FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos• Primera División, Peru

#32.0:1.21-1FTToday · Estadio Monumental de la UNSA, Arequipa1.4:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.39BTNX5.20DAF29.00BTNMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets96Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 20:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.39	5.10	9.00	2.7%
Dafabet	1.38	5.20	7.80	4.5%
Bet365	1.36	4.75	8.50	6.3%
Pinnacle	1.35	5.00	7.79	6.9%
1xBet	1.34	4.85	7.85	8.0%
William Hill	1.36	4.60	7.50	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.33	4.85	7.80	8.6%
BetVictor	1.33	4.75	8.00	8.7%
Betfair	1.30	5.00	7.50	10.3%
SBO	1.31	4.52	6.38	14.1%
Best of all books	1.39	5.20	9.00	2.3%
Average	1.35	4.86	7.81	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FBC MelgarComerciantes Unidos

Last 10#3Table position#131.74Points per game1.139Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.859Attack rating4160Defence rating4073Form rating2764H2H rating3663Goals model3764Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 04:10 UTC

FBC Melgar

5W 4D 1L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

30 Oct	H	Comerciantes Unidos	1-1	D
23 Oct	A	UTC Cajamarca	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Deportivo Garcilaso	4-2	W
11 Oct	A	Universitario	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Sport Boys	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Cusco	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	ADT	3-0	W
1 Sep	A	Atletico Grau	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Alianza Lima	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3-0	W

Comerciantes Unidos

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	H	Cienciano	3-1	W
18 Oct	A	Sporting Cristal	2-4	L
10 Oct	H	Juan Pablo II College	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Alianza Atletico	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Sport Huancayo	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Universitario	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	FC Cajamarca	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	UTC Cajamarca	3-1	W
14 Aug	A	Atletico Grau	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	Cusco	3-1	W

Head to head

3FBC Melgar wins

7draws

1Comerciantes Unidos wins

11 meetings · goals 15:12 · last 10: 3W 7D 0L for FBC Melgar

10 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos1-1FBC Melgar
27 Sep 2025Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos1-1FBC Melgar
2 May 2025Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar1-1Comerciantes Unidos
7 Sep 2024Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar3-0Comerciantes Unidos
2 Mar 2024Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos0-0FBC Melgar
2 Nov 2018Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar2-1Comerciantes Unidos
5 Aug 2018Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos2-2FBC Melgar
20 Nov 2017Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos1-1FBC Melgar
26 Jul 2017Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar1-1Comerciantes Unidos
20 Jul 2016Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar3-2Comerciantes Unidos

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 30 Oct 04:40 UTC

In the Primera División table, FBC Melgar sit 3rd with 54 points from 31 games, while Comerciantes Unidos are 13th with 35 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	31	19	8	4	52:23	+29	65
2	Universitario	30	16	8	6	52:34	+18	56
3	FBC Melgar	31	15	9	7	54:35	+19	54
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	31	15	6	10	47:33	+14	51
5	Cusco	31	16	3	12	46:43	+3	51
6	Cienciano	31	15	5	11	53:43	+10	50
7	Sporting Cristal	31	14	5	12	57:47	+10	47
8	Alianza Atletico	31	13	7	11	48:46	+2	46
9	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	31	13	7	11	39:51	-12	46
10	Sport Huancayo	31	13	5	13	44:48	-4	44
11	Sport Boys	30	11	8	11	34:33	+1	41
12	Juan Pablo II College	31	11	8	12	47:56	-9	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	31	8	11	12	42:45	-3	35
14	Atletico Grau	31	9	7	15	28:38	-10	34
15	ADT	31	7	9	15	33:45	-12	30
16	FC Cajamarca	31	7	7	17	44:60	-16	28
17	UCV Moquegua	31	7	7	17	25:46	-21	28
18	UTC Cajamarca	31	5	8	18	36:55	-19	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.38X20%4.63213%7.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.26 → 1.35 +7.1%X5.51 → 4.86 -11.8%210.2 → 7.81 -23.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.62	2.22	6.8%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.15	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.15	10.6%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.60	2.20	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Betano	1.87	1.83	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.81	8.7%
Best of all books	1.91	1.87	5.8%
Average	1.87	1.83	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FBC Melgar 50%Draw 50%Comerciantes Unidos 0%

The statistical model rated FBC Melgar at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Comerciantes Unidos at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.63 | 7.35, which imply roughly 72.5% for a FBC Melgar win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera División table: FBC Melgar are 3rd (54 pts, 54-35 goals), Comerciantes Unidos 13th (35 pts, 42-45).

Over their last five matches, FBC Melgar averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Comerciantes Unidos averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FBC Melgar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

FBC Melgar

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Rondelli

Goalkeeper

21J. Cabezudo

Defence

33M. Lazo
5A. Deneumostier
3L. González
27N. Cabanillas

Midfield

25K. Minda
66H. Orzán
7C. Bordacahar
10N. Quagliata
11J. Vidales

Attack

8L. Guzmán

Substitutes (9)

90J. Alcántar
20G. García
36P. Nunez
26M. Portillo
40R. Yabiku
77F. Zanelatto
45Matias Zegarra
12C. Cáceda
80J. D´Arrigo

Comerciantes Unidos

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Biaggio

Goalkeeper

17Matías Cordova

Defence

30P. Guzmán
40F. Alcedo
6J. Rodriguez
19D. Lino

Midfield

18A. Rodríguez
54Y. Gamero
11J. Herrera
25Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
20J. Parodi

Attack

9M. Sen

Substitutes (9)

10M. Carpio
99José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
15A. Cossio
50J. Olivares
28O. Pinto
13M. Pérez
14Thiago Salinas
8W. Ayoví
32J. Sánchez

Match Statistics

FBC MelgarComerciantes Unidos

0.72Expected Goals1.45

181Passes accurate423

7Shots insidebox9

5Shots outsidebox11

3Blocked Shots5

18Free Kicks11

4Shots on Goal8

7Goalkeeper Saves3

5Shots off Goal7

239Total passes481

1Red Cards0

12Total Shots20

1Yellow Cards5

6Corner Kicks4

0Offsides1

11Fouls17

34%Ball Possession66%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.35	4.86	7.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.07	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	6.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
1.77	2.52	6.79

2nd half

1	X	2
1.63	2.93	6.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.88	17.5	54.4
HT X	4.09	7.35	15.7
HT 2	20.1	18.6	13.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	15.8	3.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.0
1.5	1.17	4.44
2.5	1.60	2.20
3.5	2.52	1.48
4.5	4.43	1.17
5.5	8.40	1.05
6.5	15.9	1.02
7.5	41.0	–
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.80
1.25	1.07	5.95
1.75	1.18	3.86
2	1.25	3.43
2.25	1.41	2.59
2.75	1.73	1.98
3	1.97	1.75
3.25	2.23	1.56
3.75	2.92	1.34
4	3.60	1.21
4.25	4.00	1.17
4.75	5.40	1.09
5	7.50	1.03
5.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.76	1.39
-1.75	2.26	1.58
-1.5	2.00	1.76
-1.25	1.75	1.99
-1	1.53	2.36
-0.75	1.40	2.69

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	10.0	1.01
-4	9.25	1.02
-3.75	7.20	1.05
-3.5	6.47	1.07
-3.25	6.23	1.08
-3	5.88	1.09
-2.75	4.24	1.17
-2.5	3.26	1.29
-2.25	2.98	1.34
-0.5	1.36	3.09
-0.25	1.20	3.87
0	1.09	6.05
+0.25	1.07	6.57

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.75	1.98

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.14
7.5	1.26	3.20
8.5	1.51	2.33
9.5	1.90	1.82
10.5	2.41	1.48
11.5	3.25	1.25
12.5	4.64	1.11
13.5	7.17	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.90
7	1.11	4.66
7.25	1.18	3.79
7.75	1.28	3.09
8	1.32	2.92
8.25	1.42	2.57
8.75	1.58	2.21
9	1.65	2.10
9.25	1.77	1.94
9.75	1.98	1.73
10	2.13	1.63
10.25	2.26	1.56
10.75	2.60	1.41
11	2.90	1.32
11.25	3.06	1.29
11.75	3.64	1.20
12	4.27	1.14
12.25	4.46	1.12
12.75	5.45	1.07
13	6.73	1.02
13.25	6.95	1.02

Next Primera División matches

31 Oct	Alianza Atletico – Juan Pablo II College
1 Nov	UCV Moquegua – Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1 Nov	Cusco – Sport Boys
1 Nov	Atletico Grau – Universitario
2 Nov	Sport Huancayo – FBC Melgar
2 Nov	UTC Cajamarca – Deportivo Garcilaso

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

29 Oct	Sporting Cristal 3-2 Alianza Lima
29 Oct	Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 Cusco
29 Oct	Cienciano 3-0 Atletico Grau
28 Oct	Alianza Atletico 3-2 Deportivo Garcilaso
28 Oct	FC Cajamarca 1-3 UTC Cajamarca
28 Oct	ADT 2-0 UCV Moquegua