Llaneros vs Chico• Primera A, Colombia

#141.2:1.421:0012/11 · Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio0.8:1.2#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70BFRX3.70B36525.75B365Margin at best3.2%Books6Markets52Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.65	3.65	5.40	6.5%
Bet365	1.57	3.80	6.00	6.7%
Betfair	1.70	3.70	4.75	6.9%
Pinnacle	1.66	3.61	5.09	7.6%
1xBet	1.67	3.62	4.89	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.62	4.90	8.6%
Best of all books	1.70	3.80	6.00	1.8%
Average	1.65	3.67	5.17	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LlanerosChico

Last 10#14Table position#181.16Points per game0.899Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.260Attack rating4046Defence rating5456Form rating4450H2H rating5089Goals model1156Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Nov 09:00 UTC

Llaneros

4W 0D 6L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

9 Nov	A	Alianza Valledupar	2-1	W
31 Oct	H	Junior	3-2	W
26 Oct	A	Jaguares	0-1	L
21 Oct	H	Deportivo Cali	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Santa Fe	1-0	W
15 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-4	L
10 Oct	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
5 Oct	H	America de Cali	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Cucuta	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	Atletico Nacional	2-0	W

Chico

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

6 Nov	H	Internacional de Bogota	2-1	W
1 Nov	A	Deportivo Cali	0-2	L
28 Oct	H	Junior	1-1	D
23 Oct	H	Bucaramanga	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	Deportivo Pereira	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Atletico Nacional	1-4	L
11 Oct	H	Cucuta	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Deportes Tolima	0-0	D
25 Sep	H	Deportivo Pasto	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Millonarios	0-3	L

Head to head

6Llaneros wins

7draws

8Chico wins

21 meetings · goals 19:29 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Llaneros

27 May 2026Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Chico0-1Llaneros
2 May 2026Primera A	Primera A	Chico3-0Llaneros
23 Jul 2025Primera A	Primera A	Llaneros2-1Chico
8 Feb 2025Primera A	Primera A	Chico2-2Llaneros
2 Nov 2022Primera B	Primera B	Chico3-0Llaneros
18 Oct 2022Primera B	Primera B	Llaneros1-0Chico
8 Oct 2022Primera B	Primera B	Chico1-1Llaneros
2 Jun 2022Primera B	Primera B	Chico2-1Llaneros
17 May 2022Primera B	Primera B	Llaneros0-0Chico
13 Feb 2022Primera B	Primera B	Llaneros1-2Chico

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 10 Nov 04:00 UTC

In the Primera A table, Llaneros sit 14th with 22 points from 19 games, while Chico are 18th with 17 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.65X26%3.64218%5.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.65 -6.8%X3.38 → 3.64 +7.7%24.47 → 5.15 +15.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.98	1.79	6.4%
1xBet	1.98	1.76	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.76	7.3%
Betano	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.85	2.8%
Average	1.97	1.79	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.92	1.79	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.92	1.87	5.6%
Average	1.89	1.82	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Llaneros 45%Draw 45%Chico 10%

The statistical model rates Llaneros at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chico at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.15, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Llaneros win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Llaneros are 14th (22 pts, 17-20 goals), Chico 18th (17 pts, 15-32).

Over their last five matches, Llaneros averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Chico averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Llaneros or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.67	5.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.16	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	2.14	5.48

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.50	4.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.48	14.8	43.6
HT X	4.29	5.20	10.5
HT 2	24.2	16.1	8.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	9.05	2.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.30
1.5	1.29	3.22
2.5	1.97	1.79
3.5	3.31	1.28
4.5	6.40	1.08
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	29.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.95
1.25	1.17	4.11
1.75	1.39	2.73
2	1.52	2.34
2.25	1.73	1.98
2.75	2.23	1.57
3	2.72	1.38
3.25	2.99	1.31
3.75	4.11	1.16
4	5.65	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.81	1.37
-1.25	2.46	1.48
-1	2.13	1.66
-0.75	1.80	1.91
-0.5	1.63	2.20
-0.25	1.42	2.63

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.02
-2.75	7.00	1.06
-2.5	5.56	1.11
-2.25	4.95	1.13
-2	4.58	1.15
-1.75	3.43	1.26
0	1.22	3.77
+0.25	1.17	4.35
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.07	5.95
+1	1.02	8.95
+1.5	1.02	11.7

Next Primera A matches

12 Nov	Águilas Doradas – Independiente Medellin
12 Nov	Deportivo Pereira – America de Cali
12 Nov	Deportivo Cali – Deportes Tolima
12 Nov	Internacional de Bogota – Santa Fe
12 Nov	Millonarios – Alianza Valledupar
12 Nov	Atletico Nacional – Once Caldas

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

10 Nov	Junior 2-0 Cucuta
9 Nov	Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Llaneros
8 Nov	Deportes Tolima 2-1 Millonarios
8 Nov	Jaguares 0-4 Bucaramanga
8 Nov	Santa Fe 5-0 Deportivo Pasto
8 Nov	America de Cali 0-0 Deportivo Cali