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Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split• HNL, Croatia

#71.2:1.217:00Today · Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula1.6:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.32PINX3.98PIN21.78BTNMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets82Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 04:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet4.303.901.785.1%
Pinnacle4.323.981.736.1%
Betano4.203.701.787.0%
1xBet4.143.941.718.0%
Marathonbet4.153.941.698.6%
William Hill4.003.701.759.2%
BetVictor4.103.751.709.9%
Betfair4.003.601.7310.6%
Bet3654.003.501.7012.4%
SBO3.713.351.6617.0%
Best of all books4.323.981.784.5%
Average4.093.741.729.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Last 10#7Table position#11.20Points per game2.209Form pts · last 5121.2Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 50.843Attack rating5740Defence rating6037Form rating6329H2H rating7143Goals model5738Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:40 UTC

Istra 1961

4W 3D 3L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

17 OctANK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-2L
10 OctANK Osijek3-1W
19 SepHHNK Gorica0-1L
13 SepHRudes3-2W
8 SepAZagorec5-0W
4 SepANK Varazdin0-0D
29 AugHDinamo Zagreb2-2D
23 AugAHNK Rijeka2-3L
15 AugHNK Slaven Belupo3-0W
9 AugAHNK Hajduk Split2-2D

HNK Hajduk Split

9W 0D 1L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

22 OctAFC Thun1-0W
18 OctHNK Varazdin1-0W
15 OctHAjax2-1W
10 OctHDinamo Zagreb2-1W
20 SepAHNK Rijeka0-3L
13 SepHNK Slaven Belupo1-0W
8 SepAVardarac2-0W
6 SepARudes4-0W
31 AugHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0W
27 AugARaków Częstochowa3-2W

Head to head

5Istra 1961 wins
10draws
26HNK Hajduk Split wins

41 meetings · goals 33:81 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Istra 1961

9 Aug 2026HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split2-2Istra 1961
7 Apr 2026HNLHNLIstra 19611-3HNK Hajduk Split
25 Jan 2026HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split1-2Istra 1961
19 Oct 2025HNLHNLIstra 19610-3HNK Hajduk Split
3 Aug 2025HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split2-1Istra 1961
23 Apr 2025HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split0-1Istra 1961
15 Feb 2025HNLHNLIstra 19611-1HNK Hajduk Split
9 Nov 2024HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split1-1Istra 1961
25 Aug 2024HNLHNLIstra 19611-1HNK Hajduk Split
12 May 2024HNLHNLIstra 19611-1HNK Hajduk Split

HNL tableHNLupdated 25 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the HNL table, Istra 1961 sit 7th with 12 points from 10 games, while HNK Hajduk Split are 1st with 22 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split1071219:9+1022
2Dinamo Zagreb961223:12+1119
3NK Varazdin1153315:10+518
4HNK Rijeka952216:12+417
5NK Osijek1152419:16+317
6NK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913
7Istra 19611033417:16+112
8NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411
9Rudes1131714:27-1310
10HNK Gorica111467:15-87

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.09X24%3.74253%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0126 Oct 05:501 4.09X 3.742 1.72
14.04 → 4.09 +1.2%X3.76 → 3.74 -0.5%21.76 → 1.72 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.672.215.1%
Betano1.622.256.2%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
1xBet1.592.257.3%
Marathonbet1.592.257.3%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.622.217.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.307.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.582.238.1%
Betano1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.582.208.7%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.672.303.4%
Average1.602.207.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Istra 1961 10%Draw 45%HNK Hajduk Split 45%

The statistical model rates Istra 1961 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and HNK Hajduk Split at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.09 | 3.74 | 1.72, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: Istra 1961 are 7th (12 pts, 17-16 goals), HNK Hajduk Split 1st (22 pts, 19-9).

Over their last five matches, Istra 1961 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; HNK Hajduk Split averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Hajduk Split.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.093.741.72

Double chance

1XX212
1.981.191.22

Draw no bet

12
3.111.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.20

1st half

1X2
4.342.322.24

2nd half

1X2
4.022.662.06

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.9514.419.9
HT X9.466.134.80
HT 232.913.72.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.4714.61.55

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.7
1.51.184.31
2.51.622.21
3.52.551.46
4.54.621.17
5.58.421.05
6.517.51.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.075.85
1.751.193.87
21.233.44
2.251.442.58
2.751.791.95
31.991.73
3.252.241.57
3.752.801.35
43.501.22
4.253.851.19
4.755.101.10
56.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.411.49
+0.52.071.72
+0.751.831.90
+11.602.26
+1.251.452.54
+1.51.382.81
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.201.02
-17.401.03
-0.755.221.12
-0.54.251.21
-0.253.611.24
03.181.30
+1.751.263.45
+21.154.53
+2.251.135.00
+2.51.115.32
+2.751.056.45

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.84
6.51.164.34
7.51.342.90
8.51.652.12
9.52.051.70
10.52.731.39
11.53.541.21
12.55.231.08
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.55
61.017.10
6.251.075.35
6.751.134.39
71.144.16
7.251.233.44
7.751.342.84
81.412.67
8.251.492.39
8.751.672.08
91.841.92
9.251.871.83
9.752.111.64
102.291.56
10.252.431.47
10.752.821.34
113.201.26
11.253.371.24
11.754.041.16
124.841.10
12.255.031.09

Next HNL matches

27 OctDinamo Zagreb – HNK Rijeka

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

25 OctNK Osijek 0-1 Rudes
24 OctNK Varazdin 1-2 NK Slaven Belupo
24 OctHNK Gorica 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
18 OctNK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo Zagreb
18 OctHNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin
17 OctNK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica