Leevon / PPK vs 
Valmiera / BSS• 1. Liga, Latvia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 03:03 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.89 | 9.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.40 | 9.6% |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.55 | 9.7% |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.65 | 2.55 | 11.1% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.55 | 11.3% |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.66 | 2.59 | 11.8% |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.89 | 2.6% |
| Average | 2.24 | 3.67 | 2.59 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 20:01 UTC
Leevon / PPK
7W 2D 1L · goals 25:12 · per match 2.5 for, 1.2 against
| 24 Oct | A | Metta / LU | 0-2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | JDFS Alberts | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | JFK Ventspils | 4-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Rīgas FS II | 6-3 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Riga FC II | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Tukums II | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Super Nova 2 | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Smiltene | 4-2 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Mārupe | 1-0 | W |
| 1 Aug | H | Rēzekne FA | 2-1 | W |
Valmiera / BSS
6W 3D 1L · goals 28:14 · per match 2.8 for, 1.4 against
| 24 Oct | H | JFK Ventspils | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Tukums II | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Super Nova 2 | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Riga Mariners | 2-4 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | JDFS Alberts | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Metta / LU | 2-2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Rēzekne FA | 6-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Mārupe | 4-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Smiltene | 4-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | H | Rīgas FS II | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 1:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Leevon / PPK
| 5 Jul 20261. Liga | 1. Liga | Valmiera / BSS4-1Leevon / PPK |
1. Liga table1. Ligaupdated 30 Oct 20:01 UTC
In the 1. Liga table, Leevon / PPK sit 4th with 53 points from 24 games, while Valmiera / BSS are 2nd with 56 points from 24.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 98:18 | +80 | 63 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 66:26 | +40 | 56 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 60:31 | +29 | 53 |
| 4 | Leevon / PPK | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:29 | +20 | 53 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 51:33 | +18 | 44 |
| 6 | Riga FC II | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Mārupe | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 38:40 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Super Nova 2 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Skanste | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 47:51 | -4 | 26 |
| 10 | Smiltene | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 37:62 | -25 | 23 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 31:68 | -37 | 19 |
| 12 | Rīgas FS II | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 37:68 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21:48 | -27 | 16 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 24 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17:75 | -58 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Pinnacle | 1.42 | 2.57 | 9.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 2.50 | 11.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.57 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.44 | 2.52 | 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 2.73 | 7.6% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 2.62 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.41 | 2.73 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.40 | 2.67 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Leevon / PPK at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Valmiera / BSS at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.67 | 2.59, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: Leevon / PPK are 4th (53 pts, 49-29 goals), Valmiera / BSS 2nd (56 pts, 66-26).
Over their last five matches, Leevon / PPK averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Valmiera / BSS averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Valmiera / BSS and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 3.67 | 2.59 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 1.54 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.96 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.40 | 2.68 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.73 | 2.44 | 2.98 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 2.72 | 2.97 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.69 | 14.3 | 22.0 |
| HT X | 6.47 | 6.80 | 6.73 |
| HT 2 | 20.3 | 14.2 | 3.97 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 19.0 | 1.73 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 17.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 5.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.44 | 2.52 |
| 3.5 | 2.04 | 1.66 |
| 4.5 | 3.40 | 1.25 |
| 5.5 | 6.00 | 1.10 |
5 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 1.51 | 2.32 |
| 3 | 1.65 | 2.07 |
| 3.25 | 1.87 | 1.84 |
| 3.75 | 2.30 | 1.52 |
| 4 | 2.71 | 1.38 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.47 | 1.45 |
| -0.5 | 2.16 | 1.60 |
| -0.25 | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| 0 | 1.73 | 2.04 |
| +0.25 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| +0.5 | 1.54 | 2.26 |
4 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.40 | 1.26 |
| -1 | 2.93 | 1.34 |
| +1 | 1.17 | 4.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.13 | 5.00 |
Latest 1. Liga results
| 24 Oct | Mārupe 1-6 Riga Mariners |
| 24 Oct | Skanste 1-3 Smiltene |
| 24 Oct | Metta / LU 2-0 Leevon / PPK |
| 22 Oct | Tukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2 |
| 18 Oct | JFK Ventspils 0-0 Mārupe |
| 18 Oct | Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II |