Lazio vs Parma• Serie A, Italy

#22.4:0.818:45Tomorrow · Stadio Olimpico, Rome0.8:2.0#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.441XBX5.00B36529.00B365Margin at best0.6%Books10Markets101Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.44	4.89	8.55	1.6%
Dafabet	1.41	4.90	8.00	3.8%
Pinnacle	1.41	4.77	8.34	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.40	4.75	8.30	4.5%
Betano	1.40	4.50	8.75	5.1%
Bet365	1.36	4.75	9.00	5.7%
Betfair	1.36	4.75	9.00	5.7%
William Hill	1.40	4.40	7.50	7.5%
BetVictor	1.36	4.50	8.50	7.5%
SBO	1.34	4.15	7.24	12.5%
Best of all books	1.44	4.90	9.00	1.0%
Average	1.39	4.64	8.32	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LazioParma

Last 10#2Table position#192.71Points per game0.5713Form pts · last 542.4Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 52.075Attack rating2571Defence rating2976Form rating2462H2H rating3893Goals model771Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Lazio

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	A	Juventus	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Monza	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Juve Stabia	3-3	D
27 Sep	H	Arezzo	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Venezia	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	AC Milan	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Udinese	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Genoa	1-0	W
24 Aug	A	Bologna	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Mantova	0-2	L

Parma

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

19 Oct	H	Torino	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Inter	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Genoa	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Como	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Monza	1-1	D
1 Sep	H	Cremonese	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Juventus	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Cagliari	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Catania	2-0	W
9 Aug	H	Sampdoria	0-2	L

Head to head

14Lazio wins

5draws

2Parma wins

21 meetings · goals 36:17 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Lazio

4 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Lazio1-1Parma
13 Dec 2025Serie A	Serie A	Parma0-1Lazio
28 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Lazio2-2Parma
1 Dec 2024Serie A	Serie A	Parma3-1Lazio
12 May 2021Serie A	Serie A	Lazio1-0Parma
21 Jan 2021Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Lazio2-1Parma
10 Jan 2021Serie A	Serie A	Parma0-2Lazio
9 Feb 2020Serie A	Serie A	Parma0-1Lazio
22 Sep 2019Serie A	Serie A	Lazio2-0Parma
17 Mar 2019Serie A	Serie A	Lazio4-1Parma

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Lazio sit 2nd with 19 points from 7 games, while Parma are 19th with 4 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	14:4	+10	19
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	6:7	-1	13
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10
10	Torino	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
14	Monza	7	2	1	4	13:15	-2	7
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.38X20%4.66211%8.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.38 -5.5%X4.31 → 4.66 +8.1%27.09 → 8.34 +17.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.92	2.02	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.88	2.01	2.9%
SBO	1.89	1.97	3.7%
Betano	1.90	1.95	3.9%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.95	5.0%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
BetVictor	1.81	1.87	8.7%
Best of all books	1.92	2.02	1.6%
Average	1.88	1.95	4.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.15	1.65	7.1%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
1xBet	2.09	1.68	7.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.66	8.1%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Best of all books	2.15	1.75	3.7%
Average	2.10	1.68	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lazio 45%Draw 45%Parma 10%

The statistical model rates Lazio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Parma at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.66 | 8.34, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Lazio win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Lazio are 2nd (19 pts, 14-4 goals), Parma 19th (4 pts, 4-13).

Over their last five matches, Lazio averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Parma averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Lazio.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.64	8.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.97	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.33	7.11

2nd half

1	X	2
1.70	2.72	6.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.99	19.4	65.7
HT X	3.94	6.43	15.7
HT 2	23.9	20.1	14.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.35	11.6	3.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.8
1.5	1.27	3.65
2.5	1.88	1.95
3.5	3.13	1.35
4.5	6.20	1.10
5.5	11.2	1.04
6.5	16.1	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.13
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.13	5.03
1.75	1.33	3.20
2	1.42	2.84
2.25	1.65	2.24
2.75	2.09	1.73
3	2.49	1.53
3.25	2.77	1.42
3.75	3.75	1.23
4	5.15	1.13
4.25	5.52	1.10
4.75	7.55	1.04
5	9.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.51	1.50
-1.5	2.16	1.69
-1.25	1.92	1.91
-1	1.63	2.27
-0.75	1.50	2.57
-0.5	1.38	2.98

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.95	1.04
-3.25	7.75	1.03
-3	7.30	1.05
-2.75	5.01	1.14
-2.5	3.87	1.22
-2.25	3.60	1.26
-2	3.23	1.33
-0.25	1.24	3.87
0	1.11	6.16
+0.25	1.10	6.26
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+1.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.14	5.20
2.5	1.35	3.09
3.5	1.82	1.94
4.5	2.66	1.44
5.5	4.00	1.22
6.5	6.00	1.11
7.5	8.75	1.05
8.5	11.3	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.43	2.75
4	2.21	1.64
5	3.22	1.31

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.03	9.75
5.5	1.07	6.43
6.5	1.17	4.16
7.5	1.35	2.88
8.5	1.64	2.13
9.5	2.05	1.71
10.5	2.72	1.40
11.5	3.72	1.21
12.5	5.23	1.11
13.5	7.55	1.05
14.5	11.1	1.02
15.5	11.3	1.02
16.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	5.02
7	1.17	3.50
7.75	1.31	2.92
8	1.39	2.57
8.25	1.44	2.45
8.75	1.60	2.10
9	1.86	1.94
9.25	1.81	1.83
9.75	2.07	1.64
10	2.29	1.55
10.25	2.38	1.48
10.75	2.78	1.35
11	2.90	1.26
11.25	3.28	1.25
12	3.89	1.14
13	5.07	1.06

Next Serie A matches

23 Oct	Torino – Monza
24 Oct	Cagliari – Bologna
24 Oct	Como – Sassuolo
24 Oct	Napoli – AS Roma
25 Oct	Inter – Fiorentina
25 Oct	Atalanta – Frosinone

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

19 Oct	Parma 0-3 Torino
19 Oct	Monza 4-0 Cagliari
18 Oct	Juventus 0-3 Lazio
18 Oct	AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
18 Oct	Fiorentina 1-3 Como
18 Oct	Udinese 0-3 Lecce