OddsFilter
Live

Bulgaria vs Iceland• UEFA Nations League, World

0.8:1.30-5FTToday · Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv1.8:0.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.961XBX3.78PIN21.82BTNMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets79Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano5.003.751.802.2%
1xBet4.863.741.793.2%
Pinnacle5.003.691.763.9%
Dafabet4.803.701.774.4%
Marathonbet4.803.701.774.4%
BetVictor4.803.601.736.4%
Bet3654.753.601.736.6%
William Hill4.503.401.739.4%
SBO4.373.381.7210.6%
Betfair4.603.501.6510.9%
Best of all books5.003.751.802.2%
Average4.753.611.746.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BulgariaIceland
Last 105Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.81.3Goals against · last 50.330Attack rating7017Defence rating8333Form rating670H2H rating1000Goals model10027Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:00 UTC

Bulgaria

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

6 OctALuxembourg2-0W
3 OctAIceland0-3L
29 SepHEstonia0-0D
26 SepHLuxembourg1-2L
5 JunAMoldova2-2D
1 JunHMontenegro0-1L
30 MarAIndonesia1-0W
27 MarASolomon Islands10-2W
18 NovHGeorgia2-1W
15 NovATürkiye0-2L

Iceland

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

6 OctAEstonia0-0D
3 OctHBulgaria3-0W
29 SepALuxembourg3-0W
26 SepHEstonia1-1D
10 JunAArgentina0-3L
31 MayAJapan0-1L
31 MarAHaiti1-1D
28 MarACanada2-2D
26 FebAMexico0-4L
16 NovAUkraine0-2L

Head to head

0Bulgaria wins
0draws
1Iceland wins

1 meeting · goals 0:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Bulgaria

3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueIceland3-0Bulgaria

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Bupdated 13 Nov 21:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Netherlands42207:5+28
2Greece42205:3+28
3Germany41213:2+15
4Serbia40043:8-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.75X26%3.61254%1.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Nov 00:0013 Nov 12:401 4.75X 3.592 1.75
14.12 → 4.75 +15.3%X3.43 → 3.59 +4.7%21.85 → 1.75 -5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.081.823.0%
Pinnacle2.121.754.3%
Marathonbet2.051.794.6%
SBO2.051.794.6%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betano2.021.785.7%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
BetVictor1.951.739.1%
Best of all books2.121.822.1%
Average2.031.785.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.911.837.0%
1xBet1.901.827.6%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
Betano1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
Marathonbet1.901.808.2%
Best of all books1.911.837.0%
Average1.901.817.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bulgaria 0%Draw 50%Iceland 50%

The statistical model rated Bulgaria at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Iceland at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.75 | 3.61 | 1.75, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Bulgaria averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Iceland averaged 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Iceland and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bulgaria

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Ribarski

Goalkeeper

  • 1D. Naumov

Defence

  • 22Y. Stoyanov
  • 13S. Velkov
  • 3E. Tsenov
  • 6H. Petrov

Midfield

  • 8A. Kraev
  • 4I. Gruev
  • 20L. Petkov
  • 11G. Rusev
  • 7K. Balov

Attack

  • 9A. Iliev
Substitutes (12)
  • 15Georgi Antoanov Lazarov
  • 12A. Bozhev
  • 5I. Pankov
  • 19I. Turitsov
  • 18I. Chochev
  • 2R. Bozhinov
  • 16Martin Petkov Petkov
  • 23P. Andreev
  • 10A. Chandarov
  • 17S. Kovachev
  • 14T. Ivanov
  • 21D. Velkovski

Iceland

4-3-3

Coach: A. Gunnlaugsson

Goalkeeper

  • 12H. Valdimarsson

Defence

  • 4V. Pálsson
  • 16S. Þórðarson
  • 3D. Grétarsson
  • 2L. Tómasson

Midfield

  • 7H. Haraldsson
  • 8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 15K. Ingason

Attack

  • 22A. Guðjohnsen
  • 9O. Óskarsson
  • 19M. Ellertsson
Substitutes (12)
  • 17A. Gunnarsson
  • 6Þ. Helgason
  • 20K. Hlynsson
  • 23H. Magnússon
  • 1R. Rúnarsson
  • 21A. Sigurðsson
  • 10G. Sigurðsson
  • 11J. Þorsteinsson
  • 5Í. Þorvaldsson
  • 14B. Willumsson
  • 18M. Anderson
  • 13A. Einarsson

Match Statistics

BulgariaIceland
1.01Expected Goals2.95
460Passes accurate424
5Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox4
2Blocked Shots4
12Free Kicks11
2Shots on Goal7
3Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal5
2Offsides1
547Total passes506
9Total Shots16
2Yellow Cards2
4Corner Kicks1
11Fouls12
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.753.611.75

Double chance

1XX212
2.091.171.26

Draw no bet

12
3.421.29

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.901.81

1st half

1X2
5.022.152.30

2nd half

1X2
4.712.462.09

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.8415.724.7
HT X9.865.224.51
HT 243.615.42.61

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.858.501.59

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.41
1.51.323.18
2.52.031.78
3.53.561.27
4.56.991.08
5.510.61.02
6.513.71.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.45
11.067.02
1.251.194.14
1.751.412.77
21.532.43
2.251.802.01
2.752.331.58
32.821.41
3.253.091.32
3.754.331.17
45.891.10
4.256.111.07
58.551.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.491.51
+0.52.101.72
+0.751.851.96
+11.582.36
+1.251.442.71
+1.51.373.08
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.510.61.04
-1.2510.31.03
-19.071.02
-0.755.811.10
-0.54.561.20
-0.253.951.23
03.421.29
+1.751.253.81
+21.135.41
+2.251.115.76
+2.51.106.07
+2.751.047.65
+3.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.121.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.075.54
6.51.193.81
7.51.412.66
8.51.722.02
9.52.181.61
10.52.881.34
11.53.801.17
12.54.421.10
13.55.591.04
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.084.69
71.213.25
7.251.312.97
7.751.422.52
81.492.38
8.251.592.13
8.751.811.85
91.951.82
9.252.061.63
9.752.381.46
102.481.46
10.252.781.34
113.151.22
124.221.11
135.421.05

Next UEFA Nations League matches

14 NovKosovo – Israel
14 NovNorway – Wales
14 NovGeorgia – Hungary
14 NovRomania – Poland
14 NovNorthern Ireland – Ukraine
14 NovPortugal – Denmark

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Nations League results

13 NovScotland 2-1 FYR Macedonia
13 NovSerbia 1-3 Germany
13 NovLiechtenstein 0-1 Azerbaijan
13 NovAndorra 2-0 Gibraltar
13 NovSlovenia 0-0 Switzerland
13 NovLuxembourg 0-1 Estonia