Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros• Primera A, Colombia

#171.0:1.001:1509/11 · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar0.8:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.18PINX3.25MAR23.75B365Margin at best3.3%Books10Markets74Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.18	3.14	3.53	6.0%
Bet365	2.10	3.10	3.75	6.5%
Betano	2.15	3.20	3.45	6.7%
Betfair	2.15	3.10	3.50	7.3%
1xBet	2.14	3.25	3.28	8.0%
Dafabet	2.11	3.20	3.40	8.1%
BetVictor	2.15	3.20	3.30	8.1%
Marathonbet	2.12	3.25	3.26	8.6%
William Hill	2.15	3.00	3.40	9.3%
SBO	2.01	2.94	3.01	17.0%
Best of all books	2.18	3.25	3.75	3.3%
Average	2.13	3.14	3.39	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alianza ValleduparLlaneros

Last 10#17Table position#140.89Points per game1.167Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4458Defence rating4254Form rating4688H2H rating1341Goals model5963Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:02 UTC

Alianza Valledupar

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	A	Independiente Medellin	1-2	L
28 Oct	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Internacional de Bogota	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	Deportivo Pasto	1-0	W
9 Oct	H	Águilas Doradas	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Deportivo Cali	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Jaguares	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Santa Fe	1-4	L
16 Sep	A	Chico	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Junior	1-0	W

Llaneros

3W 0D 7L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

31 Oct	H	Junior	3-2	W
26 Oct	A	Jaguares	0-1	L
21 Oct	H	Deportivo Cali	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Santa Fe	1-0	W
15 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-4	L
10 Oct	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
5 Oct	H	America de Cali	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Cucuta	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	Atletico Nacional	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Internacional de Bogota	2-3	L

Head to head

2Alianza Valledupar wins

1draws

0Llaneros wins

3 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Alianza Valledupar

26 Apr 2026Primera A	Primera A	Llaneros0-0Alianza Valledupar
27 Sep 2025Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar3-1Llaneros
11 Apr 2025Primera A	Primera A	Llaneros0-1Alianza Valledupar

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 7 Nov 01:01 UTC

In the Primera A table, Alianza Valledupar sit 17th with 17 points from 19 games, while Llaneros are 14th with 22 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.14X29%3.16227%3.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.12 → 2.14 +0.9%X3.13 → 3.16 +1.0%23.36 → 3.42 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.17	1.67	6.0%
Betano	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.12	1.66	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.66	7.4%
BetVictor	2.07	1.65	8.9%
Best of all books	2.17	1.70	4.9%
Average	2.13	1.67	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.86	1.84	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.82	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.86	1.85	7.8%
Average	1.85	1.84	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza Valledupar 45%Draw 45%Llaneros 10%

The statistical model rates Alianza Valledupar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Llaneros at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.16 | 3.42, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Alianza Valledupar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Alianza Valledupar are 17th (17 pts, 13-27 goals), Llaneros 14th (22 pts, 17-20).

Over their last five matches, Alianza Valledupar averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Llaneros averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Valledupar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.13	3.14	3.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.65	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.03	3.98

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.32	3.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.40	13.8	36.1
HT X	5.20	4.72	7.27
HT 2	28.4	14.8	5.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	7.60	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.70
1.5	1.35	2.91
2.5	2.13	1.67
3.5	3.78	1.23
4.5	7.74	1.06
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.00
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.19	3.76
1.75	1.44	2.54
2	1.59	2.20
2.25	1.86	1.86
2.75	2.43	1.49
3	2.99	1.30
3.25	3.36	1.25
3.75	4.61	1.13
4	6.40	1.05
4.25	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.29	1.29
-0.75	2.49	1.47
-0.5	2.13	1.68
-0.25	1.82	1.91
0	1.52	2.40
+0.25	1.38	2.84

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.83	1.02
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.75	5.38	1.11
-1.5	4.19	1.18
-1.25	3.72	1.23
+0.5	1.30	3.48
+0.75	1.19	4.22
+1	1.07	6.27
+1.25	1.05	6.51
+1.5	1.05	7.30
+1.75	1.01	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.82
7.5	1.27	3.28
8.5	1.52	2.35
9.5	1.87	1.83
10.5	2.43	1.48
11.5	3.28	1.27
12.5	4.99	1.09
13.5	6.97	1.02

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.58
7	1.13	4.35
7.25	1.21	3.58
7.75	1.32	2.93
8	1.36	2.76
8.25	1.46	2.46
8.75	1.63	2.13
9	1.72	2.00
9.25	1.83	1.87
9.75	2.06	1.68
10	2.23	1.57
10.25	2.36	1.50
10.75	2.73	1.37
11	3.08	1.29
11.25	3.24	1.26
11.75	3.88	1.17
12	4.60	1.11
12.25	4.79	1.10
12.75	5.85	1.05
13	7.29	1.01

Next Primera A matches

7 Nov	Once Caldas – Águilas Doradas
7 Nov	Atletico Nacional – Deportivo Pereira
8 Nov	America de Cali – Deportivo Cali
8 Nov	Santa Fe – Deportivo Pasto
8 Nov	Jaguares – Bucaramanga
8 Nov	Deportes Tolima – Millonarios

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

6 Nov	Chico 2-1 Internacional de Bogota
5 Nov	Millonarios 0-0 America de Cali
4 Nov	Cucuta 1-0 Santa Fe
3 Nov	Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Jaguares
3 Nov	Deportivo Pereira 1-3 Deportes Tolima
3 Nov	Bucaramanga 1-1 Atletico Nacional