Deportivo Pasto vs Junior• Primera A, Colombia

#30.8:2.022:00Today · Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto1.2:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

117.0WHX8.50WH21.13BTNMargin at best6.1%Books4Markets25Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 08:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	16.0	8.40	1.13	6.7%
William Hill	17.0	8.50	1.12	6.9%
Betano	17.0	7.70	1.13	7.4%
Bet365	15.0	8.00	1.12	8.5%
Best of all books	17.0	8.50	1.13	6.1%
Average	16.3	8.15	1.13	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo PastoJunior

Last 10#3Table position#21.79Points per game1.846Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 50.840Attack rating6029Defence rating7143Form rating5729H2H rating7144Goals model5637Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 10:30 UTC

Deportivo Pasto

4W 1D 5L · goals 6:14 · per match 0.6 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	A	Santa Fe	0-5	L
3 Nov	H	Jaguares	2-0	W
31 Oct	A	Bucaramanga	1-2	L
26 Oct	A	Deportes Tolima	1-0	W
23 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	0-3	L
20 Oct	H	Alianza Valledupar	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Fortaleza FC	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Chico	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Once Caldas	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	America de Cali	1-0	W

Junior

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

10 Nov	H	Cucuta	2-0	W
31 Oct	A	Llaneros	2-3	L
28 Oct	A	Chico	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Águilas Doradas	1-0	W
19 Oct	A	Deportivo Cali	0-0	D
14 Oct	H	Deportivo Pereira	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Internacional de Bogota	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Bucaramanga	1-3	L
1 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Independiente Medellin	2-0	W

Head to head

7Deportivo Pasto wins

7draws

8Junior wins

22 meetings · goals 22:26 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Deportivo Pasto

3 May 2026Primera A	Primera A	Junior4-3Deportivo Pasto
29 Sep 2025Primera A	Primera A	Junior2-0Deportivo Pasto
12 Apr 2025Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto3-3Junior
29 Aug 2024Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto1-0Junior
8 Feb 2024Primera A	Primera A	Junior2-0Deportivo Pasto
13 Aug 2023Primera A	Primera A	Junior0-0Deportivo Pasto
19 Feb 2023Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto1-0Junior
18 Sep 2022Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto2-1Junior
25 Mar 2022Primera A	Primera A	Junior1-1Deportivo Pasto
1 Nov 2021Primera A	Primera A	Junior2-1Deportivo Pasto

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 12 Nov 04:10 UTC

In the Primera A table, Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd with 34 points from 19 games, while Junior are 2nd with 35 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg16%16.3X11%8.15283%1.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

119.0 → 16.3 -14.5%X7.65 → 8.15 +6.5%21.12 → 1.13 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.25	4.00	5.0%
Betano	1.27	3.30	9.0%
Best of all books	1.27	4.00	3.7%
Average	1.26	3.65	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	1.90	1.91	5.0%
Average	1.84	1.87	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Pasto 10%Draw 45%Junior 45%

The statistical model rates Deportivo Pasto at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Junior at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 16.25 | 8.15 | 1.13, which imply roughly 12.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Deportivo Pasto are 3rd (34 pts, 29-25 goals), Junior 2nd (35 pts, 31-24).

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Pasto averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Junior averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Junior.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
16.3	8.15	1.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
5.93	1.03	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
12.1	1.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
10.2	3.33	1.41

2nd half

1	X	2
9.50	3.90	1.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	29.0	27.5	16.3
HT X	31.5	13.1	3.90
HT 2	75.5	23.5	1.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.75	29.0	1.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	9.50
1.5	1.20	4.60
2.5	1.26	3.65
3.5	2.59	1.67
4	2.02	1.70
4.5	4.71	1.29
5.5	9.38	1.12
6.5	17.4	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.05	1.75
+1.25	1.82	1.98
+1.5	1.98	1.82
+2.25	1.95	1.85
+2.5	1.82	1.93

Next Primera A matches

13 Nov	Llaneros – Chico
14 Nov	Internacional de Bogota – Santa Fe
14 Nov	Águilas Doradas – Independiente Medellin
14 Nov	Deportivo Pereira – America de Cali
14 Nov	Atletico Nacional – Once Caldas
14 Nov	Deportivo Cali – Deportes Tolima

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

10 Nov	Junior 2-0 Cucuta
9 Nov	Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Llaneros
8 Nov	Deportes Tolima 2-1 Millonarios
8 Nov	Jaguares 0-4 Bucaramanga
8 Nov	Santa Fe 5-0 Deportivo Pasto
8 Nov	America de Cali 0-0 Deportivo Cali