Vaprus vs Kuressaare• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#71.6:2.616:0028/10 · Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu0.6:0.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38BFRX3.60BFR22.57BTNMargin at best8.7%Books5Markets48Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 20:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	2.38	3.60	2.50	9.8%
Betano	2.32	3.40	2.57	11.4%
1xBet	2.35	3.44	2.49	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.44	2.49	11.8%
Bet365	2.30	3.50	2.50	12.0%
Best of all books	2.38	3.60	2.57	8.7%
Average	2.34	3.48	2.51	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VaprusKuressaare

Last 10#7Table position#81.09Points per game1.062Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 50.62.6Goals against · last 50.673Attack rating2719Defence rating8122Form rating7871H2H rating2960Goals model4053Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Vaprus

2W 2D 6L · goals 14:24 · per match 1.4 for, 2.4 against

23 Oct	A	Nõmme United	2-4	L
18 Oct	A	Laagri	0-2	L
13 Oct	H	Kalju Nomme	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Trans Narva	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L
16 Sep	A	Paide	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
9 Sep	H	Laagri	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Nõmme United	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	Nõmme United	2-3	L

Kuressaare

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	H	Paide	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-2	L
14 Oct	A	Trans Narva	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Flora Tallinn	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Saku Sporting	4-2	W
18 Sep	A	Laagri	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Tammeka	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Trans Narva	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Vaprus	2-2	D

Head to head

11Vaprus wins

4draws

11Kuressaare wins

26 meetings · goals 43:41 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Vaprus

29 Aug 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare2-2Vaprus
26 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus1-0Kuressaare
21 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare0-1Vaprus
31 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Vaprus9-2Kuressaare
21 Oct 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus0-1Kuressaare
20 Jul 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare2-1Vaprus
1 Jun 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus2-1Kuressaare
18 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare1-0Vaprus
1 Feb 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Kuressaare0-2Vaprus
6 Oct 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus3-1Kuressaare

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 24 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Vaprus sit 7th with 36 points from 33 games, while Kuressaare are 8th with 35 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87:22	+65	81
2	Paide	33	18	6	9	53:39	+14	60
3	Flora Tallinn	33	19	1	13	63:47	+16	58
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	33	16	2	15	47:52	-5	50
6	Laagri	33	15	2	16	48:48	0	47
7	Vaprus	33	10	6	17	45:67	-22	36
8	Kuressaare	33	10	5	18	34:52	-18	35
9	Nõmme United	33	11	1	21	54:76	-22	34
10	Trans Narva	33	5	5	23	26:75	-49	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.34X26%3.48236%2.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Betano	1.60	2.10	10.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.62	2.14	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.51	2.36	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.32	9.3%
Best of all books	1.57	2.36	6.1%
Average	1.53	2.31	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vaprus 45%Draw 45%Kuressaare 10%

The statistical model rates Vaprus at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kuressaare at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.48 | 2.51, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Vaprus win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Vaprus are 7th (36 pts, 45-67 goals), Kuressaare 8th (35 pts, 34-52).

Over their last five matches, Vaprus averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Kuressaare averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vaprus or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.48	2.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.48	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.31

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.25	3.06

2nd half

1	X	2
2.63	2.61	2.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.75	13.7	25.8
HT X	5.95	5.78	6.35
HT 2	25.5	13.9	4.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	15.3	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.8
1.5	1.17	4.21
2.5	1.62	2.14
3.5	2.53	1.43
4.5	4.50	1.14
5.5	8.33	1.03
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.07	5.80
1.75	1.19	3.76
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.42	2.50
2.75	1.75	1.90
3	1.97	1.68
3.25	2.25	1.53
3.75	2.98	1.31
4	3.84	1.18
4.25	4.20	1.16
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.78	1.37
-0.5	2.38	1.55
-0.25	2.06	1.66
0	1.79	1.91
+0.25	1.58	2.19
+0.5	1.50	2.50

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-2	8.80	1.01
-1.75	5.90	1.09
-1.5	4.50	1.15
-1.25	4.14	1.18
-1	3.71	1.22
+0.75	1.32	3.02
+1	1.18	4.07
+1.25	1.15	4.47
+1.5	1.13	4.93
+1.75	1.07	6.40
+2	1.03	8.60
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Next Meistriliiga matches

25 Oct	Kalju Nomme – Flora Tallinn
27 Oct	Trans Narva – Nõmme United
27 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn – Tammeka
28 Oct	Paide – Kalju Nomme

All Meistriliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Meistriliiga results

24 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Laagri
24 Oct	Kuressaare 0-1 Paide
23 Oct	Tammeka 5-1 Trans Narva
23 Oct	Nõmme United 4-2 Vaprus
21 Oct	Laagri 3-1 Flora Tallinn
18 Oct	Flora Tallinn 2-0 Tammeka