Paide vs Tammeka• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#31.6:0.816:00Tomorrow · Paide linnastaadion, Paide1.6:2.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.671XBX4.00BFR24.231XBMargin at best8.5%Books7Markets55Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.68	4.00	4.30	7.8%
Betfair	1.65	4.00	4.20	9.4%
1xBet	1.61	3.90	4.38	10.6%
William Hill	1.67	3.60	4.33	10.8%
Betano	1.67	3.80	4.05	10.9%
Bet365	1.65	3.90	4.00	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.59	3.90	4.30	11.8%
Best of all books	1.68	4.00	4.38	7.4%
Average	1.65	3.87	4.22	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PaideTammeka

Last 10#3Table position#51.70Points per game1.579Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 52.450Attack rating5075Defence rating2560Form rating4080H2H rating2062Goals model3869Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:30 UTC

Paide

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Nõmme United	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Vaprus	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Laagri	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Tammeka	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Flora Tallinn	2-1	W
26 Aug	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-4	L
23 Aug	H	Nõmme United	4-1	W
16 Aug	A	Trans Narva	1-1	D

Tammeka

6W 0D 4L · goals 21:17 · per match 2.1 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Nõmme United	4-0	W
2 Oct	H	Viimsi	4-1	W
20 Sep	H	Kalju Nomme	1-3	L
17 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-6	L
13 Sep	A	Kuressaare	3-1	W
9 Sep	H	Paide	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Laagri	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Trans Narva	2-0	W
26 Aug	H	Flora Tallinn	3-1	W

Head to head

37Paide wins

15draws

11Tammeka wins

63 meetings · goals 131:65 · last 10: 9W 0D 1L for Paide

9 Sep 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka0-2Paide
1 May 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide0-1Tammeka
12 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka1-4Paide
29 Oct 2025Cup	Cup	Paide3-0Tammeka
18 Oct 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide5-0Tammeka
23 Aug 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka0-1Paide
28 Jun 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka0-2Paide
5 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-0Tammeka
26 Oct 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide2-0Tammeka
24 Aug 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka1-3Paide

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 13 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Paide sit 3rd with 51 points from 30 games, while Tammeka are 5th with 47 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	30	23	6	1	82:21	+61	75
2	Flora Tallinn	30	18	1	11	59:41	+18	55
3	Paide	30	15	6	9	48:37	+11	51
4	Kalju Nomme	31	15	6	10	54:30	+24	51
5	Tammeka	30	15	2	13	41:47	-6	47
6	Laagri	31	13	2	16	43:47	-4	41
7	Vaprus	31	10	6	15	43:61	-18	36
8	Kuressaare	30	9	5	16	33:49	-16	32
9	Nõmme United	31	9	1	21	47:74	-27	28
10	Trans Narva	30	5	5	20	24:67	-43	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.65X23%3.91222%4.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.65 +0.6%X4.00 → 3.91 -2.2%24.22 → 4.17 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.51	2.34	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.32	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.55	2.30	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paide 45%Draw 45%Tammeka 10%

The statistical model rates Paide at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tammeka at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.91 | 4.17, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Paide win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Paide are 3rd (51 pts, 48-37 goals), Tammeka 5th (47 pts, 41-47).

Over their last five matches, Paide averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Tammeka averaged 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Paide or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.87	4.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.06	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.30

1st half

1	X	2
2.12	2.41	4.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	17.4	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.5
1.5	1.14	4.88
2.5	1.51	2.34
3.5	2.30	1.55
4.5	3.98	1.20
5.5	7.30	1.06
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.0
1.75	1.15	4.30
2	1.18	3.84
2.25	1.34	2.78
2.75	1.62	2.09
3	1.78	1.85
3.25	2.04	1.65
3.75	2.59	1.39
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.50	1.22
4.75	4.80	1.12
5	6.45	1.05
5.25	6.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.59	1.42
-1.25	2.33	1.53
-1	2.05	1.65
-0.75	1.77	1.91
-0.5	1.64	2.11
-0.25	1.44	2.53

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.20	1.02
-3	8.90	1.01
-2.75	6.18	1.08
-2.5	4.78	1.13
-2.25	4.47	1.15
-2	4.10	1.18
-1.75	3.09	1.30
0	1.27	3.34
+0.25	1.21	3.78
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.11	5.52
+1	1.02	8.30