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York United vs Atlético Ottawa• Canadian Premier League, Canada

#61.4:3.02-1FT25/10 · York Lions Stadium, Toronto1.4:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20B365X4.11PIN22.04DAFMargin at best4.6%Books10Markets72Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 16:20 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano3.054.202.006.6%
Dafabet3.054.002.027.3%
Pinnacle2.944.071.989.1%
BetVictor3.004.101.939.5%
Bet3653.203.801.919.9%
1xBet2.914.051.9310.9%
Betfair2.904.001.9111.8%
Marathonbet2.854.051.9112.1%
William Hill2.903.701.9512.8%
SBO2.753.471.9017.8%
Best of all books3.204.202.024.6%
Average2.953.941.9410.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
Last 10#6Table position#31.07Points per game1.543Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.43.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5029Defence rating7125Form rating7550H2H rating5051Goals model4944Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 04:30 UTC

York United

2W 3D 5L · goals 18:27 · per match 1.8 for, 2.7 against

16 OctASupra du Quebec0-3L
12 OctAForge0-5L
7 OctHSupra du Quebec1-2L
3 OctHCavalry FC3-1W
27 SepHPacific FC3-4L
24 SepAVancouver FC3-3D
20 SepAHFX Wanderers FC1-4L
13 SepHVancouver FC3-1W
9 SepHPacific FC3-3D
5 SepAForge1-1D

Atlético Ottawa

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

25 OctAYork United1-2L
17 OctHForge1-2L
11 OctAPacific FC2-0W
30 SepHCavalry FC3-2W
26 SepAHFX Wanderers FC1-0W
20 SepHSupra du Quebec0-2L
12 SepAForge0-3L
5 SepHPacific FC0-0D
28 AugHYork United2-1W
22 AugACavalry FC1-3L

Head to head

8York United wins
15draws
6Atlético Ottawa wins

29 meetings · goals 45:40 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for York United

28 Aug 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa2-1York United
17 Jul 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa1-1York United
1 May 2026Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United4-1Atlético Ottawa
14 Sep 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United2-2Atlético Ottawa
3 Aug 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa0-0York United
8 Jul 2025Canadian ChampionshipCanadian ChampionshipYork United3-4Atlético Ottawa
22 Jun 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueYork United0-0Atlético Ottawa
11 Jun 2025Canadian ChampionshipCanadian ChampionshipAtlético Ottawa2-1York United
19 Apr 2025Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa3-2York United
27 Oct 2024Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier LeagueAtlético Ottawa2-2York United

Canadian Premier League tableCanadian Premier Leagueupdated 1 Nov 21:10 UTC

In the Canadian Premier League table, York United sit 6th with 30 points from 28 games, while Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 43 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Cavalry FC28186458:23+3560
2Forge28177449:22+2758
3Atlético Ottawa281341142:45-343
4Supra du Quebec281151247:50-338
5Vancouver FC281071139:37+237
6York United28791242:65-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628
8Pacific FC28291733:62-2915

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.95X23%3.94247%1.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.303.406.3%
Betano1.303.356.8%
Betfair1.253.607.8%
BetVictor1.253.607.8%
1xBet1.233.4210.5%
Marathonbet1.233.4210.5%
Best of all books1.303.604.7%
Average1.263.468.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.303.406.3%
Betano1.313.207.6%
Betfair1.253.607.8%
William Hill1.293.258.3%
BetVictor1.253.508.6%
1xBet1.253.449.1%
Marathonbet1.253.349.9%
Best of all books1.313.604.1%
Average1.273.398.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

York United 10%Draw 45%Atlético Ottawa 45%

The statistical model rated York United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Ottawa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.95 | 3.94 | 1.94, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Canadian Premier League table: York United are 6th (30 pts, 42-65 goals), Atlético Ottawa 3rd (43 pts, 42-45).

Over their last five matches, York United averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Atlético Ottawa averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Ottawa and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

York United

3-4-3

Coach: M. Eustáquio

Goalkeeper

  • 17Campos Ralston Kai Antonio

Defence

  • 3L. Singh
  • 21K. Kibato
  • 4O. León

Midfield

  • 37N. Andrada
  • 7S. Yeates
  • 10O. Bassett
  • 39B. Badibanga

Attack

  • 13L. Accettola
  • 18J. Altobelli
  • 11J. Almagro
Substitutes (7)
  • 48Jason Brown
  • 36K. Clarke
  • 19Shola Jimoh
  • 6R. López
  • 35C. Onyeocha
  • 12I. Pavela
  • 38David Peraza

Atlético Ottawa

4-2-3-1

Coach: Gustavo Leal

Goalkeeper

  • 31C. Kalongo

Defence

  • 37T. Arnaud
  • 3J. Dunn-Johnson
  • 4T. Walker
  • 20Joaquim Coulanges

Midfield

  • 10M. Aparicio
  • 2J. Castro
  • 11G. Antinoro
  • 77R. Abraham
  • 8J. Villal

Attack

  • 21N. Fleuriau Chateau
Substitutes (7)
  • 84Sergei Kozlovskiy
  • 27W. Timóteo
  • 18Rony Mbomio
  • 19R. Khoury
  • 1T. Crampton
  • 28Loïc Cloutier
  • 14J. Assi

Match Statistics

York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
0.88Expected Goals0.34
422Passes accurate438
4Shots insidebox5
9Shots outsidebox2
6Blocked Shots0
13Free Kicks10
3Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
4Shots off Goal5
1Offsides2
486Total passes510
13Total Shots7
1Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks4
10Fouls14
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.963.941.94

Double chance

1XX212
1.751.311.17

Draw no bet

12
2.371.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.273.39

1st half

1X2
3.192.642.35

2nd half

1X2
3.023.002.22

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5912.917.3
HT X8.147.845.82
HT 222.913.32.94

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0731.51.67

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0117.5
1.51.057.57
2.51.263.47
3.51.702.04
4.52.581.44
5.54.351.18
6.57.531.07
7.510.31.02
8.517.0–
9.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0114.5
1.751.037.40
21.046.90
2.251.134.50
2.751.293.09
31.412.67
3.251.522.30
3.751.861.84
42.081.65
4.252.301.52
4.752.931.31
53.681.20
5.253.981.17
67.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.551.43
02.331.53
+0.251.981.73
+0.51.811.95
+0.751.602.19
+11.432.60
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.701.01
-28.801.02
-1.757.201.03
-1.55.631.10
-1.255.321.11
-14.921.13
-0.753.551.24
-0.53.101.35
+1.251.352.89
+1.51.293.17
+1.751.203.92
+21.115.35
+2.251.155.50
+2.51.086.07
+31.076.50
+3.51.057.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.27
6.51.144.18
7.51.372.86
8.51.672.09
9.52.101.66
10.52.791.38
11.53.911.20
12.55.921.05
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.036.66
71.193.74
81.462.46
91.881.88
102.481.45
113.561.21
125.501.06

Latest Canadian Premier League results

1 NovSupra du Quebec 2-1 Cavalry FC
1 NovAtlético Ottawa 2-2 Forge
25 OctHFX Wanderers FC 3-4 Supra du Quebec
25 OctPacific FC 1-1 Forge
25 OctCavalry FC 1-0 Vancouver FC
17 OctCavalry FC 4-2 Pacific FC