Fiorentina vs Como• Serie A, Italy

#191.4:2.01-3FTToday · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence1.6:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.541XBX3.811XB22.121XBMargin at best1.7%Books6Markets80Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.54	3.81	2.12	1.7%
Pinnacle	3.56	3.75	2.08	2.8%
Marathonbet	3.44	3.70	2.06	4.6%
Bet365	3.40	3.60	2.05	6.0%
BetVictor	3.30	3.70	2.05	6.1%
William Hill	3.30	3.50	2.00	8.9%
Best of all books	3.56	3.81	2.12	1.5%
Average	3.42	3.68	2.06	5.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FiorentinaComo

Last 10#19Table position#50.57Points per game2.007Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5333Defence rating6729Form rating7140H2H rating6016Goals model8435Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Fiorentina

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	A	Genoa	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Napoli	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Pisa	3-0	W
11 Sep	A	Venezia	4-2	W
5 Sep	H	Torino	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Frosinone	0-3	L
24 Aug	A	AS Roma	0-4	L
14 Aug	H	Benevento	4-1	W
6 Aug	H	Deportivo La Coruna	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Real Madrid	2-2	D

Como

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	A	Fiorentina	3-1	W
14 Oct	A	Feyenoord	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	AS Roma	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Frosinone	0-2	L
14 Sep	H	Parma	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	RB Leipzig	4-1	W
4 Sep	A	Genoa	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Napoli	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Udinese	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Liverpool	0-0	D

Head to head

2Fiorentina wins

0draws

3Como wins

5 meetings · goals 6:8 · last 5: 2W 0D 3L for Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026Serie A	Serie A	Como1-2Fiorentina
27 Jan 2026Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Fiorentina1-3Como
21 Sep 2025Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina1-2Como
16 Feb 2025Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina0-2Como
24 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Como0-2Fiorentina

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 18 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Serie A table, Fiorentina sit 19th with 4 points from 7 games, while Como are 5th with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19
2	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17
3	Lazio	6	5	1	0	11:4	+7	16
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
7	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	6:3	+3	13
8	Juventus	6	3	2	1	9:5	+4	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10
10	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9
11	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9
12	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
13	Torino	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
14	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
15	Monza	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4
16	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
17	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4
18	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
19	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.08X27%3.55242%2.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.38 → 3.43 +1.5%X3.65 → 3.66 +0.3%22.05 → 2.07 +1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.73	2.29	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.37	2.8%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.22	4.9%
Bet365	1.67	2.20	5.3%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.37	-0.0%
Average	1.66	2.25	4.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.55	2.32	7.6%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.29	8.2%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.55	2.31	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fiorentina 10%Draw 45%Como 45%

The statistical model rated Fiorentina at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Como at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.08 | 3.55 | 2.25, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Fiorentina are 19th (4 pts, 8-17 goals), Como 5th (14 pts, 12-7).

Over their last five matches, Fiorentina averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Como averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Como.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Fiorentina

Coach: P. Vanoli

Goalkeeper

43David de Gea

Defence

3R. Drăgușin
33Viery
20Álex Jiménez
5M. Pongračić

Midfield

44N. Fagioli
30Franco Mastantuono
27C. Ndour
28Pote

Attack

25A. Njie
32Mateo Pellegrino

Substitutes (12)

23Beto
74Arnis Ademi
4M. Brescianini
53O. Christensen
2Dodô
29W. Gnonto
42C. Inao OulaÃ¯
17João Mário
19L. Lezzerini
72brando brazzeo
73pirro antonio
21Valde

Como

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Goalkeeper

1J. Butez

Defence

99T. Chalobah
27Yan Couto
2M. Kempf
3Álex Valle

Midfield

8M. Caqueret
7L. da Cunha
30M. Liberali
6Luis Milla
10N. Paz

Attack

9T. Douvikas

Substitutes (14)

13A. Dossena
16Kaiki
53Willy Kambwala Ndengushi
15A. Lahdo
5M. Perrone
4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
21S. Ricci
17Jesús Rodríguez
97Robert Sánchez
28I. Smolčić
22M. Vigorito
20M. Baturina
42J. Addai
18E. Goldaniga

Match Statistics

FiorentinaComo

2.33Expected Goals1.83

383Passes accurate459

10Shots insidebox11

9Shots outsidebox5

5Blocked Shots3

11Free Kicks10

7Shots on Goal8

5Goalkeeper Saves5

7Shots off Goal5

4Offsides0

438Total passes522

19Total Shots16

2Yellow Cards3

11Corner Kicks5

12Fouls12

0Red Cards0

46%Ball Possession54%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.42	3.68	2.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.75	1.31	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.45	1.51

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.31

1st half

1	X	2
3.79	2.33	2.58

2nd half

1	X	2
3.43	2.63	2.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.53	14.7	23.7
HT X	8.00	5.83	5.33
HT 2	29.3	14.0	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.25	15.1	1.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.18	4.44
2.5	1.66	2.25
3.5	2.53	1.48
4.5	4.63	1.16
5.5	9.07	1.03
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.25	1.09	5.82
1.75	1.23	3.90
2	1.28	3.46
2.25	1.48	2.67
2.75	1.81	2.01
3	2.02	1.75
3.25	2.27	1.58
3.75	2.96	1.35
4	3.84	1.19
4.25	4.15	1.16
4.75	5.60	1.08
5	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.96	1.40
0	2.53	1.53
+0.25	2.02	1.77
+0.5	1.77	2.04
+0.75	1.57	2.32
+1	1.38	2.89

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.98	1.01
-1.5	6.83	1.07
-1.25	6.48	1.09
-1	6.00	1.10
-0.75	4.09	1.20
-0.5	3.36	1.31
+1.25	1.30	3.26
+1.5	1.25	3.60
+1.75	1.16	4.43
+2	1.07	6.43
+2.25	1.10	7.40
+2.5	1.04	7.10

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.30	3.34
3	1.44	2.75
3.5	1.72	2.07
4	2.25	1.63
4.5	2.37	1.56

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	6.18
6.5	1.14	4.13
7.5	1.32	2.94
8.5	1.66	2.13
9.5	2.04	1.72
10.5	2.54	1.40
11.5	3.34	1.22
12.5	4.63	1.12
13.5	6.33	1.05

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.09
6.75	1.12	4.09
7	1.17	3.57
7.25	1.24	3.31
7.75	1.33	2.78
8	1.42	2.62
8.25	1.50	2.37
8.75	1.70	2.08
9	1.82	1.95
9.25	1.92	1.82
9.75	2.12	1.56
10	2.29	1.55
10.25	2.44	1.42
11	2.85	1.27
12	3.82	1.14
13	5.00	1.07

Next Serie A matches

19 Oct	Monza – Cagliari
19 Oct	Parma – Torino

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

18 Oct	Juventus 0-3 Lazio
18 Oct	AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
18 Oct	Udinese 0-3 Lecce
17 Oct	AS Roma 2-0 Genoa
17 Oct	Bologna 1-3 Inter
17 Oct	Venezia 1-0 Napoli