Monza vs Cagliari• Serie A, Italy

#151.6:2.216:30Tomorrow · Monza1.0:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.491XBX3.261XB23.261XBMargin at best1.5%Books6Markets77Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 20:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.49	3.26	3.26	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.50	3.14	3.18	3.3%
Marathonbet	2.42	3.16	3.16	4.6%
BetVictor	2.38	3.25	3.00	6.1%
Bet365	2.38	3.10	3.10	6.5%
William Hill	2.38	3.00	3.00	8.7%
Best of all books	2.50	3.26	3.26	1.3%
Average	2.42	3.15	3.12	5.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonzaCagliari

Last 10#15Table position#70.67Points per game2.174Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.02.2Goals against · last 50.662Attack rating3821Defence rating7929Form rating7136H2H rating6417Goals model8333Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Monza

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:20 · per match 1.7 for, 2.0 against

11 Oct	A	Lazio	1-3	L
3 Oct	A	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Cremonese	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Sassuolo	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Lecce	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Parma	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Torino	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Udinese	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	Inter	1-4	L
14 Aug	H	Avellino	3-0	W

Cagliari

5W 3D 2L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	H	Juventus	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Udinese	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Atalanta	2-1	W
7 Sep	H	Lecce	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Hellas Verona	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Inter	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Parma	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Arezzo	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Nice	0-0	D
2 Aug	A	Union Berlin	2-2	D

Head to head

1Monza wins

1draws

2Cagliari wins

4 meetings · goals 3:6 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Monza

30 Mar 2025Serie A	Serie A	Cagliari3-0Monza
5 Jan 2025Serie A	Serie A	Monza1-2Cagliari
16 Mar 2024Serie A	Serie A	Monza1-0Cagliari
26 Nov 2023Serie A	Serie A	Cagliari1-1Monza

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 18 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Serie A table, Monza sit 15th with 4 points from 6 games, while Cagliari are 7th with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19
2	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17
3	Lazio	6	5	1	0	11:4	+7	16
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
7	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	6:3	+3	13
8	Juventus	6	3	2	1	9:5	+4	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10
10	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9
11	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9
12	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
13	Torino	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
14	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
15	Monza	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4
16	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
17	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4
18	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
19	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.39X30%3.15230%3.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.15	1.82	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.14	1.77	3.2%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.76	4.9%
Bet365	2.10	1.73	5.4%
BetVictor	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.82	1.5%
Average	2.09	1.76	4.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.78	1.95	7.5%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.79	1.95	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monza 10%Draw 45%Cagliari 45%

The statistical model rates Monza at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cagliari at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 3.15 | 3.10, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Monza are 15th (4 pts, 9-15 goals), Cagliari 7th (13 pts, 6-3).

Over their last five matches, Monza averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Cagliari averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cagliari.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.15	3.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.56	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
1.67	2.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
3.06	2.06	3.73

2nd half

1	X	2
2.67	2.37	3.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.91	14.0	33.0
HT X	5.47	4.60	6.70
HT 2	29.3	14.8	5.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	7.85	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.10
1.5	1.33	3.14
2.5	2.09	1.76
3.5	3.60	1.26
4.5	7.07	1.07
5.5	14.8	1.03
6.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.76
1	1.06	6.20
1.25	1.20	4.04
1.75	1.42	2.74
2	1.54	2.38
2.25	1.83	1.99
2.75	2.35	1.56
3	2.86	1.39
3.25	3.18	1.31
3.75	4.23	1.16
4	5.75	1.08
4.25	6.05	1.06
5	12.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.82	1.40
-0.5	2.37	1.57
-0.25	2.04	1.79
0	1.69	2.19
+0.25	1.48	2.58
+0.5	1.36	3.04

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.01
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.75	5.91	1.09
-1.5	4.52	1.16
-1.25	4.30	1.19
-1	3.82	1.24
+0.75	1.24	3.78
+1	1.12	5.55
+1.25	1.10	5.97
+1.5	1.08	6.33
+1.75	1.02	8.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.30	3.31
3	1.43	2.76
3.5	1.71	2.08
4	2.19	1.66
4.5	2.64	1.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.30
6.5	1.13	4.25
7.5	1.28	2.95
8.5	1.58	2.21
9.5	2.00	1.76
10.5	2.50	1.42
11.5	3.25	1.23
12.5	4.48	1.12
13.5	6.15	1.05

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.20
7	1.16	3.67
7.75	1.33	2.82
8	1.40	2.69
8.25	1.45	2.36
8.75	1.64	2.07
9	1.78	2.00
9.25	1.89	1.85
9.75	2.12	1.61
10	2.27	1.57
10.25	2.40	1.44
10.75	2.83	1.32
11	2.88	1.31
11.25	3.24	1.20
12	3.72	1.15
13	4.87	1.07

Next Serie A matches

19 Oct

Parma – Torino

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

18 Oct	Juventus 0-3 Lazio
18 Oct	AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
18 Oct	Fiorentina 1-3 Como
18 Oct	Udinese 0-3 Lecce
17 Oct	AS Roma 2-0 Genoa
17 Oct	Bologna 1-3 Inter