NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo• HNL, Croatia

#30.6:0.61-2FT24/10 · Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varazdin1.8:2.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70DAFX4.05MAR24.70BTNMargin at best4.8%Books9Markets82Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 13:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.70	4.00	4.70	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.70	4.01	4.59	5.5%
Betano	1.67	3.75	4.80	7.4%
1xBet	1.65	4.05	4.43	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.63	4.05	4.45	8.5%
William Hill	1.67	3.80	4.33	9.3%
Betfair	1.62	3.90	4.40	10.1%
BetVictor	1.65	3.75	4.33	10.4%
Bet365	1.62	3.70	4.50	11.0%
Best of all books	1.70	4.05	4.80	4.3%
Average	1.66	3.89	4.50	8.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo

Last 10#3Table position#61.64Points per game1.186Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 52.025Attack rating7577Defence rating2346Form rating5460H2H rating4096Goals model460Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

NK Varazdin

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

18 Oct	A	HNK Hajduk Split	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-0	W
2 Oct	A	Aluminij	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	NK Osijek	0-0	D
14 Sep	A	HNK Gorica	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Zagora	4-0	W
4 Sep	H	Istra 1961	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Rudes	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Dinamo Zagreb	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	HNK Rijeka	2-0	W

NK Slaven Belupo

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

18 Oct	H	Dinamo Zagreb	1-5	L
11 Oct	H	HNK Rijeka	4-1	W
1 Oct	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Rudes	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	HNK Hajduk Split	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	5-0	W
6 Sep	H	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	NK Osijek	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	HNK Gorica	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Istra 1961	0-3	L

Head to head

10NK Varazdin wins

7draws

10NK Slaven Belupo wins

27 meetings · goals 28:27 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for NK Varazdin

9 Aug 2026HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo1-4NK Varazdin
12 Apr 2026HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin2-1NK Slaven Belupo
31 Jan 2026HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo0-2NK Varazdin
25 Oct 2025HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin1-3NK Slaven Belupo
10 Aug 2025HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo3-1NK Varazdin
22 Apr 2025HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo0-1NK Varazdin
16 Feb 2025HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin0-1NK Slaven Belupo
10 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	NK Varazdin1-0NK Slaven Belupo
10 Nov 2024HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo1-1NK Varazdin
24 Aug 2024HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin2-0NK Slaven Belupo

HNL tableHNLupdated 25 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the HNL table, NK Varazdin sit 3rd with 18 points from 11 games, while NK Slaven Belupo are 6th with 13 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	10	7	1	2	19:9	+10	22
2	Dinamo Zagreb	9	6	1	2	23:12	+11	19
3	NK Varazdin	11	5	3	3	15:10	+5	18
4	HNK Rijeka	9	5	2	2	16:12	+4	17
5	NK Osijek	11	5	2	4	19:16	+3	17
6	NK Slaven Belupo	11	4	1	6	14:23	-9	13
7	Istra 1961	10	3	3	4	17:16	+1	12
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	3	2	6	13:17	-4	11
9	Rudes	11	3	1	7	14:27	-13	10
10	HNK Gorica	11	1	4	6	7:15	-8	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.66X24%3.89221%4.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.66 → 1.65 -0.6%X3.97 → 3.92 -1.3%24.43 → 4.50 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.69	2.20	4.6%
Betano	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.59	2.25	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.25	7.3%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Best of all books	1.69	2.25	3.6%
Average	1.63	2.20	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.60	2.22	7.5%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.22	4.9%
Average	1.62	2.18	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NK Varazdin 45%Draw 45%NK Slaven Belupo 10%

The statistical model rated NK Varazdin at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NK Slaven Belupo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.89 | 4.50, which imply roughly 60.2% for a NK Varazdin win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: NK Varazdin are 3rd (18 pts, 15-10 goals), NK Slaven Belupo 6th (13 pts, 14-23).

Over their last five matches, NK Varazdin averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; NK Slaven Belupo averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : NK Varazdin or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1

Coach: N. Šafarić

Goalkeeper

33J. Silić

Defence

30L. Posinkovic
13M. Mladenovski
16N. Tepšić
20G. Sikošek

Midfield

28I. Canjuga
8T. Duvnjak
12P. Bočkaj
22L. Mamić
38Iuri Tavares

Attack

10A. Latković

Substitutes (11)

44M. Barać
9S. Jurić
5Sven Lesjak
19L. Lukanić
1R. McCrorie
21I. Posavec
6D. Puclin
14R. Punčec
7M. Vuk
4L. Škaričić
17V. Akrap

NK Slaven Belupo

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Čabraja

Goalkeeper

30K. Sentić

Defence

18F. Krušelj
15J. Mersinaj
4D. Kovačić
77I. Urata

Midfield

22A. Adeshina
21L. Crepulja
11J. Mitrović
24L. Bošnjak
8L. Banovec

Attack

90I. Nestorovski

Substitutes (11)

10M. Caimacov
88D. Bosak
5I. Cvetko
23A. Jónsson
29Lovro Loncaric
2V. Međimorec
45V. Papac
12M. Pavli
14Losika Ratshukudu
19L. Zahora
32I. Čović

Match Statistics

NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo

1.54Expected Goals0.62

383Passes accurate303

13Shots insidebox3

2Shots outsidebox5

3Blocked Shots3

11Free Kicks10

4Shots on Goal3

1Goalkeeper Saves2

8Shots off Goal2

1Offsides3

476Total passes396

15Total Shots8

2Yellow Cards2

1Corner Kicks3

0Red Cards1

10Fouls12

54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.89	4.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.12	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.41

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
2.16	2.36	4.72

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.71	4.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.48	13.9	37.4
HT X	4.59	6.26	10.3
HT 2	20.6	15.2	7.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	15.9	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.5
1.5	1.18	4.35
2.5	1.63	2.20
3.5	2.56	1.46
4.5	4.66	1.17
5.5	8.52	1.05
6.5	17.4	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.0
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.17	3.97
2	1.22	3.52
2.25	1.44	2.59
2.75	1.77	1.97
3	1.98	1.74
3.25	2.26	1.57
3.75	2.85	1.34
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.91	1.18
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.71	1.41
-1.25	2.43	1.49
-1	2.14	1.66
-0.75	1.82	1.90
-0.5	1.67	2.16
-0.25	1.45	2.55

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.45	1.01
-2.75	6.60	1.07
-2.5	5.17	1.12
-2.25	4.76	1.14
-2	4.33	1.16
-1.75	3.33	1.29
0	1.27	3.39
+0.25	1.22	3.86
+0.5	1.20	4.40
+0.75	1.10	5.60
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.02	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.13	4.30
7.5	1.34	2.88
8.5	1.62	2.17
9.5	2.05	1.70
10.5	2.68	1.41
11.5	3.82	1.20
12.5	5.70	1.06

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.02	6.93
6.25	1.08	5.23
6.75	1.15	4.08
7	1.17	3.86
7.25	1.26	3.24
7.75	1.38	2.68
8	1.44	2.52
8.25	1.54	2.28
8.75	1.73	1.99
9	1.79	1.97
9.25	1.95	1.76
9.75	2.21	1.58
10	2.31	1.55
10.25	2.56	1.42
10.75	3.00	1.30
11	3.44	1.23
11.25	3.62	1.20
11.75	4.37	1.13
12	5.28	1.07
12.25	5.49	1.06

Next HNL matches

26 Oct	Istra 1961 – HNK Hajduk Split
27 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb – HNK Rijeka

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

25 Oct	NK Osijek 0-1 Rudes
24 Oct	HNK Gorica 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
18 Oct	NK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo Zagreb
18 Oct	HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin
17 Oct	NK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
17 Oct	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961