Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin• Primera A, Colombia

#121.0:0.621:0012/11 · Estadio Cincuentenario1.4:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57PINX3.25B36522.88B365Margin at best4.4%Books9Markets76Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 02:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.40	3.30	2.90	6.5%
Betfair	2.50	3.25	2.80	6.5%
Pinnacle	2.57	3.12	2.79	6.8%
Betano	2.45	3.20	2.87	6.9%
Dafabet	2.44	3.20	2.80	7.9%
1xBet	2.48	3.12	2.76	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.48	3.12	2.76	8.6%
BetVictor	2.40	3.25	2.75	8.8%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.75	10.8%
Best of all books	2.57	3.30	2.90	3.7%
Average	2.47	3.16	2.80	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Águilas DoradasIndependiente Medellin

Last 10#12Table position#111.37Points per game1.379Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.642Attack rating5873Defence rating2760Form rating4062H2H rating3842Goals model5856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Nov 00:00 UTC

Águilas Doradas

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

7 Nov	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
2 Nov	H	Fortaleza FC	1-0	W
27 Oct	A	Cucuta	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Junior	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Deportes Tolima	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Bucaramanga	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Alianza Valledupar	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Jaguares	2-0	W
28 Sep	A	Deportivo Cali	0-2	L
24 Sep	A	America de Cali	0-1	L

Independiente Medellin

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

7 Nov	A	Fortaleza FC	3-0	W
1 Nov	H	Alianza Valledupar	2-1	W
29 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-3	L
25 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Once Caldas	0-2	L
15 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	2-3	L
12 Oct	A	America de Cali	2-1	W
6 Oct	H	Santa Fe	0-1	L
30 Sep	H	Millonarios	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Junior	0-2	L

Head to head

8Águilas Doradas wins

5draws

10Independiente Medellin wins

23 meetings · goals 23:29 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Águilas Doradas

3 May 2026Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin1-2Águilas Doradas
8 Oct 2025Primera A	Primera A	Águilas Doradas2-1Independiente Medellin
30 Mar 2025Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin0-0Águilas Doradas
15 Sep 2024Primera A	Primera A	Águilas Doradas1-1Independiente Medellin
3 Mar 2024Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin1-0Águilas Doradas
26 Aug 2023Primera A	Primera A	Águilas Doradas1-1Independiente Medellin
5 Mar 2023Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin3-0Águilas Doradas
23 Nov 2022Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin2-1Águilas Doradas
13 Nov 2022Primera A	Primera A	Águilas Doradas1-0Independiente Medellin
29 Aug 2022Primera A	Primera A	Águilas Doradas3-0Independiente Medellin

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 10 Nov 04:00 UTC

In the Primera A table, Águilas Doradas sit 12th with 26 points from 19 games, while Independiente Medellin are 11th with 26 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.47X30%3.13233%2.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.36 → 2.47 +4.7%X3.19 → 3.13 -1.9%22.96 → 2.81 -5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.93	1.85	5.9%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.82	6.2%
1xBet	1.92	1.81	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.81	7.3%
BetVictor	1.89	1.79	8.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.87	4.8%
Average	1.92	1.83	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Águilas Doradas 45%Draw 45%Independiente Medellin 10%

The statistical model rates Águilas Doradas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Independiente Medellin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 3.13 | 2.81, which imply roughly 40.5% for a Águilas Doradas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Águilas Doradas are 12th (26 pts, 20-25 goals), Independiente Medellin 11th (26 pts, 26-24).

Over their last five matches, Águilas Doradas averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Independiente Medellin averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Águilas Doradas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.47	3.16	2.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.52	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	2.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
3.04	2.09	3.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.72	2.39	3.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.96	13.3	29.6
HT X	5.84	4.88	6.44
HT 2	28.2	14.0	4.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	9.25	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.02
1.5	1.28	3.33
2.5	1.92	1.83
3.5	3.25	1.30
4.5	6.34	1.09
5.5	12.9	1.03
6.5	23.3	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.15	4.31
1.75	1.34	2.85
2	1.45	2.52
2.25	1.68	2.03
2.75	2.17	1.61
3	2.57	1.43
3.25	2.90	1.33
3.75	3.91	1.18
4	5.35	1.09
4.25	5.75	1.07
5	9.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.91	1.35
-0.5	2.40	1.54
-0.25	2.07	1.67
0	1.76	1.98
+0.25	1.52	2.36
+0.5	1.42	2.76

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.90	1.03
-2	8.50	1.02
-1.75	6.23	1.08
-1.5	4.93	1.14
-1.25	4.32	1.18
-1	3.98	1.20
+0.75	1.28	3.35
+1	1.14	4.85
+1.25	1.11	5.32
+1.5	1.10	5.78
+1.75	1.03	7.30
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.59
7.5	1.25	3.52
8.5	1.48	2.48
9.5	1.81	1.94
10.5	2.32	1.55
11.5	3.10	1.31
12.5	4.26	1.14
13.5	6.46	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.07	5.34
7	1.08	5.09
7.25	1.15	4.09
7.75	1.25	3.31
8	1.28	3.12
8.25	1.37	2.73
8.75	1.52	2.33
9	1.59	2.20
9.25	1.70	2.04
9.75	1.89	1.81
10	2.02	1.70
10.25	2.14	1.62
10.75	2.45	1.46
11	2.71	1.38
11.25	2.86	1.34
11.75	3.36	1.24
12	3.90	1.17
12.25	4.08	1.15
12.75	4.96	1.09
13	6.04	1.04
13.25	6.25	1.04

Next Primera A matches

12 Nov	Deportivo Pereira – America de Cali
12 Nov	Deportivo Cali – Deportes Tolima
12 Nov	Internacional de Bogota – Santa Fe
12 Nov	Llaneros – Chico
12 Nov	Millonarios – Alianza Valledupar
12 Nov	Atletico Nacional – Once Caldas

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

10 Nov	Junior 2-0 Cucuta
9 Nov	Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Llaneros
8 Nov	Deportes Tolima 2-1 Millonarios
8 Nov	Jaguares 0-4 Bucaramanga
8 Nov	Santa Fe 5-0 Deportivo Pasto
8 Nov	America de Cali 0-0 Deportivo Cali