1.89
-1.25	1.73	2.12
-1	1.50	2.53
-0.75	1.40	2.85

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.95	1.02
-3.5	5.86	1.11
-3.25	5.47	1.12
-3	5.13	1.14
-2.75	3.81	1.23
-2.5	3.20	1.32
-2.25	2.87	1.39
-0.5	1.33	3.24
-0.25	1.23	3.90
0	1.11	5.79
+0.25	1.10	7.00
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+0.75	1.02	8.68
+1.5	1.02	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	5.20
2.5	1.38	2.91
3	1.53	2.47
3.5	1.86	1.87
4	2.41	1.55
4.5	2.80	1.40
5.5	4.10	1.21

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.04	7.88
6.5	1.13	4.72
7.5	1.28	3.21
8.5	1.51	2.38
9.5	1.91	1.84
10.5	2.41	1.50
11.5	3.30	1.27
12.5	4.61	1.14
13.5	6.26	1.07
14.5	10.0	1.02
15.5	14.0	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.57
7	1.13	4.00
7.75	1.25	3.28
8	1.28	2.82
8.25	1.37	2.74
8.75	1.51	2.35
9	1.67	2.15
9.25	1.72	2.05
9.75	1.89	1.79
10	2.05	1.72
10.25	2.15	1.59
10.75	2.47	1.44
11	2.62	1.37
11.25	2.88	1.32
12	3.37	1.19
13	4.47	1.10
14	5.62	1.04

Next Serie A matches

23 Oct	Torino – Monza
24 Oct	Cagliari – Bologna
24 Oct	Como – Sassuolo
24 Oct	Napoli – AS Roma
24 Oct	Lazio – Parma
25 Oct	Atalanta – Frosinone

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

19 Oct	Parma 0-3 Torino
19 Oct	Monza 4-0 Cagliari
18 Oct	Juventus 0-3 Lazio
18 Oct	AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
18 Oct	Fiorentina 1-3 Como
18 Oct	Udinese 0-3 Lecce