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HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb• HNL, Croatia

#101.0:1.20-0FT24/10 · Stadion Radnik, Veliky Gorica1.2:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.53PINX3.35DAF22.90DAFMargin at best3.9%Books9Markets78Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 09:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.463.352.905.0%
Pinnacle2.533.262.875.0%
Betano2.453.252.856.7%
1xBet2.423.202.788.5%
Marathonbet2.423.202.788.5%
BetVictor2.383.252.709.8%
William Hill2.453.002.809.9%
Bet3652.253.202.8011.4%
Betfair2.303.302.6311.8%
Best of all books2.533.352.903.9%
Average2.413.222.798.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Last 10#10Table position#80.64Points per game1.006Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.445Attack rating5554Defence rating4656Form rating4440H2H rating6041Goals model5947Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:10 UTC

HNK Gorica

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

17 OctANK Osijek1-1D
9 OctHRudes1-2L
2 OctHBravo3-3D
28 SepAMaribor1-1D
19 SepAIstra 19611-0W
14 SepHNK Varazdin2-2D
9 SepAUskok Klis3-1W
5 SepADinamo Zagreb0-1L
31 AugHHNK Rijeka0-0D
22 AugANK Slaven Belupo0-2L

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHIstra 19612-0W
11 OctHNK Varazdin0-1L
20 SepADinamo Zagreb2-3L
12 SepHHNK Rijeka1-1D
9 SepATomislav2-0W
6 SepANK Slaven Belupo1-2L
31 AugAHNK Hajduk Split0-2L
21 AugARudes1-4L
15 AugANK Osijek0-1L
8 AugHHNK Gorica3-1W

Head to head

12HNK Gorica wins
11draws
16NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins

39 meetings · goals 52:67 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for HNK Gorica

8 Aug 2026HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-1HNK Gorica
17 Apr 2026HNLHNLHNK Gorica0-2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
6 Feb 2026HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-0HNK Gorica
3 Nov 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica4-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
16 Aug 2025HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-3HNK Gorica
24 May 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica0-3NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
28 Mar 2025HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1HNK Gorica
10 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0HNK Gorica
21 Dec 2024HNLHNLHNK Gorica1-4NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
5 Oct 2024HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0HNK Gorica

HNL tableHNLupdated 25 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the HNL table, HNK Gorica sit 10th with 7 points from 11 games, while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 8th with 11 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split1071219:9+1022
2Dinamo Zagreb961223:12+1119
3NK Varazdin1153315:10+518
4HNK Rijeka952216:12+417
5NK Osijek1152419:16+317
6NK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913
7Istra 19611033417:16+112
8NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411
9Rudes1131714:27-1310
10HNK Gorica111467:15-87

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.41X29%3.22233%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 03:101 2.41X 3.222 2.79
12.36 → 2.41 +2.1%X3.21 → 3.22 +0.3%22.90 → 2.79 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.011.834.4%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betano1.901.876.1%
1xBet1.871.867.2%
Marathonbet1.871.867.2%
BetVictor1.891.798.8%
Betfair1.911.759.5%
Best of all books2.011.873.2%
Average1.911.836.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.752.007.1%
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
Betano1.672.078.2%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.085.2%
Average1.712.037.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HNK Gorica 10%Draw 45%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 45%

The statistical model rated HNK Gorica at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.41 | 3.22 | 2.79, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: HNK Gorica are 10th (7 pts, 7-15 goals), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8th (11 pts, 13-17).

Over their last five matches, HNK Gorica averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

HNK Gorica

3-4-3

Coach: M. Carević

Goalkeeper

  • 1R. Josipović

Defence

  • 2F. Braut
  • 4J. Filipović
  • 15D. Stevanović

Midfield

  • 25B. Bogojević
  • 6T. Lacoux
  • 66Juraj Frigan
  • 5Gonçalo Costa

Attack

  • 8J. Pranjić
  • 50A. Erceg
  • 24D. Pavičić
Substitutes (12)
  • 26Keenan Nino Carole
  • 10F. Brodić
  • 34I. Cvijanović
  • 18B. Kardum
  • 36Ante Kavelj
  • 71D. Matijaš
  • 9P. Mijić
  • 21H. Moustapha
  • 45S. Perić
  • 30D. Žarkov
  • 20L. Vrzić
  • 7O. Bakić

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

4-2-3-1

Coach: N. Jelavić

Goalkeeper

  • 12J. Posavec

Defence

  • 13F. Karačić
  • 2J. Gurlica
  • 4T. Triantafyllou
  • 20K. Čabrajić

Midfield

  • 8I. Katić
  • 6F. Fetai
  • 7D. Vuković
  • 14M. Lorber
  • 9L. Belcar

Attack

  • 11Lovre Kulušić
Substitutes (11)
  • 32L. Savatović
  • 18E. Atabaev
  • 24M. Marić
  • 26M. Dardan
  • 25P. Smiljanic
  • 16Kayke
  • 19M. Subotić
  • 15Dominik Thaqi
  • 29J. Vasilj
  • 5M. Čabraja
  • 28N. Đurković

Match Statistics

HNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.01Expected Goals0.86
372Passes accurate300
12Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox7
2Blocked Shots5
12Free Kicks14
4Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
8Shots off Goal8
2Offsides0
458Total passes394
14Total Shots14
1Yellow Cards2
10Corner Kicks6
14Fouls12
0Red Cards0
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.413.222.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.511.31

Draw no bet

12
1.732.02

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.712.03

1st half

1X2
2.992.123.43

2nd half

1X2
2.702.423.06

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9113.429.2
HT X5.744.906.48
HT 227.014.14.64

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.899.202.10

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.17
1.51.283.39
2.51.911.83
3.53.231.31
4.56.271.09
5.513.51.03
6.523.31.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.90
11.037.30
1.251.144.41
1.751.322.94
21.442.58
2.251.672.08
2.752.141.65
32.531.46
3.252.721.37
3.753.591.21
44.901.11
4.255.201.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.841.37
-0.52.411.54
-0.252.061.69
01.752.01
+0.251.542.36
+0.51.422.76
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.601.01
-1.755.801.07
-1.54.581.15
-1.254.251.19
-13.871.21
+0.751.293.37
+11.154.76
+1.251.125.14
+1.51.105.53
+1.751.046.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.04
6.51.124.67
7.51.313.07
8.51.602.22
9.51.981.74
10.52.551.44
11.53.551.23
12.55.071.08
13.56.661.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.74
61.036.45
6.251.094.92
6.751.124.51
71.144.28
7.251.213.53
7.751.322.90
81.382.76
8.251.472.43
8.751.642.11
91.771.99
9.251.841.86
9.752.081.66
102.261.57
10.252.381.49
10.752.761.36
113.121.28
11.253.281.25
11.753.941.17
124.681.11
12.254.881.10
12.755.091.08
136.241.04
13.256.451.03

Next HNL matches

26 OctIstra 1961 – HNK Hajduk Split
27 OctDinamo Zagreb – HNK Rijeka

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

25 OctNK Osijek 0-1 Rudes
24 OctNK Varazdin 1-2 NK Slaven Belupo
18 OctNK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo Zagreb
18 OctHNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin
17 OctNK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
17 OctNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961