Trans Narva vs Nõmme United• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#101.0:2.216:0027/10 · Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva1.6:2.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45B365X3.75BFR22.80WHMargin at best3.2%Books7Markets49Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 08:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.42	3.58	2.59	7.9%
Betfair	2.30	3.75	2.50	10.1%
1xBet	2.18	3.48	2.78	10.6%
Betano	2.35	3.45	2.52	11.2%
Bet365	2.45	3.50	2.38	11.4%
William Hill	2.15	3.40	2.80	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.32	3.44	2.52	11.9%
Best of all books	2.45	3.75	2.80	3.2%
Average	2.31	3.51	2.58	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Trans NarvaNõmme United

Last 10#10Table position#90.61Points per game1.032Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.62.2Goals against · last 52.238Attack rating6250Defence rating5025Form rating7540H2H rating6052Goals model4842Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:02 UTC

Trans Narva

1W 3D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

23 Oct	A	Tammeka	1-5	L
18 Oct	A	Paide	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	Kuressaare	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Vaprus	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Kalju Nomme	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Flora Tallinn	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Kuressaare	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Tammeka	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Kalju Nomme	2-0	W

Nõmme United

4W 0D 6L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

23 Oct	H	Vaprus	4-2	W
17 Oct	H	Kalju Nomme	3-0	W
13 Oct	A	Laagri	0-2	L
10 Oct	A	Tammeka	0-4	L
19 Sep	H	Paide	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L
8 Sep	A	Kalju Nomme	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Vaprus	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Vaprus	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Laagri	1-2	L

Head to head

5Trans Narva wins

0draws

3Nõmme United wins

8 meetings · goals 18:14 · last 8: 5W 0D 3L for Trans Narva

31 Jul 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United1-2Trans Narva
13 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva1-2Nõmme United
11 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United5-1Trans Narva
24 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Trans Narva3-4Nõmme United
21 Sep 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United0-4Trans Narva
26 Jul 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva2-1Nõmme United
23 May 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United1-3Trans Narva
30 Mar 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva2-0Nõmme United

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 24 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Trans Narva sit 10th with 20 points from 33 games, while Nõmme United are 9th with 34 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87:22	+65	81
2	Paide	33	18	6	9	53:39	+14	60
3	Flora Tallinn	33	19	1	13	63:47	+16	58
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	33	16	2	15	47:52	-5	50
6	Laagri	33	15	2	16	48:48	0	47
7	Vaprus	33	10	6	17	45:67	-22	36
8	Kuressaare	33	10	5	18	34:52	-18	35
9	Nõmme United	33	11	1	21	54:76	-22	34
10	Trans Narva	33	5	5	23	26:75	-49	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.31X26%3.51235%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.31 → 2.31 0.0%X3.61 → 3.51 -2.8%22.52 → 2.58 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.45	2.63	7.0%
1xBet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.46	2.50	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
William Hill	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.41	2.66	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.67	9.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.67	6.9%
Average	1.42	2.64	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Trans Narva 10%Draw 45%Nõmme United 45%

The statistical model rates Trans Narva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nõmme United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.51 | 2.58, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Trans Narva are 10th (20 pts, 26-75 goals), Nõmme United 9th (34 pts, 54-76).

Over their last five matches, Trans Narva averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Nõmme United averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nõmme United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.31	3.51	2.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.51	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.64

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	2.37	3.06

2nd half

1	X	2
2.57	2.71	2.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.72	13.4	24.0
HT X	6.04	6.08	6.54
HT 2	23.0	13.7	4.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	18.0	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.8
1.5	1.12	5.03
2.5	1.46	2.50
3.5	2.13	1.63
4.5	3.58	1.23
5.5	6.40	1.07
6.5	10.3	1.02
7.5	16.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	10.5
1.75	1.13	4.65
2	1.15	4.20
2.25	1.32	2.99
2.75	1.54	2.26
3	1.68	2.00
3.25	1.91	1.79
3.75	2.41	1.48
4	2.93	1.33
4.25	3.22	1.26
4.75	4.33	1.15
5	5.73	1.08
5.25	6.05	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.75	1.40
-0.5	2.30	1.56
-0.25	2.07	1.69
0	1.80	1.95
+0.25	1.58	2.24
+0.5	1.52	2.47

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.17	1.05
-1.75	5.42	1.11
-1.5	4.26	1.17
-1.25	3.87	1.20
-1	3.43	1.27
+0.75	1.33	3.02
+1	1.19	4.03
+1.25	1.16	4.43
+1.5	1.14	4.80
+1.75	1.08	6.18
+2	1.02	9.10
+2.5	1.01	9.70

Next Meistriliiga matches

25 Oct	Kalju Nomme – Flora Tallinn
27 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn – Tammeka

All Meistriliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Meistriliiga results

24 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Laagri
24 Oct	Kuressaare 0-1 Paide
23 Oct	Tammeka 5-1 Trans Narva
23 Oct	Nõmme United 4-2 Vaprus
21 Oct	Laagri 3-1 Flora Tallinn
18 Oct	Flora Tallinn 2-0 Tammeka