Paide vs Kalju Nomme• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#21.6:0.817:0028/10 · Paide linnastaadion, Paide1.4:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BFRX3.60BFR22.65BTNMargin at best9.0%Books5Markets48Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 20:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	2.30	3.60	2.60	9.7%
Bet365	2.25	3.50	2.62	11.2%
Betano	2.27	3.40	2.65	11.2%
1xBet	2.25	3.44	2.61	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.25	3.44	2.61	11.8%
Best of all books	2.30	3.60	2.65	9.0%
Average	2.26	3.48	2.62	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PaideKalju Nomme

Last 10#2Table position#41.82Points per game1.5912Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 51.453Attack rating4764Defence rating3663Form rating3775H2H rating2543Goals model5760Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Paide

7W 0D 3L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	Kuressaare	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Trans Narva	2-1	W
14 Oct	H	Tammeka	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Nõmme United	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Vaprus	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Laagri	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Tammeka	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Flora Tallinn	2-1	W

Kalju Nomme

2W 1D 7L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Nõmme United	0-3	L
13 Oct	A	Vaprus	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Laagri	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Tammeka	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Trans Narva	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Nõmme United	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	2-3	L
26 Aug	A	Trans Narva	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Laagri	0-1	L

Head to head

19Paide wins

17draws

31Kalju Nomme wins

67 meetings · goals 81:112 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Paide

28 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme1-1Paide
14 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme1-1Paide
19 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-0Kalju Nomme
14 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Paide2-1Kalju Nomme
8 Nov 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme1-1Paide
14 Sep 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-1Kalju Nomme
28 May 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme0-2Paide
9 Mar 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide4-0Kalju Nomme
5 Mar 2025Cup	Cup	Kalju Nomme1-0Paide
6 Oct 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-1Kalju Nomme

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 24 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Paide sit 2nd with 60 points from 33 games, while Kalju Nomme are 4th with 51 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87:22	+65	81
2	Paide	33	18	6	9	53:39	+14	60
3	Flora Tallinn	33	19	1	13	63:47	+16	58
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	33	16	2	15	47:52	-5	50
6	Laagri	33	15	2	16	48:48	0	47
7	Vaprus	33	10	6	17	45:67	-22	36
8	Kuressaare	33	10	5	18	34:52	-18	35
9	Nõmme United	33	11	1	21	54:76	-22	34
10	Trans Narva	33	5	5	23	26:75	-49	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.26X26%3.48234%2.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Betano	1.62	2.07	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.64	2.10	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.32	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.32	6.8%
Average	1.54	2.28	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paide 45%Draw 45%Kalju Nomme 10%

The statistical model rates Paide at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kalju Nomme at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.48 | 2.62, which imply roughly 44.2% for a Paide win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Paide are 2nd (60 pts, 53-39 goals), Kalju Nomme 4th (51 pts, 54-33).

Over their last five matches, Paide averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Kalju Nomme averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Paide or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.26	3.48	2.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.51	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	2.23	3.20

2nd half

1	X	2
2.57	2.60	2.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.59	14.0	27.8
HT X	5.80	5.70	6.60
HT 2	24.8	14.0	4.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	15.3	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.5
1.5	1.17	4.24
2.5	1.64	2.11
3.5	2.60	1.41
4.5	4.70	1.14
5.5	8.00	1.06
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.80
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.19	3.75
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.44	2.47
2.75	1.79	1.87
3	2.02	1.64
3.25	2.31	1.50
3.75	3.09	1.29
4	4.05	1.16
4.25	4.40	1.14
4.75	6.05	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.67	1.40
-0.5	2.30	1.60
-0.25	1.98	1.72
0	1.71	2.00
+0.25	1.53	2.31
+0.5	1.45	2.68

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.03
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.75	5.70	1.10
-1.5	4.38	1.16
-1.25	3.93	1.20
-1	3.48	1.25
+0.75	1.29	3.20
+1	1.15	4.47
+1.25	1.13	4.93
+1.5	1.10	5.47
+1.75	1.05	7.20
+2	1.02	9.30
+2.5	1.01	10.5

Next Meistriliiga matches

25 Oct	Kalju Nomme – Flora Tallinn
27 Oct	Trans Narva – Nõmme United
27 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn – Tammeka
28 Oct	Vaprus – Kuressaare

All Meistriliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Meistriliiga results

24 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Laagri
24 Oct	Kuressaare 0-1 Paide
23 Oct	Tammeka 5-1 Trans Narva
23 Oct	Nõmme United 4-2 Vaprus
21 Oct	Laagri 3-1 Flora Tallinn
18 Oct	Flora Tallinn 2-0 Tammeka