Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios• Primera A, Colombia

#61.2:1.423:10Tomorrow · Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro1.6:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX3.25B36523.43PINMargin at best5.0%Books8Markets72Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.20	3.19	3.43	6.0%
Bet365	2.20	3.25	3.25	7.0%
Betano	2.22	3.20	3.25	7.1%
Dafabet	2.19	3.20	3.30	7.2%
1xBet	2.17	3.20	3.26	8.0%
BetVictor	2.15	3.20	3.25	8.5%
William Hill	2.15	3.00	3.30	10.1%
SBO	2.04	2.93	2.95	17.0%
Best of all books	2.22	3.25	3.43	5.0%
Average	2.17	3.15	3.25	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportes TolimaMillonarios

Last 10#6Table position#101.63Points per game1.374Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5742Defence rating5836Form rating6440H2H rating6056Goals model4444Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

Deportes Tolima

1W 4D 5L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

3 Nov	A	Deportivo Pereira	3-1	W
26 Oct	H	Deportivo Pasto	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Águilas Doradas	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Jaguares	2-3	L
8 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Chico	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Fortaleza FC	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	America de Cali	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Santa Fe	0-1	L

Millonarios

3W 7D 0L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

5 Nov	H	America de Cali	0-0	D
21 Oct	H	Once Caldas	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Jaguares	4-1	W
9 Oct	A	Fortaleza FC	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Barranquilla	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Independiente Medellin	2-2	D
25 Sep	A	Atletico Nacional	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Chico	3-0	W
14 Sep	A	Cucuta	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Deportivo Cali	1-1	D

Head to head

9Deportes Tolima wins

9draws

6Millonarios wins

24 meetings · goals 28:25 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Deportes Tolima

24 Apr 2026Primera A	Primera A	Millonarios2-0Deportes Tolima
17 Aug 2025Primera A	Primera A	Deportes Tolima3-1Millonarios
2 Mar 2025Primera A	Primera A	Millonarios2-0Deportes Tolima
3 Aug 2024Primera A	Primera A	Millonarios1-0Deportes Tolima
3 Feb 2024Primera A	Primera A	Deportes Tolima2-0Millonarios
8 Aug 2023Primera A	Primera A	Millonarios1-0Deportes Tolima
30 Mar 2023Primera A	Primera A	Deportes Tolima1-1Millonarios
23 Oct 2022Primera A	Primera A	Deportes Tolima1-0Millonarios
9 May 2022Primera A	Primera A	Millonarios0-0Deportes Tolima
10 Dec 2021Primera A	Primera A	Millonarios1-1Deportes Tolima

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 7 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Primera A table, Deportes Tolima sit 6th with 31 points from 19 games, while Millonarios are 10th with 26 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.16X29%3.15228%3.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.16 → 2.16 0.0%X3.18 → 3.15 -0.9%23.48 → 3.24 -6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.70	7.1%
1xBet	2.06	1.70	7.4%
BetVictor	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Average	2.07	1.70	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.88	8.1%
Betano	1.82	1.88	8.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.83	1.87	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportes Tolima 10%Draw 45%Millonarios 45%

The statistical model rates Deportes Tolima at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Millonarios at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.15 | 3.24, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Deportes Tolima are 6th (31 pts, 27-17 goals), Millonarios 10th (26 pts, 31-23).

Over their last five matches, Deportes Tolima averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Millonarios averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Millonarios.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.17	3.15	3.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.63	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.77	2.04	3.91

2nd half

1	X	2
2.52	2.33	3.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.51	14.0	35.7
HT X	5.28	4.80	7.04
HT 2	27.5	14.6	5.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	8.50	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	8.00
1.5	1.34	3.06
2.5	2.07	1.70
3.5	3.70	1.24
4.5	7.40	1.07
5.5	16.1	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.00
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.19	3.88
1.75	1.43	2.63
2	1.57	2.27
2.25	1.83	1.91
2.75	2.37	1.52
3	2.84	1.33
3.25	3.17	1.28
3.75	4.41	1.14
4	6.05	1.06
4.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.52	1.47
-0.5	2.15	1.66
-0.25	1.86	1.90
0	1.55	2.35
+0.25	1.40	2.77
+0.5	1.32	3.35

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.40	1.01
-2	7.70	1.03
-1.75	5.48	1.12
-1.5	4.13	1.19
-1.25	3.77	1.24
-1	3.37	1.29
+0.75	1.21	4.14
+1	1.10	6.05
+1.25	1.08	6.56
+1.5	1.04	6.75
+1.75	1.01	8.60

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
6.5	2.00	1.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.67
6.5	1.25	3.51
7.5	1.50	2.44
8.5	1.86	1.84
9.5	2.43	1.50
10.5	3.36	1.27
11.5	4.94	1.09

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.11	4.69
6	1.08	5.13
6.25	1.21	3.58
6.75	1.33	2.90
7	1.29	3.04
7.25	1.48	2.40
7.75	1.67	2.07
8	1.64	2.11
8.25	1.89	1.81
8.75	2.15	1.61
9	1.99	1.76
9.25	2.50	1.44
9.75	2.95	1.31
10	3.00	1.30
10.25	3.58	1.21
10.75	4.37	1.13
11	4.54	1.12
11.25	5.55	1.06

Next Primera A matches

7 Nov	Once Caldas – Águilas Doradas
7 Nov	Atletico Nacional – Deportivo Pereira
8 Nov	America de Cali – Deportivo Cali
8 Nov	Santa Fe – Deportivo Pasto
8 Nov	Jaguares – Bucaramanga
9 Nov	Alianza Valledupar – Llaneros

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

6 Nov	Chico 2-1 Internacional de Bogota
5 Nov	Millonarios 0-0 America de Cali
4 Nov	Cucuta 1-0 Santa Fe
3 Nov	Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Jaguares
3 Nov	Deportivo Pereira 1-3 Deportes Tolima
3 Nov	Bucaramanga 1-1 Atletico Nacional